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To: ~Kim4VRWC's~; VRWC_minion
(Repeat of prior post, so's as folks -- like Nancy Grace, VRWC_minion, etc. should not be so confused about the odds of things.)

The random coincidences that occur in everyday life provide a rich soil for false but seemingly undeiable connections between events and between people and events.

Here's a good article to study: Coincidences: Remarkable or Random?, Skeptical Inquirer magazine : September/October 1998.

"You don't believe in telepathy?" My friend, a sober professional, looked askance. "Do you?" I replied. "Of course. So many times I've been out for the evening and suddenly became worried about the kids. Upon calling home, I've learned one is sick, hurt himself, or having nightmares. How else can you explain it?"

Such episodes have happened to us all and it's common to hear the words, "It couldn't be just coincidence." Today the explanation many people reach for involves mental telepathy or psychic stirrings. But should we leap so readily into the arms of a mystic realm? Could such events result from coincidence after all?

...

Clearly, unspecified improbable coincidences occur daily to everyone, and these coincidences are most likely the result of randomness. If the data set is large enough, coincidences are sure to appear, as demonstrated with the first 100 decimal digits of p. The chance of tossing five straight heads is only 3 percent, but for 100 tosses the chance becomes 96 percent. Though applied in a different context, Ramsey theory (Scientific American, July 1990) states that "Every large set of numbers, points, or objects necessarily contains a highly regular pattern." It is not necessary to posit mysterious forces to explain coincidences.



1,014 posted on 07/23/2002 12:27:14 PM PDT by bvw
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To: bvw
Nice post..did you pass that along to Nancy too?

This should have been posted on top of all the vd threads.

The random coincidences that occur in everyday life provide a rich soil for false but seemingly undeiable connections between events and between people and events.

1,030 posted on 07/23/2002 12:44:17 PM PDT by Freedom2specul8
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To: bvw
"It couldn't be just coincidence."

At least three coincidences at once is more than I can accept. Blood like subtsance + hair that falls in trap + sole fingerprint isn't one coincident. Its three, maybe four couting the fibers.

A play time visit doesn't do it for me. Especially in that the chances of one of the three occuring decrease the chances of the other occuring.

1,051 posted on 07/23/2002 1:13:17 PM PDT by VRWC_minion
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