Posted on 09/19/2002 3:19:59 PM PDT by vannrox
Tuesday, Sept. 17, 2002 11:02 p.m. EDT
Gubernatorial Races Trending Toward the Democrats
Stuart Rothenberg of Roll Call.com is sounding some bad news for the GOP in this November's gubernatorial elections. He predicts that 2002 will be a bad year for incumbents, due to budgetary problems.
Since 23 of the 36 governors up for re-election are Republicans, the GOP is likely to take a hit.
Presently, Democrats appear likely to win contests in Michigan, Illinois, and Pennsylvania, while Republicans are struggling with races which should be easy.
In California, for example, Republican challenger Bill Simon is striving to gain momentum against Governor Gray Davis, who carries high negative poll numbers.
While Republicans are well-positioned to win in Alabama, Alaska, South Carolina, New Hampshire, and Iowa, Democrats are still expected to gain between three and six statehouses this fall.
[NewsMax.com's Fr. Michael Reilly contributed this report.]
Read more on this subject in related Hot Topics:
Bush Administration
DNC
Editor's note:
FREE - 4 Months to NewsMax.com's Magazine. Check It Out - Get four FREE
Those projections are actually an improvement from only a month or so ago. If the GOP can hold the Dems' net gain to under +5, I think that would be a victory of sorts.
For a comparable projection, Larry Sabato (Center for Politics) says the most likely outcome is a +4 (net) gain for the Dems.
It means that the GOP national guys get to twist the arms of the Dem Governors if they want federal pork, and the Dem Governors will lobby in their own party so as to check the Dem radicals in the US Senate and House.
Well . . .
Xlinton WAS elected. . . .
Twice
'course here in NY we have a Gubernatorial race going on.
We don't have that problem . . .
We have two Democrats/Socialists running - Pataki (Democrat-Lite) and McCall (Democrat)
It truly doesn't matter which one wins.
I haven't seen Davis' ad lately about the Simon fraud conviction that was overturned. I guess he pulled that one. However, Davis trotted out the other ad about the Simon business seeking damages from the government for the bad-faith deal involving the S&L the family bought that failed.
The facts are that Congress created a "good-will" tax credit for businesses who bought failing Savings & Loans during the S&L bailout. For some companies, the only way it was at all profitable to buy the failing S&Ls was with the "good-will" credit. The Simon business was one of those that needed the credit in order to buy the failing S&L. The year after Congress approved the "good-will" credit that others took advantage, Congress reneged and revoked the credit, causing businesses that bought S&L's (as a favor to the gov't) to now be in a losing position. Many businesses are suing the government for bad-faith dealings and breach of contract.
Davis is spinning this in his ad claiming that Simon is going back to court to blame the government for his failing business, and how can we trust Simon with California when he can't run his own business?
-PJ
It's diabolical, imho. They know it won't help the kids...but it does require plenty of new teachers, more NEA control of local elections, etc.
For an estimated cost of the Florida proposed amendment (supported by the far left Dem. candidate for Gov. Bill McBride):
The First Constitutional Amendment Estimating Conference Puts an Official Price Tag on Class Size Initiative:
Reducing class size to the prescribed limits would be a challenging undertaking. Without a significant overhaul of state spending patterns, the class size proposal would likely require some new or increased taxes. A 1-penny increase to the state's 6-cent sales tax would raise $2.9 billion (based on FY 2004 estimated collections.).
To further illustrate the scope of the estimated required investment, the gross receipts tax on utilities, which funds public school construction, raises less than $800 million annually. Moreover, it would take a tripling of the state corporate income tax to raise the additional revenue called for in the estimates. In fact, four major tax sources combined (gross receipts, corporate income, beverage, and tobacco taxes) are expected to bring in $2.97 billion in FY 2004, so it would take a doubling of all those to raise the revenue. Lastly, a state personal income tax (currently prohibited by the state Constitution) of 1 per cent of Floridians' federal taxable income would raise approximately $2.4 billion.
Twice
That should be a bumper sticker. If that doesn't get every patriotic American to the polls on election day, what will? (^:
It's the same in most of these races. Republicans aren't giving conservatives a reason to vote for them.
I keep seeing these kinds of predictions and I wonder why we measure success in this way?
This isn't the House or Senate we're talking about here. The gross number doesn't mean all that much.... it's WHICH states we win/lose that matters.
PA will hurt. TX would hurt ALOT (though I doubt it's in too much danger) since it hurts Bush and the party (and keeps us from picking up 3-4 seats in TX in 2004 from redistricting)
On the other hand, If we win CA I won't mind a 5 seat net loss because that's nationally a big win. If we take CA AND MD without losing TX or NY it's actually a good year for republicans.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.