[John Jorsett]

Aha. A little research pays off. Take a look at Focus on Talent - Missouri contest could tip the Senate to the GOP — at least temporarily.

Relevant part:

Lame-duck speculation has heated up recently because Talent has. Although the race is officially a dead-heat in published numbers, the Republican challenger is up four to seven points in internal tracking polls — and even a prominent Democratic pollster concedes that Talent is trending upward.

[TheBigB]

Ah, I knew I had seen that statement recently. I was just trying to find it. Kudos. :)