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This Killer Doesn't Fit the Expected Profile
NY Times ^ | 10-08-02 | FOX BUTTERFIELD

Posted on 10/08/2002 5:32:09 AM PDT by Pharmboy

Experts in mass murder and the profiling of killers say the sniper who has killed six people in the Washington metropolitan area does not fit the usual categories, and that may make the case much harder to solve.

Most mass murderers, for example kill to settle a grudge or avenge a perceived wrong, targeting victims who are relatives, colleagues or members of an ethnic group they hate, the experts said.

The majority of gunmen committing multiple murders in recent years also used semiautomatic weapons, fired several times, and ended up either killing themselves or remaining at the scene to be captured.

But the sniper in the Washington area has picked his victims seemingly at random, firing a single round from a considerable distance and escaping while leaving behind no obvious clues. He has used a hunting or military-style rifle, leaving no shell casings for the police to investigate as evidence until one was found today.

The profilers know that this killer is cool and cautious. They do not know much more than that.

"Since there is no evidence of a motive, or evidence that this person is trying to get even with society, what is left is killing for sport," said James Alan Fox, the Lipman family professor of criminal justice at Northeastern University, who has written several books on mass murderers.

The sniper's use of a single shot also suggests less anger than mass killers normally have, Professor Fox said. "If he was expressing his anger or frustration, he would continue to fire, creating a blood bath. But this guy is coolly and calmly finding victims, taking a very accurate shot, and then escaping."

"I think he is hunting or target shooting with humans," Professor Fox said.

Raymond Pierce, a retired New York City police detective and criminal profiler, said he could think of only one similar case. In 1994, a lone gunman set up a hunting rifle equipped with a sniper scope on a tripod outside a diner, a gas station and a Burger King restaurant in small towns in Suffolk County, N.Y., firing a single bullet each time at individuals inside.

One man was killed, a woman was badly injured and a third intended target escaped harm when bulletproof glass deflected the bullet.

The shooter turned out to be a gun enthusiast, who targeted his victims "for the thrill of it," said Lieutenant Jack Fitzpatrick of the Suffolk County police homicide department. The gunman, Peter Sylvester, was eventually tracked down, convicted and is now serving a life prison sentence, Lieutenant Fitzpatrick said.

Mr. Sylvester also carried out his shootings by firing only one round each time, Lieutenant Fitzpatrick said. He carefully placed a blanket beneath his rifle, and left no shell casings at the scene.

As with the Washington-area shootings of the past week, the Suffolk County shootings in 1994 created great public unease. More than 100 Suffolk County police and detectives were assigned to hunt for the sniper. The case was solved when the police received information that a Remington .35 caliber rifle had been stolen from a gun store in a burglary and that the weapon was sold to Mr. Sylvester.

A bullet recovered from the body of a man killed in the diner matched the markings of a bullet fired from the Remington, Lieutenant Fitzpatrick said.

Professor Fox said that it was unusual that the shootings were continuing. Mass killers usually end up dead or captured at the scene of their shooting, he said, or if they are not seriously emotionally disturbed and able to plan carefully, will stop their killings when the number of police in the area increases.

"But this guy may be getting an added thrill out of continuing to outwit the police even while they are looking for him," Professor Fox said, noting that there was another victim today, a 13-year-old boy shot outside a middle school in Bowie, Md.

A number of studies of mass killers have found that they usually give warning signs to friends, relatives or co-workers, talking about their grievances and threatening to take some violent act of vengeance. These studies have shown that mass killers, contrary to popular belief, do not just snap. Unfortunately, these warning signs are usually ignored until too late.

One of the most widely publicized rampage killing involved Colin Ferguson, a black man frustrated by his failed life who blamed white racism for his troubles. In December 1993, he killed 6 people and wounded 19 on the Long Island Rail Road before being subdued by other passengers.

The bloodiest rampage killing took place at a Luby's Cafeteria in Killeen, Tex., in October 1991. George Hennard, a delusional man who had told an F.B.I. agent that a secret national conspiracy of white women was plotting against him, crashed his pickup truck into the restaurant and opened fire. He killed 22 people and wounded 23 more before killing himself.

The difficulty of tracking the Washington sniper reminded Joseph Borrelli, a retired New York City chief of detectives, of a year-long wave of killings by David Berkowitz, known as Son of Sam, who shot and killed six people and wounded seven others in 1977 as they sat in their cars.

"The complete absence of a motive is very similar to Berkowitz," Mr. Borrelli said.

"We never did establish a motive," Mr. Borrelli said. "When we caught him, he claimed it was the devil talking to him through the dog; that was his story."

Mr. Pierce, the retired profiler, said the Washington sniper seemed different from the angry, emotionally unstable type of killer. "He is a very calculating person, preoccupied with escape," Mr. Pierce said. "He is not out of touch with reality."

"He may have an antisocial personality disorder, and thrive on power and control," Mr. Pierce said. "But he is not psychotic."


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Culture/Society; Extended News; News/Current Events; US: District of Columbia; US: Maryland
KEYWORDS: beltwaysniper; profiling
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To: Robe
The media can't mention the terroris possiblity because:

1. It would mean this person probably obtained the firearm illegally. (so much for gun laws)

2. People would want to arm themselves to at least TRY to defend themselves from an enemy combatant. (remember the CNN videos which showed Alqueda going after CIVILIANS and not soldiers.)

3. This would violate the Political Correctness Thought crime double speak code of the religion of peace. (Watch for the provile gandma but not osama crowd to scream loudly)

4. This might mean people will not be sheep and forget to "trust" government. (see pre and post 9/11 hijacking rules. Before: sit back let gov. representatives negotiate it, After: fight for your very life)

5. If the crime is solved the news story dies with the arrival of the solution. (they don't want solutions, they want viewers)
41 posted on 10/08/2002 6:25:56 AM PDT by longtermmemmory
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To: longtermmemmory
Could this be from a bolt action rifle?

Yes. Rifles and pistols have been made in various .22 centerfire calibers, in bolt-action, break-action, and semi-automatic configurations.

Manufacturers are too numerous to mention. The cartridge is not necessarily .223 Remington, our standard military infantry round... Bullets meeting the given description could be fired from a .22-250, .222 Remington, .222 Remington Magnum, .223 Remington, .224 Remington, .224 Weatherby, .225 Winchester, .220 Swift, even ancient cartridges like the .22 Savage High-Power... or any of a dozen different "wildcat" (custom-made) cartridges such as .22-6mm.

While the rate of rifling twist on the recovered bullets could tend to rule out some of the abovementioned calibers, it's truly anyone's guess as to what sort of firearm is involved here.

42 posted on 10/08/2002 6:26:31 AM PDT by Oberon
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To: Pharmboy
I think this is a professional assassin in a totally decked out shooting platform. A suv or truck with tinted windows and a sound suppressing interior. Shooting a decent quality or better suppressed rifle. 223 or better in cal. Shooting a small fast light weight round that tears through soft targets with decently places shoots and completely disintegrates on impact with hard targets. all traces are covered from a ballistic standpoint as well as they're escape

This is what trained snipers are supposed to do. Shot once, kill, install fear and terror and most of all evade getting caught to kill again.

After driving home last night Im looking around on my drive and Im thinking if there are people willing to do this. Instead of your typical nut case that shows up every once in awhile spraying a auto in a office/crowded place

They have a target rich environment here in the USA for shooting "innocent" civilians at a semi long distance loading up there mini vans and cutting there lawns.

My thoughts and prayers go out to the victims families and as I all ways say CYA
43 posted on 10/08/2002 6:26:47 AM PDT by ezo4
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To: Pharmboy
With all the government assets in this part of the country, what are the chances of reviewing satellite imagery in an attempt to identify fleeing vehicles near the shooting scenes? If it's not possible to review past scenes, I would expect that this strategy is being employed now.
44 posted on 10/08/2002 6:28:03 AM PDT by Tin Cup
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To: Iron Eagle
Now, however, I think that a terrorist group would want to take credit for the action.

Al'Qaeda rarely takes credit for their terrorist acts.



45 posted on 10/08/2002 6:33:01 AM PDT by who knows what evil?
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To: Aquinasfan
The single-shot MO seems to contradict the theory that these are terrorists.

I'm not following how the single-shot modus operandi seems to contradict the terrorist theory. To my line of thinking, the cold efficiency would be purposefully employed to heighten the sense of terror in the community. Being able to kill from a decent range without wasting a lot of ammo is by design a terror inducing concept. That's why military snipers are so effective. Not only do they take out people, but they do it behind enemy lines and follow up by escaping and evading, only to strike again.

Can you explain your opinion to me (I'm not trying to pick a fight, but rather would like to understand your viewpoint)?

46 posted on 10/08/2002 6:33:58 AM PDT by MortMan
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To: Aquinasfan
Why are they only taking one shot at their victims?

He's challenging himself. Like in a video game.

47 posted on 10/08/2002 6:35:03 AM PDT by maxwell
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To: Ragirl
The random like surgical strikes with seemingly no regard to race ethnicity and the fact that ALL of the victims were simply BEING TYPICAL AMERICANS

Or the killer is shooting people who happen to be in a situation he can kill them and get by with it. He doesn't wish to be caught.

48 posted on 10/08/2002 6:36:46 AM PDT by FITZ
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To: Pharmboy
The article is notable for totally ignoring the possibility of terrorism.
49 posted on 10/08/2002 6:38:46 AM PDT by Frumious Bandersnatch
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To: Frumious Bandersnatch
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50 posted on 10/08/2002 6:39:44 AM PDT by William McKinley
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51 posted on 10/08/2002 6:40:08 AM PDT by Anti-Bubba182
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To: Tin Cup
You bring up something I hadn't thought of. All these attacks are avoiding areas around major federal facilities. The closest one were the attack on the DC-Montegomery line near the NOAA headquarters (Weather Service, Fisheries Service). Definately a soft target. The only assets in eastern Montegomery are things most people don't know about (FEMA emergency communications center). But eastern Montegomery is 50% immigrant (mostly hispanic but my apartment complex is more diverse than the UN), so a guy with an accent and brown skin doesn't even register in peoples mind.
52 posted on 10/08/2002 6:40:15 AM PDT by Tis The Time''s Plague
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To: Truth29
If it turns out this is a muslim, the media will suppress that information.

The media will suppress that just like it suppresses that possibility. It almost doesn't seem to be muslim though because they're usually sloppy when they kill.

53 posted on 10/08/2002 6:41:06 AM PDT by FITZ
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To: MortMan
Can you explain your opinion to me (I'm not trying to pick a fight, but rather would like to understand your viewpoint)?

I just don't see how taking a single shot creates more terror. I think people would be just as terrified, if not more so, if the shooter was taking several shots, especially if the murderer was firing on wounded victims.

54 posted on 10/08/2002 6:42:04 AM PDT by Aquinasfan
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To: myrabach
Where in the world is LON HORUCHI?

55 posted on 10/08/2002 6:42:20 AM PDT by Area51
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To: Iron Eagle
I think that a terrorist group would want to take credit for the action.

No one took credit for 9-11. No one took credit for Oklahoma City.

I originally agreed with you, but I have changed my mind. By not taking credit for this action, whoever did it leaves the country wondering: was it Arab terrorists, was it domestic terrorists, or was it some lone nutcase? The result is to create more fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) in the public's mind.

Saddam has probably also sent the word to any of the groups he supports that if they do commit a terrorist action against the U. S. to not take any credit for it. That would only step up the pressure to invade Iraq. Iraq is playing both sides of this. Behind the scenes he is supporting terrorist groups, but publicly he is trying to make it look like he doesn't.

56 posted on 10/08/2002 6:42:44 AM PDT by Brookhaven
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To: Pharmboy
He needn't eject the casing with a bolt action rifle, so it does make sense.

Good point.

57 posted on 10/08/2002 6:43:41 AM PDT by Aquinasfan
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To: Pharmboy
After reading this, the idea that its a muslim terrorist goes up a notch higher for me.
58 posted on 10/08/2002 6:43:46 AM PDT by VRWC_minion
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Comment #59 Removed by Moderator

To: 2banana
They will rot in hades with their tongues gnawed off before they utter that tid bit of criminal profiling.
60 posted on 10/08/2002 6:44:06 AM PDT by MissAmericanPie
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