[eno_]

how much of this is coincidence and how much of this is orchestrated Ask papa Bush how much of the liberation of Eastern Europe was "coincidence." For a while, it was a revolution per month. Even the Baltic nations, which everyone had written off as too dangerous to split off from the Soviet Union got their independence.

So a Jordan/Palestine, plus a Hashemite kingdom spanning some of Iraq plus some of Saudi Arabia, with a Saudi emirate as a rump state, and a Turk-administered northern Iraq (bit of a complication with the Kurds, but...) may be the outcome. But don't count on the map changing overnight. The Cold War was 40 years long.

[steve-b]

a Turk-administered northern Iraq (bit of a complication with the Kurds, but...)

True, but the Turks would rather run the place than have it become an independent state (which might become a source of support for Kurdish terrorism within Turkey).

[ItisaReligionofPeace]

Good point RE: cold war. How much of a role did we play in the revolutions?