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This Killer Doesn't Fit the Expected Profile
NY Times ^ | 10-08-02 | FOX BUTTERFIELD

Posted on 10/08/2002 5:32:09 AM PDT by Pharmboy

Experts in mass murder and the profiling of killers say the sniper who has killed six people in the Washington metropolitan area does not fit the usual categories, and that may make the case much harder to solve.

Most mass murderers, for example kill to settle a grudge or avenge a perceived wrong, targeting victims who are relatives, colleagues or members of an ethnic group they hate, the experts said.

The majority of gunmen committing multiple murders in recent years also used semiautomatic weapons, fired several times, and ended up either killing themselves or remaining at the scene to be captured.

But the sniper in the Washington area has picked his victims seemingly at random, firing a single round from a considerable distance and escaping while leaving behind no obvious clues. He has used a hunting or military-style rifle, leaving no shell casings for the police to investigate as evidence until one was found today.

The profilers know that this killer is cool and cautious. They do not know much more than that.

"Since there is no evidence of a motive, or evidence that this person is trying to get even with society, what is left is killing for sport," said James Alan Fox, the Lipman family professor of criminal justice at Northeastern University, who has written several books on mass murderers.

The sniper's use of a single shot also suggests less anger than mass killers normally have, Professor Fox said. "If he was expressing his anger or frustration, he would continue to fire, creating a blood bath. But this guy is coolly and calmly finding victims, taking a very accurate shot, and then escaping."

"I think he is hunting or target shooting with humans," Professor Fox said.

Raymond Pierce, a retired New York City police detective and criminal profiler, said he could think of only one similar case. In 1994, a lone gunman set up a hunting rifle equipped with a sniper scope on a tripod outside a diner, a gas station and a Burger King restaurant in small towns in Suffolk County, N.Y., firing a single bullet each time at individuals inside.

One man was killed, a woman was badly injured and a third intended target escaped harm when bulletproof glass deflected the bullet.

The shooter turned out to be a gun enthusiast, who targeted his victims "for the thrill of it," said Lieutenant Jack Fitzpatrick of the Suffolk County police homicide department. The gunman, Peter Sylvester, was eventually tracked down, convicted and is now serving a life prison sentence, Lieutenant Fitzpatrick said.

Mr. Sylvester also carried out his shootings by firing only one round each time, Lieutenant Fitzpatrick said. He carefully placed a blanket beneath his rifle, and left no shell casings at the scene.

As with the Washington-area shootings of the past week, the Suffolk County shootings in 1994 created great public unease. More than 100 Suffolk County police and detectives were assigned to hunt for the sniper. The case was solved when the police received information that a Remington .35 caliber rifle had been stolen from a gun store in a burglary and that the weapon was sold to Mr. Sylvester.

A bullet recovered from the body of a man killed in the diner matched the markings of a bullet fired from the Remington, Lieutenant Fitzpatrick said.

Professor Fox said that it was unusual that the shootings were continuing. Mass killers usually end up dead or captured at the scene of their shooting, he said, or if they are not seriously emotionally disturbed and able to plan carefully, will stop their killings when the number of police in the area increases.

"But this guy may be getting an added thrill out of continuing to outwit the police even while they are looking for him," Professor Fox said, noting that there was another victim today, a 13-year-old boy shot outside a middle school in Bowie, Md.

A number of studies of mass killers have found that they usually give warning signs to friends, relatives or co-workers, talking about their grievances and threatening to take some violent act of vengeance. These studies have shown that mass killers, contrary to popular belief, do not just snap. Unfortunately, these warning signs are usually ignored until too late.

One of the most widely publicized rampage killing involved Colin Ferguson, a black man frustrated by his failed life who blamed white racism for his troubles. In December 1993, he killed 6 people and wounded 19 on the Long Island Rail Road before being subdued by other passengers.

The bloodiest rampage killing took place at a Luby's Cafeteria in Killeen, Tex., in October 1991. George Hennard, a delusional man who had told an F.B.I. agent that a secret national conspiracy of white women was plotting against him, crashed his pickup truck into the restaurant and opened fire. He killed 22 people and wounded 23 more before killing himself.

The difficulty of tracking the Washington sniper reminded Joseph Borrelli, a retired New York City chief of detectives, of a year-long wave of killings by David Berkowitz, known as Son of Sam, who shot and killed six people and wounded seven others in 1977 as they sat in their cars.

"The complete absence of a motive is very similar to Berkowitz," Mr. Borrelli said.

"We never did establish a motive," Mr. Borrelli said. "When we caught him, he claimed it was the devil talking to him through the dog; that was his story."

Mr. Pierce, the retired profiler, said the Washington sniper seemed different from the angry, emotionally unstable type of killer. "He is a very calculating person, preoccupied with escape," Mr. Pierce said. "He is not out of touch with reality."

"He may have an antisocial personality disorder, and thrive on power and control," Mr. Pierce said. "But he is not psychotic."


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Culture/Society; Extended News; News/Current Events; US: District of Columbia; US: Maryland
KEYWORDS: beltwaysniper; profiling
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To: Aquinasfan
Any poacher...I mean farm boy... can tell you it's very hard to be tracked with a single shot. A second shot GREATLY increased the odd some could get a general fix on the area the shot originated from.
181 posted on 10/08/2002 12:23:30 PM PDT by Lord Marshal
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To: Wonder Warthog
"can a bold action rifle be made at home? can the bold actions from the turn of the century do the same job?"

Only if you have the action, and a full machine shop.
182 posted on 10/08/2002 12:40:17 PM PDT by Lord Marshal
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To: js1138
I thought they found a casing. I've been hearing this for days. Why else would everyone be talking about a .223?

Some modern .223 firearms have a distinctive rifling twist. I speculate the rifling leaned toward a .223 and .223 "slipped out"
183 posted on 10/08/2002 12:43:30 PM PDT by Lord Marshal
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To: Aquinasfan
Terrorism really doesn't need to be an assassination. Just getting a shot into someone is good enough. In fact having crippled victims on TV would serve their purpose almost as well. What he/she is doing is disrupting our way of life. And the one shot/escape MO is the absolute best way to do this, regardless if the victim lives or not.

The longer this goes on, the more effective the tactic will be.

184 posted on 10/08/2002 12:51:49 PM PDT by Dead Dog
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To: maxwell
He's escaping so he can do this again. This isn't a game, it is a war. He/she/they may be having the time of their lives, but the tactic is simply shrewd business. They probably would love to pump a second round in their victim, but they simply don't have the time.
185 posted on 10/08/2002 12:54:10 PM PDT by Dead Dog
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To: 5by5
I'd rather have Gunny Hathcock. RIP, alas

Speaking of the blessed one...if the shootings stop after 94 kills, we know what this was about.
186 posted on 10/08/2002 12:54:49 PM PDT by Lord Marshal
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To: xsrdx
Head shot versus body- this is the most intriguing. I can’t think of a good reason to switch for a serial killer.

Perhaps he's playing a game with himself, trying to achieve hits from a greater distance. Some of the early head shots were reported being at distances of 75 feet, another at 80 yards.
187 posted on 10/08/2002 12:59:13 PM PDT by Lord Marshal
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To: Pete
If you drew circles around all the Michaels in this country well, that would be the whole country!
188 posted on 10/08/2002 1:02:31 PM PDT by Lord Marshal
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To: ~Kim4VRWC's~
Now I wonder why he "skipped" this morning..

My guess, too much police activity. Yesterday morning the police had a chopper on the scene within a couple of minutes. Could of been too close for comfort and spooked him a bit. The quick air cover could explain the shell casing (assuming it's not a plant)
189 posted on 10/08/2002 1:08:11 PM PDT by Lord Marshal
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To: Lord Marshal
*************"if the shootings stop after 94 kills, we know what this was about."**************************

I didn't know Carlos was stalking unarmed, non-combatants!

190 posted on 10/08/2002 1:09:32 PM PDT by Chapita
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To: Lord Marshal
If you drew circles around all the Michaels in this country well, that would be the whole country!

That's true. But if you draw a cirle around Michaels stores within 50 miles of D.C. that are near Interstates and also near parks, well, that cuts it down a bit.

191 posted on 10/08/2002 1:11:58 PM PDT by Pete
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To: wingnuts'nbolts
Exactly. My feeling is that he's an Arab or bought with Arab money: my mind changed when he shot the kid. They think it is fair to do that.
192 posted on 10/08/2002 1:25:48 PM PDT by Pharmboy
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To: 2banana
Fits the profile of a trained Islamic terrorist - wonder why that was not mentioned?

Political correctness...
I would hate to think that an American is doing this, but everyone on tv thinks so.

193 posted on 10/08/2002 1:39:36 PM PDT by Dr. Scarpetta
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To: Aquinasfan
A single shot is a lot quicker than spending 10 or 15 seconds to spray bullets at a crowd. Its faster and doesn't attract as much attention at first. Not as many witnesses. Remember the restaurant shooting in The Godfather? Use 1 or 2 bullets, leave the scene quickly, calmly and don't look at anybody directly. These shootings are very calculated I think.
194 posted on 10/08/2002 3:30:17 PM PDT by virgil
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To: Aquinasfan
It is really hard for a person to track direction of a single gun shot. Especially with traffic etc going on.
195 posted on 10/08/2002 4:07:18 PM PDT by WoollyRain
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To: G Larry
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/765475/posts?page=1

See this..could foreign terrorist be ruled out now?

196 posted on 10/08/2002 8:30:26 PM PDT by Freedom2specul8
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To: ~Kim4VRWC's~
Further out on a limb....
I posted earlier that I thought #7 was a copycat.
I hesitated to make that call on #8, but now I will.
(perhaps to mask #7)
It will be strange if they catch the perp on these 2 and
waste a lot of time figuring out that someone else did #1-6.
197 posted on 10/08/2002 9:56:56 PM PDT by G Larry
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To: ~Kim4VRWC's~; Pete; xsrdx; longtermmemmory
I just have a feeling that if this is a serial killer, we are going to start seing letters.

Megolomania - at some point I would expect him to either try to communicate with the public or press

In light of the tarot card, I guess I hit this one on the head.

As far as the tarot card, I suspect the police leaked this, meaning they have no good leads whatsoever. It's a subtle plea to the public, without coming out and saying they are stumped.

If this is the case, I bet the message was either different, or more, than what was released. Possibly more like "I am the Devil." Or something much more rational than "I am God." If the shooter believes he is being misrepresented, either by being made to look like a "nut" or by confusing his allegiences, it may prompt him to step up communication. He may make the next one to the media in an effort to get his "story" out. That can be helpful in catching him, or at least getting a better profile. Remember the Unabomber.

198 posted on 10/09/2002 5:23:58 AM PDT by NCLou
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To: Pete
My thought is that all Muslims be rounded up and checked thoroughly. If any problems with papers, visas, etc...off they go to their respective homelands. Sorry, but I think we are at war here.
199 posted on 10/09/2002 7:57:35 AM PDT by revolted
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To: longtermmemmory
It could be either a bolt-action or a semi-auto. There is no way to tell the difference, based on either the bullets or the one shell casing retrieved.
200 posted on 10/09/2002 8:03:50 AM PDT by JackIV
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