Dark of the moon (no light) precedes the New Moon. Dates are listed above.
I still say not until after elections. Something tells me that Powell and the state dept. are going to try and p.c. this thing to death and make it look like we exhausted every possible solution to war ala Taliban. I am thinking into early next year to be honest. I dunno why but that has stuck with me for so long on this inevitable invasion and ousting.
I just really believe this will be a post election issue.