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Cosmic catastrophe 'a certainty'
BBC ^ | 9 May 02 | Dr David Whitehouse

Posted on 05/09/2002 9:17:20 AM PDT by RightWhale

Wednesday, 8 May, 2002, 14:10 GMT 15:10 UK

Cosmic catastrophe 'a certainty'

Sooner or later, a catastrophe from space will wipe out almost all life on Earth.

According to Dr Arnon Dar, of the Technion Space Research Institute, Israel, a particular type of exploding star going off anywhere in our region of the Universe would devastate our planet.

Using the latest statistics and calculations, he argues that a supermassive star collapsing at the end of its lifetime would form a black hole and send out a beam of destructive radiation and particles that would sterilise any planet in its path.

The odds are that any planet in our galaxy would be affected about once every one hundred million years. "It is a certainty; the timescales are comparable to mass extinctions seen in Earth's geological record," Dr Dar told BBC News Online.

No hiding place

Supermassive stars, those with a mass substantially greater than our Sun, are scattered throughout the galaxy. It is thought that when they collapse at the end of their lives, they eject an intense beam of radiation, called gamma-rays, into space.

So powerful are these gamma-rays, and the energetic sub-atomic particles that follow in their wake, that they could have a major influence on life in our galaxy.

"If such a beam were to strike Earth, the effects would be totally devastating, unlike anything we could imagine," Dr Dar said.

On the side of Earth facing the explosion, searing shock waves will begin to rip through the atmosphere igniting infernos when they reach the ground.

Within moments of the arrival of the radiation from deep space, the atmospheric temperature will begin rising rapidly, wreaking havoc with global weather systems.

Destructive 'daughters'

All organic material on the surface of Earth will start to burn. Survivors will cower in caves and buildings. But the worst is yet to come.

The initial gamma-ray burst will last a fraction of a second. Almost immediately afterwards will come the cosmic rays, which will drench our planet for days. There will be no hiding place.

Cosmic rays are highly energetic particles travelling through space at almost the speed of light. They will slam into the atmosphere, depositing vast amounts of energy and creating swarms of destructive "daughter" particles.

These particles, called muons, will penetrate hundreds of metres into rocks so that few caves will offer protection and even deep-sea creatures will be affected by lethal doses of radiation.

The Earth's ecosystem will be destroyed. "The few who might survive will wish they had died," said Dr Dar. "They will struggle, forlornly, on a wrecked planet."

Dr Dar points out that many of the great extinctions that regularly punctuate the Earth's history are consistent with being caused by a devastating influx of radiation from space.

Threatening stars

"Direct proof that it happened this way is lacking at present," he said, "but many people are looking for it."

There is some good news! Because the gamma-ray bursts from collapsing supermassive stars are shot across the cosmos in narrow beams, probably no more than a degree across, most of them will miss the Earth.

However, the latest statistics suggest once every one hundred million years or so, we will be unlucky. Curiously, this is about the rate of global extinctions on Earth.

At the moment, astronomers do not know which star to watch. Stars, like the supermassive Eta Carinae, visible in the Southern Hemisphere, are likely to explode and send out a gamma-ray burst sometime in the next million years or so. But this particular star is not pointing in our direction.

Undoubtedly, there is a star that is, but as yet astronomers have not found it. But even if they do, will we get any warning?

"Not with our current understanding of science," said Dr Dar, "but then science progresses. Perhaps, one day we will be able to tell which stars are threatening."


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Extended News
KEYWORDS: cosmicdoom; crevolist; helpusalgore
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To: StriperSniper
That's the good stuff, practically bomb-proof in itself. It ought to work against snowplow trucks anyway.
41 posted on 05/09/2002 10:35:12 AM PDT by RightWhale
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To: RightWhale
Cosmic catastrophe 'a certainty'

Well, the universe is everything, and if it's expanding, someday it will break apart and that would be the end of everything!

What is that your business? You're here in Brooklyn. Brooklyn is not expanding.
42 posted on 05/09/2002 10:39:16 AM PDT by BikerNYC
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To: BikerNYC
someday it will break apart and that would be the end of everything

The end or the Beginning? Some conscious entities will survive. Spiders, salamanders, somebody will remain to rebuild Brooklyn.

43 posted on 05/09/2002 10:45:34 AM PDT by RightWhale
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To: RightWhale
What does the Sierra Club have to say about this They will demonstrate in the streets of America, and demand that all the stars in heaven be baned from existence.
44 posted on 05/09/2002 10:48:38 AM PDT by desertcry
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To: PatrickHenry
New bumper sticker:

Cosmic Catastrophe Imminent: Preserve Your Essence NOW!"

45 posted on 05/09/2002 10:49:02 AM PDT by longshadow
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To: Russ
Sorry, Dr. Dar, but I believe God has other plans for us...

The aliens are coming to take us away.........

46 posted on 05/09/2002 10:50:36 AM PDT by JediGirl
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To: RightWhale
Look, can these doom and gloom predictions also give us a clue as to timing? It would be nice to be able to plan to go a vantage point so we can tape the occurence.
47 posted on 05/09/2002 11:56:55 AM PDT by Paulus Invictus
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To: Paulus Invictus
a clue as to timing?

Soon, too soon. Not soon enough for some, too soon for others.

48 posted on 05/09/2002 12:12:12 PM PDT by RightWhale
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To: PatrickHenry
Once more I shall descend into my la-BOR-a-tory to work on this latest crisis.

I recommend inserting a private shelter directly into the depths of Planet Seven. If you keep at least your head in there, you'll never know it's coming...

49 posted on 05/09/2002 12:20:45 PM PDT by general_re
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To: general_re
... into the depths of Planet Seven ...

How did you crack the secret code?

50 posted on 05/09/2002 12:33:10 PM PDT by PatrickHenry
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To: Revolting cat!
I still have a lot of my Y2K stash, too.

Ya think they'll last us 'till Y3K?

Seriously, I agree with Russ' post above ... God made those stars and He knows where and when they will end up.

g

51 posted on 05/09/2002 12:38:39 PM PDT by Geezerette
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To: PatrickHenry
I devoted my network of hundreds of millions of dollars worth of supercomputers to the task, but after several months, it proved futile. In despair, I finally came upon the fiendishly clever solution - I sent in the three UPC symbols, plus $1.50 shipping and handling, for the secret Planet Seven decoder ring...
52 posted on 05/09/2002 12:39:32 PM PDT by general_re
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To: ofMagog
Let's begin sacrificing telemarketers and commercial spammers now to prevent the catastrophe.

No, no, NO!!! LIBERALS!! LIBERALS, you idiot!!

sheeEEEEEEsshshhh....

(Go ahead, now tell me Liberals are so worthless they're not even useful for propitiating God by sacrificing them...)

53 posted on 05/09/2002 12:49:47 PM PDT by fire_eye
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To: RightWhale
bookmark
54 posted on 05/09/2002 12:59:57 PM PDT by medved
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To: fire_eye
(Go ahead, now tell me Liberals are so worthless they're not even useful for propitiating God by sacrificing them...)
Even a heathen agnostic like me knows that "sacrificing" liberals is much like a 10 year old boy giving up eating vegetables for Lent. >:)

-Eric

55 posted on 05/09/2002 1:04:34 PM PDT by E Rocc
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To: MarkWar
Niven was great in his prime but the stuff he has cranked out the last decade was worthless. I didn't even bother buying the third Ringworld book.
56 posted on 05/09/2002 1:11:25 PM PDT by KC Burke
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To: Hanging Chad
Ok concerning the star pointing at us, if you think of a star rotating like earth or our sun, imagine looking at the star from above one of the poles. the energy will be directed from the poles going straight up. If we observed a massive star (>2 solar masses) with a pole pointing at us it is a potential "Death Star" the reason it doesn't happen very ofter is that you need the right star oriented 'correctly' to cause the devastation. The only solution would to move out of the way to a neigbhoring star system and begin to look for another star ready to zap that system... and so on.

We may be able to get a feel for when these events may happen by observing an aging star that is producing iron (the last stage of necular activity, if I remember correctly). When the event happens we won't see it. we'll just get incinerated.

57 posted on 05/09/2002 1:29:09 PM PDT by Leto
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