Iraq, on the other hand, may do almost exactly the opposite, attacking Israel, the Gulf, the Oilfields, Jordan, the USA by terror, or almost any place at almost any minute.
Even now, we may be just waiting him out so that he makes the first move, I do not think either he nor we have more than a month or two left at the outside before acting in a big way.
One can point to the propaganda machines of the US military and say it could happen any time. But when you look at the effects it must be having on Saddam (to preempt an American attack), you can readily see that it should be coming real soon now. I just don't see Saddam as one who will keep playing a mind game with W.