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NOAA: April warm, dry over much of nation; second-warmest April since 1880 globally
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration ^ | May 16, 2002

Posted on 05/21/2002 9:15:05 AM PDT by cogitator

WARM TEMPERATURES AND SEVERE DROUGHT CONTINUED IN APRIL THROUGHOUT PARTS OF UNITED STATES; GLOBAL TEMPERATURE FOR APRIL SECOND WARMEST ON RECORD

May 16, 2002 — Periods of record to near-record warmth and drier than normal conditions in April led to worsening drought in many areas of the United States, while beneficial rains fell in drought-affected areas of the Northeast. (Click image for larger view of NOAA's state temperature ranking from Nov. 2001 through April 2002.)

Preliminary data indicate that the average temperature in the contiguous United States was the 9th warmest on record for the month of April, and the second warmest globally since records began in the late 1800s, according to NOAA scientists.

Although April began with cooler than normal temperatures across much of the U.S., record warmth affected many cities from the Plains to the East Coast during the middle of the month. Daily high temperatures more than 15 degrees F (8 C) above average during this period contributed to an average monthly temperature of 54.6 degrees F (12.6 C) in the contiguous U.S., 2.6 degrees F (1.4 C) above the 1895-2002 long-term mean (based on preliminary data), the 9th warmest April since national records began in 1895. April temperatures in Alaska were cooler than average, 2.1 degrees F (1.2 C) below the 1961-1990 mean. The data come from NOAA's National Climatic Data Center in Asheville, N.C.

For the month as a whole, temperatures were much above average in many states from Arizona to Florida and along the eastern seaboard as far north as Connecticut and Rhode Island. A record warm April occurred in North Carolina, South Carolina and New Mexico and three other states (Florida, New Jersey and Rhode Island) had their 3rd warmest April. Above normal temperatures have persisted throughout a large part of the central and eastern U.S. since late last year, most notably in the Midwest and Northeast. The November-April 2001/2002 six-month period was the record warmest in 16 states from Iowa to New England.

The continued anomalous warmth coincided with below-normal precipitation in parts of the U.S. which led to worsening drought conditions for some of the most severely affected regions of the country. Although a series of storms brought much-needed rainfall to parts of the Northeast and some improvement in drought from northern Virginia to Maine, the persistence of severe to extreme drought required the continuation of drought emergencies in many cities along the northeastern seaboard. Drought severity at the end of April was the worst since the extreme drought of the mid-1960's in parts of the region.

Below to much-below average precipitation occurred across most southern-tier states in April. Conditions have steadily worsened throughout a large part of the Southwest following a winter of very low snowfall totals that left snowpack levels at less than 50% of average in much of the region. By month's end, extreme drought covered a large part of the West from Montana to New Mexico and Arizona. The past seven months have been the driest October through April on record in Colorado, and the excessively dry conditions have led to numerous wildfires and concern that the 2002 wildfire season may be extremely active.

Montana has experienced some of the most severe drought conditions in the nation. In parts of the state, the drought began more than four years ago and the persistence of below-average precipitation and warmer than normal temperatures throughout much of the period led to a level of drought severity worse than any recorded in more than a century. The conditions have made dry-land farming extremely difficult in parts of Montana and many other states in the western U.S. Conditions on more than half of the range and pasture lands in Montana, Colorado and Arizona were rated by the U.S. Department of Agriculture in early May as poor to very poor with more than 75 percent of the range and pastures in New Mexico rated poor to very poor. The extended drought also led to numerous dust storms from Montana to Colorado, resulting in incidents of brownouts and loss of topsoil. However, soil conservation programs implemented since the Dust Bowl era of the 1930's have prevented the recurrence of the devastating soil losses that occurred during that period.

Global:

The average global temperature for land and ocean surfaces combined (based on preliminary data) was 1.0 degree F (0.6 C) above the 1880-2001 long-term mean, the second warmest April for the period of record which began in 1880 (the period of reliable instrumental records). The warmest April occurred only four years ago during the last El Niño episode. Warmer-than-normal sea surface temperatures were observed throughout most of the equatorial Pacific during April, and a slow evolution toward a weak to moderate El Niño episode is likely to continue throughout the remainder of 2002. (See NOAA news release at http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories/s905.htm.

For the global ocean surface as a whole, the average temperature was 0.8 degrees F (0.4 C) above the long-term mean, the 2nd warmest April since 1880. The land surface global temperature was 3rd warmest, 0.5 degrees F (0.3 C) less than in 1998 and slightly less than the average April temperature in 2000.

Two of the past four months (January and March) were the warmest such months on record, and for the year-to-date four-month period (January-April), the combined land and ocean global temperature was 1.3 degrees F (0.7 C) above average, slightly less than the record warm four-month period of 1998. Global temperatures have increased at an average rate of approximately 1 degree F (0.6 C) per century since 1900, but the rate of warming during the past 25 years is almost three times higher.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Front Page News; Government
KEYWORDS: climate; drought; fires; globalwarminghoax; rain
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To: longshadow
It snowed in Cleveland O. yesterday...and (surprise, surprise!) that's a new record! Plus we've had lots of rain, and it's been very cold for May, including frost warnings...it's bad for Ohio farmers, and it's been strange weather, but it's not been "global warming", for sure!
21 posted on 05/21/2002 11:01:50 AM PDT by 88keys
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To: 88keys
This spring in Alberta has been so cold that we had to kick start the wolves until last week. Still lots of snow and ice in the lower mountain elevations and the skiing is excellent. This report is rubbish.
22 posted on 05/21/2002 11:08:29 AM PDT by canuckwest
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To: cogitator
It was just reported on NPR (I listen during adverts on my Seattle KVI conservative radio station) that the east coast and the Carolina's are experiencing unusually cold weather due to an unseasonably cold Canadian air mass.

Hey you eco-climatological freeks, the weather changes from time to time. Go back and diddle with your flawed computer models some more!

23 posted on 05/21/2002 11:23:16 AM PDT by HardStarboard
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To: *Global Warming Hoax
Check the Bump List folders for articles related to and descriptions of the above topic(s) or for other topics of interest.
24 posted on 05/21/2002 11:26:00 AM PDT by Free the USA
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To: cogitator
I had a pool built last October, just in time for it to start getting cool here in South Florida.

I couldn't wait for Spring. My pool guy told me that we should have 85 degree water by mid-March. We didn't get that warm until the end of April. The days are warm enough, but the nights, which are usually mid to upper 70's at that time, were in the upper 60's to lower 70's. That cooled off the pool and limited the moon light swims!

Just a couple of nights ago was it finally really warm enough at night to swim comfortably.

Do you think that if we had a nation wide "cooler than normal" period of time, they would tell us?

25 posted on 05/21/2002 11:36:29 AM PDT by Crusher138
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To: cogitator
"Second-Warmest April since 1880."

So they must of had Global Warming problems in the year 1880 also.

26 posted on 05/21/2002 11:57:03 AM PDT by smithson
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To: cogitator
We had a mild winter in Vermont, but the whole month of May has been wet and freezing.
27 posted on 05/21/2002 12:17:37 PM PDT by Cicero
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To: Leto
It's interesting that they use 1880 as the starting point for their caculation of the average mean temperature. The ereption in 1883 caused the year without a summer and significently lowered global temps for a couple of years. I wonder how big a difference there would have been if they has used say 1902 as a starting point and measured the last century.

Minor correction: the "year without a summer" was 1816, due to the eruption of Tambora in Indonesia. Krakatoa was 1883. Krakatoa definitely caused cooling, but not nearly as much as Tambora.

28 posted on 05/21/2002 1:07:56 PM PDT by cogitator
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To: Leto
When Vikings were growing grapes in New Brunswick Canada (aka Vinland. I'm guessing the avg temps were much higher than were're seeing now.

The estimate for the Medieval Warm Period is about 2 degrees C warmer in the Northern Hemisphere. Though there are detectable MWP signals in the Southern Hemisphere, it doesn't appear to have been as strong. But that assessment could change with more data because there are more available data sources in the Northern Hemisphere.

29 posted on 05/21/2002 1:10:21 PM PDT by cogitator
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To: smithson
So they must of had Global Warming problems in the year 1880 also.

So many people misinterpret what that means (so I'm not singling you out). It means that in the entire record from 1880-present, this is the second-warmest April ever recorded. It doesn't mean that 1880 was the warmest, it means that's when the record started. The warmest April was probably either April 1998 (when the big El Nino was still going strong), or in the "Dust Bowl" 1930s, the previous warmest period in the record.

30 posted on 05/21/2002 1:13:20 PM PDT by cogitator
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To: cogitator
Living in the U.S. midwest I'm of the opinion April & May reversed themselves this year. May has been damp and cold, April dryer and warmer. Returned from southern Spain last week, The Costa del Sol had some of the coolest, wet windy weather (30 knots with higher gusts for several days) for May in memory. The higher elevations of the Sierra Nevadas (southern Spain) had snow, visible from the Mediterranean coast.
31 posted on 05/21/2002 1:26:13 PM PDT by BluH2o
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To: Crusher138
Do you think that if we had a nation wide "cooler than normal" period of time, they would tell us?

Yes.

Climate of 2000: November: U.S. National Analysis

"The November 2000 monthly mean temperature averaged across the contiguous United States, based on data from the U.S. Historical Climate Network (USHCN) and preliminary data from the Climate Division Database, ranked as the second coolest November since records began in 1895. The preliminary nationally averaged temperature for November 2000 was 38.7° F, 3.8° F below the long-term mean. The actual November temperature values from 1895 through 2000 are available. November 1999, just last year, was the warmest such month on record."

(Just as an aside, it took me awhile to find this example. Most of the months over the past couple of years have been warmer than average).

32 posted on 05/21/2002 1:28:15 PM PDT by cogitator
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To: smithson
My hunch was right; see reply 30. The warmest April in the record was April 1998.
33 posted on 05/21/2002 1:36:06 PM PDT by cogitator
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To: Mortin Sult
It gets worse. I used to work for TV. It was explained to me that the NOAA was removing and "revising" historical data to make a more accurate history. The TV station I worked for had the actuall NOAA measurements back from the early 60's to date. It was interesting, to say the least, to compare the data after they had changed it...........
34 posted on 05/21/2002 1:42:42 PM PDT by phalynx
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To: 1/1,000,000th%
I vote for global warming.

Out of curiousity, how much snow did you get this year? And how many days were the natural ice rinks skate-able?

I grew up in central Wisconsin, and according to my friends, this was an abysmal winter for winter sports. I know that here in Maryland we had hardly any snow at all.

35 posted on 05/21/2002 1:43:34 PM PDT by cogitator
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To: cogitator
Global warming is, as a matter of scientific fact, occurring. It's a controversy what causes it. It's a controversy what to do about it. But that it exists, that's just a scientific issue, not a political one. I'm a big fan of not mixing the two. Personally, I think the scientific literature on global warming does establish a strong likelihood that carbon dioxide omissions are strongly contributing to the warming trend. Whether there may be other contributors (such as naturally occuring cycles that occur on the decade or century scale) is unknown. But none of that answers the question of how serious the warming is or what we should do about it. That is, surely, a political issue.
36 posted on 05/21/2002 1:51:03 PM PDT by FreeTheHostages
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To: cogitator
Well I don't know about where you live, but I'd prefer at least a bit of ice and snow in the winter.

We had very little of it where I live this year.

But we had huge snowfall the year before that.

It’s called weather, and the government has nothing to do with controlling it. (that’s the job of the sleestacks and their crystals)

37 posted on 05/21/2002 1:54:15 PM PDT by dead
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To: balrog666
Here in Detroit, according to PRELIMINARY LOCAL CLIMATOLOGICAL DATA (WS FORM: F-6), the average monthly temperature has been 51.3 Deg. F. (6.5 Deg. F. below normal). Moreover there have so far been 270 heating degree days (heating degrees are the total number of degrees that the average temperature was below 65 Deg. F.), this is 83 more heating degree days than normal. The seasonal total of heating degree days thus far is 5496 (979 heating degree days below normal). Clearly May has been somewhat cooler than normal, but the entire season has not been as cool as normal. Furthermore, no cooling degree days have been logged for May so far (19 cooling degree days less than normal), and the 30 cooling degree days logged thusfar for the season are 5 more than normal.

Let me know where you live, I'll supply objective information pertaining to how cool it has not really been contrary to your feelings.

I've been trained as a weather specialist and that requires dealing with scientific facts, feelings and opinions that matter more than the facts do to a liberal.

38 posted on 05/21/2002 1:54:52 PM PDT by raygun
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To: KSCITYBOY
They won't run the numbers for the month of May, for the simple reason that's it's been freezing in the northeast the last several days, and everyone knows it.
39 posted on 05/21/2002 1:55:48 PM PDT by jpl
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To: cogitator
I stand corrected.
40 posted on 05/21/2002 2:04:01 PM PDT by smithson
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