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With a 50/50 split, the chances are 0.78%, or just under 1 percent. If you consider an 85/15 white/black population distribution, the chances drop to 0.18%. So in a blind test, you're four times more likely to get a coin to alternate between heads and tails seven straight times, then you are to get W/B/W/B/W/B/W. It's not a statistical impossibilty, however. It's just roughly a 1 in 500 chance.

Actually, it's twice as likely for this to happen than to have 911 coming up in pick 3 in New York on 9/11. (Unless there were two drawings that day.)

884 posted on 10/15/2002 12:00:23 PM PDT by vollmond
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To: vollmond
Percentage of the population that's black in MD and VA is much higher than that. It's not all that unlikely that a randomly chosen group would be half black. What's really unlikely is the alternation.
893 posted on 10/15/2002 12:04:44 PM PDT by aristeides
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To: vollmond
I asked a LE type why the killer shot the woman instead of the man and he said it was because the Lady made the best target. When I picked my jaw off the ground, I realized it's probably true.
898 posted on 10/15/2002 12:06:28 PM PDT by Letitring
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