Skip to comments.The Summer of 2009 (A Story) [Brilliant hypothetical on cause and effect]
Posted on 09/24/2002 11:28:48 AM PDT by 1bigdictator
The Summer of 2009 (A Story) Steven Plaut 23 September 2002 Email this story Print this story
It was a bright, sunny day in the summer of 2009.
It was in that period when the monthly death toll from Oslo passed its 1100 mark. The four remaining Knesset Members of the Israeli Labor Party were calling for more goodwill gestures by Israel and concessions to the PLO. Meretz and Peace Now were demanding that Israel seriously consider the latest peace offer from the Palestinians to convert Israel into a web site. Meanwhile, the Americans were demanding that Israel exercise self-restraint after the latest bus bombings. The State Department had just floated a new diplomatic compromise proposal that would involve running the border separating Israel from Palestine down Shenkin Street in Tel Aviv.
And it was right after the 1000th Israeli bus was blown to pieces by a Palestinian suicide bomber. The bomber of that 1000th bus had come from the West Bank town of Tul Karem, as the standard videotape of his bravado broadcast on Palestine Television showed.
Only three hours after the 1000th bus exploded, 14 well-placed car bombs in Tul Karem exploded in unison. There were dozens of casualties. The death toll from these car bombs reached 49, nearly half of whom were not wanted terrorists.
Later that day, a mysterious message was passed on to the BBC´s Palestine news desk operating out of Jaffa. The message claimed a group calling itself the Triple T, shorthand for the Terrorize the Terrorists organization, had placed the car bombs there.
The news of the car bombings aroused immediate fury from everywhere around the world. The Americans denounced this horrific terrorism as serving as an obstacle to striking a peace deal between Israel and the PLO, one that was just around the corner. The Israeli government insisted it had no knowledge of the perpetrators of the bombings, but did not rule out that they were PLO car bombs meant for Israel that had simply exploded prematurely, and in any case promised to run its own investigation. The PLO and its affiliates in Palestine issued their usual shrieking oaths of vengeance.
For ten days, a tense tranquility prevailed. On the 11th day, a Palestinian suicide bomber tried to blow himself up on a Haifa bus, but fortunately the fuse fizzled and the bomb did not go off. Under questioning by the police, it turned out that the would-be bomber came from Nablus. Three hours later central Nablus was shaken by a series of huge explosions. Large bombs that had been planted in garbage containers destroyed the entire market area. The carnage was almost as large as the earlier bombings of Tul Karem.
And once again, the mysterious Triple T organization took credit for the blasts. The State Department demanded that Israel take action and find the terrorists responsible for the blasts in Tul Karem and Nablus or face sanctions.
In the coming weeks, hundreds of incidents of sniping and shooting at Jews were recorded in the West Bank and Gaza, but -strangely - none of these occurred in Tul Karem or Nablus themselves. In those two towns, the Hamas organized protest marches to demand that Tel Aviv be blown to bits in revenge, but no acts of terrorism were initiated from their environs.
Two weeks after the Nablus bombings, the Hamas organized its largest mass rally ever in fields outside of Gaza City. In the midst of the rally, when the Sheikh who leads the Hamas began to speak, the entire field in which the rally was being held exploded in a ball of flame. The fireball was so large that it was visible from space, as photographed by a passing satellite. Body parts were found as far as half a mile away. The scene was horrific. The entire Gaza leadership of the Hamas sitting on the podium was annihilated, and hundreds of rank and file Hamas members were badly injured.
And again the shadowy Triple T organization took credit. The Israeli cabinet sent out police patrols to locate the perpetrators of these outrages. The Knesset denounced the 3T terrorists and expressed sympathy or the families of the Palestinian injured.
After the Gaza explosion, once again a tense period of tranquility lasting several months transpired. When the Palestinian shootings and snipings reignited later that spring, they were noticeably less intense than previously. But, more significantly, after many cases of snipings at Jews, bombs would almost immediately go off in the Palestinian villages closest to the scene of the shootings or in those from which the snipers had emerged.
By the following summer, the rate of Palestinian snipings had dwindled to a trickle. Far more important was the fact that during the entire summer not a single Israeli bus was attacked.
While the bombings of Palestinians by the Triple T appeared to have slowed, they did not stop altogether. Various Palestinian figures were blown to pieces when they started their cars or answered their cell phones. Curiously, these included many of the Palestinians who served as spokesmen for the Tanzim and other terror organizations, people whom the world was accustomed to watching on TV denouncing the Jews. The assassination of the spokeswoman for the Tanzim was particularly gruesome.
The Americans were still livid at the 3T violations of Palestinian human rights. Israel´s government insisted it was doing everything it could to discover the identities of the Triple T terrorists and to apprehend their leaders and members. The Triple T appeared to be too slick and well organized to be easily tracked down.
The level of Palestinian violence in 2010 was far lower than it had been the previous summer. It had not dropped to zero, and the bombings of Palestinian markets, cars, and offices after Palestinian-initiated violent incidents continued. When gunmen opened fire on the Jerusalem neighborhood of Gilo, the nearby town of Beit Jala was almost leveled in the largest explosion yet claimed by Triple T. It took weeks to clear the rubble.
Meanwhile, other important political changes were taking place. Statisticians noted that while the Palestinian death toll from the Triple T blasts was tragic, and indeed had passed the 410 mark, it appeared that if one were to extrapolate the Jewish death toll from the previous summer, and compare what its trend had been to the numbers actually killed in the past year by Palestinian terrorists, for every Palestinian death 12 Jewish deaths had been prevented!! And even that number was based on the full year; in the last quarter of the year by itself the ratio of saved to killed was 60 to 1.
But not all was tranquil. From the Israeli Arab city of Umm al-Fahm there emerged a team of suicide bombers who exploded themselves in downtown Afula, killing many passersby. Three weeks later the Islamic fundamentalist movement held a mass rally in the Umm al-Fahm stadium, under banners declaring that the Jews were threatening the al-Aqsa Mosque, and showing their solidarity with the Palestinian victims of Triple T.
The film crews caught the explosion on live camera. The grounds of the entire stadium had been mined and turned into a huge fireball. The injured lay everywhere and 18 were dead.
For the next 29 months, there did not occur a single bus bombing and the number of shooting incidents over this entire period in the entire West Bank and Gaza Strip was reduced to a handful. After the last Triple T explosion, a large emigration had begun from Umm al-Fahm and from the West Bank. It was estimated that in many West Bank towns as much as a third of the population had simply left and moved elsewhere, overseas. From Tul Karem the numbers were closer to two thirds. Some Israeli Arab towns and villages within the Green Line lost as much as a third of their populations as well.
All of the Israeli Arab Knesset Members from the PLO-surrogate parties and from the communist party had resigned from the parliament following the Umm al-Fahm massacre. For the next two years, there were no Arab members of the Knesset.
But three years after the first Triple T explosion, a group of Israeli Arab intellectuals established the Arab Zionist Party. Its basic platform was denunciation of all Palestinian claims to sovereignty, denunciation of all violence, loyalty to the state of Israel, and encouraging of Israeli Arabs to serve in the Israeli Defense Forces. In its first election contest, the party won 3 seats. In its second contest four years later, it won 13 seats, making it the third largest party in the Knesset, following the Ichud Leumi and the National Religious Party (led by the Prime Minister). The AZP initiated a series of proposals for affirmative action preferences that benefit Jews, to compensate them for their historic victimization by Arabs over decades.
Changes were also visible across the Green Line. In some Palestinian villages, local vigilante squads rounded up wanted terrorists and delivered them to Israeli army and police stations, occasionally lynching them beforehand. Large posters showing the pilots who had bombed Bin Laden´s underground hiding place to smithereens appeared on Palestinian billboards as local heroes. In some places, posters of the two Ghandis - Mohatma and Rehavam, could be seen under the slogan "Our Martyrs". Palestinian schools underwent a remarkable change in curriculum. They now emphasized the moral right of Israel to exist and instructed all Palestinians who were uncomfortable living under the democratic rule of the Jewish majority to move to Detroit or to Kuwait or to New Zealand.
A new Palestinian militia arose based in Bethlehem, dedicated to collaborating with the Israeli police and to patrolling the Palestinian streets and arresting anyone promoting violence against Jews. The militia later fielded candidates for mayors of West Bank towns and won about two thirds of all those contested.
Teams of Palestinians prayed at the Al-Aqsa Mosque and on leaving their prayers they rushed to the gates to invite Jews to join them in praying for peace on the Temple Mount. Groups of Palestinians asked to come to Jewish homes on Jewish holidays to pay their respects and to bring gifts. Among the Palestinians, there was a religious transformation. New pacifist and quietist sects of Moslem Sufis gained popularity. Small numbers of Palestinians converted to Buddhism. Thousands of Palestinians volunteered to serve in the Peace Corps and other volunteer organizations promoting non-violence overseas. Others volunteered to fight in squadrons of American and British military units tracking down Islamist terrorists in other countries. Many Palestinians named their children Schwartzkopf, in honor of the general who had attacked Iraq.
Israel also underwent a political transformation. Israeli universities became the centers for the new movement of Post-Post-Zionism, and groups of rowdy students tarred and feathered campus professors who had once supported Oslo. The Jewish History and Bible departments at the universities had to move to larger facilities. Synagogues throughout the country were filled to overflowing. The brand new Museum of Folly, documenting the Oslo years, was now the most popular stop for tourists and Israeli schoolchildren in Jerusalem.
While thousands of Palestinians petitioned to be annexed by Israel and made full citizens subject to military conscription, the government of Israel decided to put off the question for now. Meanwhile the out-migration of Palestinians from the West Bank and Gaza continued, with expatriates selling their homes to some of the 1.5 million Jewish immigrants that had flooded into the country in the past 3 years. Delegations of Jordanian Arabs from the northwestern areas of Jordan, opposite Beit Shean, submitted petitions to the Israeli government to be annexed. Several even offered to convert to Judaism if their homes could be annexed. Israeli flags were raised along the Jordanian side of the Jordan River. The BBC and CNN started showing the Bashan region of Jordan on their maps as Occupied Israeli territory. Along the eastern bank of the Jordan River, choirs of Arab school children chanted, "How Good are Your Tents Oh Jacob", like Bil´am in the Bible.
The Israeli economy was booming. A new wing was added to the Museum of Folly to describe the decades of Israeli socialism long since ended, documented for disbelieving school children. A wave of new Hebrew literature, film and drama started the world-wide "Israel Wave". Almost the entire Jewish population of California moved to Israel in order to enjoy the living standards so much higher there. The bankrupt publishers of Haaretz newspaper sold out to new owners, and the new editors made little attempt to hide their admiration for the 3T guerillas. Tikkun Magazine changed its name to Triple T (ikkun), to show its solidarity with the underground. All of France was paralyzed in the annual Honor the Jews parades, organized in large part by Palestinian emigres. The rest of the EU countries sent contingents.
Interpol is still hunting the shadowy Triple T organization. Its criminal members were never apprehended.
The nations of the world now send delegations to Jerusalem to join in the Succot celebrations, as the Prophet predicted. -------------------------------- Steven Plaut is Professor of Economics at Haifa University
PLO/Iraq/Syria/Iran can find any weapon they wish, and can count on the support or silence of their populations. The "anti-terrorists", however, cannot procure the heavy weapons, and would be instantly tracked down before they could accomplish anything.
How many sleeper cells in the US? What happened to the one American out of 300 million who planned to attack a Mosque?
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