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To: JohnHuang2
I'd like to take credit for predicting this!

See posting as follows:

Posted by bonesmccoy to TheLooseThread
On News/Activism Jun 11 6:40 PM #53 of 121

I think you're seriously over-reacting! The incubation time of small pox is around two weeks. So, these cases are unlikely to be smallpox. It's far more likely to be a simple case of Varicella Zoster, chickenpox!


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3 posted on 06/19/2002 12:00:23 AM PDT by bonesmccoy
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To: bonesmccoy
How could you conclude anything from the incubation period? How would you know when the initial exposure of these people would have been?

At the time, I thought that the important clues (suggesting measles or chickenpox) were that there were no reports of any deaths and that all or most of the infected people were children. There also was clearly a potential language translation issue. There were previous instances of reported "smallpox" in that part of the world that turned out to be measles or chickenpox.
4 posted on 06/19/2002 12:09:15 AM PDT by Mitchell
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