New Battleground Poll

Battleground Survey ^ | 6/25/02 | Tarrance/Lake

[hchutch]

I know, it's either that or to keep re-opening the wounds between elements of the left. Did you know the Green Party is running a Senate candidate against Wellstone?

I've heard stories about an old trick that guerillas would sometimes use. They'd get between two larger units of the enemy, and they'd fire a few shots in either direction, then bug out. It would take at least several minutes to sort it out, and there would be some serious friendly fire casualties.

Norquist may have done something similar - I saw the details in a thread summer posted. It's one of those sneaky, underhanded things to pull off, so some conservatives might not like it. I, personally, have no problem with fighting dirty if the left does.

[Grampa Dave]

Okay, young man get motivated, back into tracking the polls, and then posting your data on Free Republic!

You will feel better about your self, and we need your insight to know what really happened re a poll.

[Grampa Dave]

Do you mean that some evil VRWC's might use something like the sticker below to drive votes away from Gray Davis to the enviral green candidate:

Surely you would not encourage conservatives to do something like this during an election?

[hchutch]

That is a fair part of what I had in mind.

Maybe running some more ads (say under a Republicans Against Racism banner) touting the KKK past of Robert Byrd would be good, too. Some good old mudslinging...

[DJtex]

Thanks for the excellent analysis. You were very helpful to me in 2000, keep up the good work. Zogby was all over the map in the last few days. I think that he was afraid of losing his reputation for perfect accuracy and was taking wild stabs so that he could point to one poll for each state in the final week that was at least close.

He got very lucky in getting close to the final national vote breakdown, but his detailed analysis "stunk on ice."

[Grampa Dave]

You mean an ad showing Rat Senator Racists in Suits with a grinning KKK er in the front of the pack?

Notice how conservatives who left the KKK are held in contempt the rest of their lives by the media mediots. Dirty Bryd gets a free pass because he is a rat.

[hchutch]

Something like that. And we follow it up with a few other bits of policy. Some call it pandering, I call it divide-and-conquer.

[HOYA97]

Thanks for researching that!

[deport]

The thing that troubles me is the comments they made about how recent elections have shown that unions and minorities have turned out in droves, much more so than white conservative Christians.

A question regarding the exit polling of 2000. How much credence do place in the 19% number of the religious right that voted for Gore? I find that number hard to believe but yet I believe there has to be some validity in it at some level, maybe 2, 5, 7% or so.

[Dales]

I do not know, because I do not know how they identified "religious right".

If it was just by people checking it on one of their questionaires, I would attribute it to some Democrats lying.

[Dales]

It is my assumption that 2002's election will take place in a markedly different environment than we have right now.

Little did I know that it would be markedly different by today, thanks to court rulings by the 9th circuit about the Pledge and the Supreme Court about vouchers.

It may change even more markedly, but the picture just got a LOT more favorable for us than even this poll and these strategic analyses painted.

[hchutch]

Don't forget the GDP numbers.

I think the Dems are in trouble.

[Dales]

I do too.

But then, I thought Bush was going to win in a cakewalk, even though the numbers I was seeing (and posting) said it was going to be close.