In the interest of fair disclosure, I'm not conservative myself--I'm a libertarian. Your point that the conservatives need to concentrate on what they need to do to win is well taken, but I think it also bears pointing out that the party has
not been doing those things and might need to make some changes.
Myself, I would like to see the GOP take back the Senate. If nothing else, it would stifle the excuses for why the GOP is not doing anything about making govt smaller, defending gun rights (more than lip service that is), etc. It would be "put up or shut up" time.
I'm not a Libertarian, but I agree with you that the GOP should take the Senate! I guess libertarians and republicans can agree on SOME things!