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I'll take that bet.

Deal! If the coroner says suicide you donate to FR, if they say homicide I will. The odds are against you though. The best numbers I could find from the CDC show a suicide rate of 6.5 per 100k per year for young white women, a homicide rate of 3.2. The odds from the beginning greatly favor suicide. All at once she lost her job, her lover (a real jerk), and had to move back home, which is enough motivation for a suicide. She was a high achiever/big expectation type. If she chose suicide she's more likely than average to succeed. Also, we're talking about the DC police here, they couldn't find the body until it was handed to them. Even if it was homicide they're probably not smart enough to connect the dots. Good luck to ya!

You better start saving your money. They found a crack in her head; unless she rammed herself in a tree and somehow managed to throw herself down a ravine and cover herself up with leaves and shrubs before she died, you are surely going to lose.

Your stats might very well be correct but the premise behind them and the conclusions you draw from them are shaky at best. I mean, it would be nice if simple statistics could solve cases like this but at the very least you have to put some thought behind the numbers in order to come up with anything meaningful. For instance, it would probably be relevant to find out what percentage of suicides go out into unfamiliar woods and then kill themselves in such a way that their body won't be found for over a year. And also how many do it right after packing their bags getting ready to go on a trip. Plus there is the lack of a suicide note or anything else that might indicate why she would commit suicide. How many suicidal women do that? Maybe some would, such as a complete loner, but she was hardly that and i can't imagine she would be so callous towards her parents and friends as to put them through the agony of not knowing what really happened to her. I think when you put all that into your calculations the ratio between suicide/murder would change significantly.