Well, I can't see it happening till early next year, but John Pike & Friends seem to think along the same lines as you:
AMERICA will attack Iraq on November 6, US defence experts believe.
They are so sure of the date that they have posted an Iraq Countdown clock on the internet to show the minutes ticking away.
Five of the US Navy's aircraft carriers will be close to the Gulf region.
Weather and political factors also favour the date picked by international think tank GlobalSecurity.org for the start of the campaign to topple Saddam Hussein. Respected commentator John Pike, director of the Washington-based organisation, told the Daily Mirror: "Iraq is going to happen a lot sooner than most people think."
The eight key pointers are:
-President Bush must have resolved the Iraq situation when his re-election campaign begins in under 18 months, and a war and clean-up will take at least a year;
-Delaying an attack will give Saddam more time to prepare his defences;
-A war in the desert would be almost impossible before October because it is too hot for troops to wear protective bio-chemical suits;
-In December and January, temperatures are low enough to freeze diesel oil, cloud hinders air visibility, and desert snow can hamper tanks;
-Elections to the US Congress finish on November 5. President Bush cannot fight a war in the month-long run-up;
-Media speculation and government leaks had all predicted an invasion in February or March 2003, so early November might have given the US an element of surprise;
-The military will have time to replenish stocks of smart bombs that were depleted by the Afghanistan campaign;
-Five US aircraft carriers will be close by, together with Royal Navy carrier Ark Royal, providing an invasion base under the cover of routine deployment.
Each American carrier will have a full complement of F18 Hornet fighter-bombers and a strike force of up to 1,000 Marines. All five will be battle ready and within five days sailing from the region on manoeuvres by the beginning of November.
Mr Pike said: "The opportunity to attack without having to announce new deployments to the world beforehand is likely to be far too good for Pentagon war-planners to ignore.
"You can go to war within three weeks of making a decision about it, and within one week of the world finding out.
"The President is under a lot of political pressure for results and his window is pretty tight.
"If I was a betting man, November 6 is where all my money would be."
When I was over there(Saudi), I didn't see a cloud in the sky until a small white puff cloud showed up on November 15th; a few days later it rained along with nice temperatures.
Two days after the new moon; a possible date. Around here would be my guess, too, if I thought this were going to happen before the election
Darkness is our friend.