Known as the "Allah's Suitcase" scenario, Western intelligence sources have confirmed the delivery of two and probably three of these devices to various Chechen factions in Baku during the early Autumn of 2000. It is believed that Shamil Basayev acquired one (or two) of these weapons while the late Arab fighter Khattab sold a third unit to al-Qaeda representatives early in 2001.
Once reaching Baku, one of these devices is believed to have transited the Caspian Sea toward Iran. The Basayev bomb briefly traced to Ingushetia north of Nazran and south of the Terek River late in 2001.
Basayev has sworn a holy oath to destroy Moscow if Russian forces do not withdraw from Chechnya. He is a cunning and masterful planner that leaves very little to chance. If given the window of opportunity he will detonate a 1.5 kt device in Moscow and attempt to topple the Putin government.
With the capability in hand, the timing is the critical question. Basayev is thought to hope to coordinate his strike with a similar catastrophic detonation in Western Europe. He believes that these events will trigger a general Islamic uprising in the former Soviet states, while collapsing the Russian will to continue a presence in Chechnya.
While many cheered the death of Khattab earlier this year, unfortunately his passing severed the last link to the delivery of the al-Qaeda bomb. London and Langley both quite aware that it is out there and to their credit they are redoubling efforts to thwart this attack.
The oil refinery capacity of Houston still believed to be a primary target.
The good news about Shamil Basayev is that there are one or two Americans he trusts and will listen to. He does not want to destroy Moscow -- he merely wants the Russians out of Chechnya. However he will not be stalled forever by unfulfilled promises.
The bad news about al-Qaeda is that the West has lost the intitative in the War on Terror. This is not a good thing.
The forces of freedom on the move. Europe trembles.
And gee, Mr.D., would you be one of those "enlightened" Americans? What's Baseyov going to do? Hop on his one good foot all the way to Moscow? If he had it, he would have used it. Just like your pet animals bombed apartments, traffic tunnels and a Victory Day parade killing 41 (12 children). You support animals, you have as much credibility as your pathetic charges. And you've been predicting the same tired BS for almost a year now....what's a matter? FSB got your tongue...they sure did Kattab's...with cynide.
Crusaders on the move....Islam shietes itself.