Posted on 08/01/2002 1:10:59 PM PDT by SJackson
Y'all talk like that around this part of the South, and we'd thank you were wunna' them commie, tree-hugging, brie nibbling, chardonnay-sipping yankees.
Even if true, you win wars by doing the unexpected. I believe we will attack Iraq between now and the end of September.
By MATT KELLEY, Associated Press
WASHINGTON (July 16, 2002 12:52 a.m. EDT) - U.S. weapons makers have doubled the production rate of laser-guided bombs, added a shift to assemble satellite-guided bomb tailkits and boosted output at one ammunition factory to its highest level in 15 years.
Some of the ordnance will replace weapons used in the war in Afghanistan, but analysts say another reason for the buildup is to stockpile weapons for possible military action against Iraq.
President Bush has said he wants to see Saddam Hussein removed from power, accusing the Iraqi leader of hoarding chemical and biological weapons and seeking nuclear bombs. Bush and Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld say they have no immediate plans to go to war against Iraq, however.
"The job of Central Command is to be prepared for that Iraq contingency, and that plan is probably pretty well in development," said retired Rear Adm. Stephen Baker, a former naval operations director for Central Command.
"One thing they need to do is bring the stockpiles up, particularly of the laser-guided bombs and JDAMs and Tomahawk missiles."
JDAM stands for Joint Direct Attack Munition, the satellite-guided bomb that has been a favorite U.S. weapon in the war in Afghanistan. Military planners love the JDAM for its pinpoint accuracy and relatively low cost of less than $25,000 each.
About 9,000 new JDAMs have been built this year, compared with about 10,000 total by the end of last year. Analysts have estimated that more than half of the first 10,000 JDAMs were used in Afghanistan and even more would be needed for an attack on Iraq.
The military still has only a fraction of the 40,000 to 50,000 JDAMs it wants, said analyst John Pike of GlobalSecurity.org.
"They had obviously used up a significant fraction of what was on hand, and what was on hand a year ago was only a small fraction of what they want to have on hand," Pike said.
Precision weapons like JDAMs would be key to any attack on Iraq, since they would allow the United States to focus its firepower on Saddam's military infrastructure while minimizing civilian casualties. The accurate weapons also allow the same number of planes to hit more targets in less time.
Pike said one Navy admiral has credited the JDAM with increasing the lethality of an aircraft carrier fivefold.
"It's only when you start thinking about that quantum leap in air power lethality that it starts to become plausible that you could take military action against Iraq without having a massive, multimonth (troop) buildup like they had a decade ago," Pike said.
A Boeing Co. factory in St. Charles, Mo., assembles the JDAM kits, which fit over the tail of 1,000-pound or 2,000-pound "dumb" bombs to turn them into satellite-guided weapons.
Earlier this year, the factory added a second shift of workers to increase production from about 1,000 kits per month to 1,500, said Boeing spokesman Robert Algarotti. The company plans to boost production even further, to 2,000 per month by the end of the year and 2,800 per month by the middle of 2003.
Those rates would add another 20,000 or more JDAMs to the U.S. arsenal within a year and about 37,000 by the end of 2003. At the highest rate, Boeing could make enough JDAMs to fill out the 40,000 stockpile in about 14 months.
Raytheon Co. makes laser-guided bombs at a factory in Tucson, Ariz. That factory has added a partial third shift, doubled its production rate and is delivering the laser-guided bombs five months ahead of schedule, Raytheon spokeswoman Sara Hammond said.
Citing competitive reasons, Hammond declined to discuss the precise number and rates of laser-guided bombs being made.
The United States has tens of thousands of laser-guided bombs on hand, so the need for them is not as critical. Still, up to several thousand have been used in Afghanistan and thousands would be used in any attack on Iraq.
Pike said the military had enough laser-guided bombs and must simply replace those used.
"With the JDAM, they didn't have nearly as much as they wanted and used up much of what they had," he said. "So they have to not only replace what was used but significantly increase the total number."
Raytheon's Tucson operation also makes the Tomahawk missile, another precision weapon launched from Navy ships and submarines. The United States used dozens of the missiles in the war in Afghanistan and during the 1991 Persian Gulf War to drive Iraq out of Kuwait.
While Raytheon does not have a contract to make more Tomahawks, it has sped up the process of upgrading older missiles, Hammond said. The company recently finished upgrading 644 of the missiles six months ahead of schedule, she said.
At the Lake City Army Ammunition Plant in Independence, Mo., production is at its highest rate in 15 years - higher than during the Gulf War. The plant recently got a $92 million contract to make 265 million rounds of small-caliber ammunition for the Army.
Some of that will be used for increased training and some will go into the Army's regular ammunition stockpile, said Karen Engelbret, a spokeswoman for Lake City plant owner Alliant Techsystems.
Rosie knows Saddam searches these open sources for updates, and wanted him to know she and Lorena have been busily perfecting the Saddam-Bobbitt-Bomblet, a penis-homing weapon.
Actually, I strongly suspect that the JDAM supplies are almost, if not already at, wartime strength.
LGB's have also been brought back up to strength. Naval builds and supplies are open to the fleet like a fire hydrant on full blast.
I strongly suspect that we are nearly ready to go, or will be by September. I agree with Kelly in that full dress infantry/armor/artillery operations will not begin until late November. However, I suspect that a large scale campaign of sabotage backed up by airpower will begin in October. The Boeing JDAM plant is going three shifts, 24/7, to fill the DOD orders. Other supply plants are going at full steam as well.
Certain decisions have already been made. However, it should be pointed out that Iran is not in our planning right now. We'll simply ride that wave and be around when the Ayahtollahs are overthrown to establish friendly relations with the New Regime.
Be Seeing You,
Chris
To maintain the deception they also got one of the Agents a certain 'Garbo' to start radioing his control in Madrid at 3am on 6th June 1944 a warning that the Normandy Landing were underway. He eventually got through at 0608 hours, far too late, of course, for the information to be of any use the German High Command.
If a cogent uprising does manifest inside of Iran and it is successful...I dont doubt seeing us send Troops into Iran if they are requested by the upstarts.
It would make life easier...
Timing is everything.
It's great when fate intervenes to make you look good.
Operation [more Bush running 75% of the Clinton Administration] Stealth
I also hope very little of that small arms stuff gets used up, then it will appear on the surplus market in few years, so I can shoot some of it up. :)
Yup. Would it be too much to ask for some nice, cheap, fresh surplus 7.62 NATO?
As far as the weather goes, most of the fighting in the desert will be done in vehicles that are both NBC proof and air conditioned. Anyway chemical weapons only as effective as their delivery systems. That would mostly be artillery, and without obeservers the Iraqis would have to rely on pure luck. And with American counter battery technology they would have to be lucky to get off a second shot.
I suspect it won't be the Iraqi people, but a military cabal, which works. The people could do it in Iran. That could well be the idea, since I don't see the preparations for a ground war, particularly one where we could be fighting both Iraq and Iran. I question whether it's smart to depend on that, but maybe we have a year to waste.
I completely agree, we have to assume we will be facing them both. Not only for the "enemy of my enemy" rationale, but more importantly, if we are to believe the reports that the mullahs are losing control in Iran, a war against the "great satan" would be just what they need to rally the masses, which despite unrest will probably rally to an anti-American cause. It's possible you might have to stir Syria into the mix.
I don't see us preparing for an undertaking of this magnitude.
Israel, not the key, but a decisive ally if we ask.
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