I think I said that: NJ looks, right now, like a pickup. NH and TX and NC are "holds." Right now, MN and SD look like pickups. AR is, as of right now, a loss, and MO, right now, is a DEM hold. That means that we have, as of today, a net gain of two, giving us a 51-48-1 (traitor creep Jeffords, who is a Dem).
This makes it very interesting. I am convinced if we can pull out MO and AR, we will see Miller switch, just to stay in power. Perhaps Breaux. But not if the margin is this close. If it is only 1-seat pickup, look for Chaffee or McCain to bolt, putting us back at even.