Click here for poll homepage and then click on the poll
Davis leads Simon among both sexes and across all age groups. Davis is preferred over Simon by nearly a three-to-one margin among renters (52% to 18%), while the Governor's lead among homeowners is much narrower (39% to 34%).
Among those with a high school education or less the race is tied, but with each step up on the education ladder Davis' preference margin over Simon grows.
A little more than half of the likely electorate (53%) believes the direction of the state is on the wrong track. Among this group Simon holds a sizeable 16-point lead over Davis (41% to 25%). However, among the 41% of voters who feel the state is moving in the right direction, Davis holds a greater than four-to-one advantage over Simon (63% to 14%).
Los Angeles County Region: 52% Davis; 24% Simon; and 25% Other/Undecided.
So to beat Davis, Simon will need to rebuild support in the LA County area after he smashed his Republican Primary opponent and former LA mayor. He will also need to increase his appeal to renters, the 'highly educated'(I find this hard to believe, no I do believe it an years of school does not equal wisdom), and those who feel things are just fine.
That probably means that Simon needs to in both an intellectual and gut level feeling to those who haven't yet participated in the American dream of owning their own homes that things are not going well in California and that they (the voter) is worse off today than he was when Davis took office. Specifically, Simon will need to convince folks that things have gone down hill and Davis will take them even farther downhill economically.
While that seem pretty obvious (i.e. Davis has done a bad job) to me. It obviously hasn't been explained to the public or those "with higher educations." Simon is going to have a difficult education job, unless Davis and the Legislature show the voters how bad things are during a budget battle this summer. That is probably Simon's major hope along with voter apathy among traditional democrats.
Among those with a high school education or less the race is tied, but with each step up on the education ladder Davis' preference margin over Simon grows.
This blows my mind! Why??
I have MS plus and I sure don't think Davis is worth anything!
Of course my studies were in the hard sciences which require the use of deductive logic to establish cause and effect!
We have to help get the word out that Simon wants to raise the homeowner's exemption from $7,000 to either $25,000 or $60,000. Does anyone know which it is?
Homeowners are smart enough to manage their money carefully. Once homeowners see how much they will save with a higher, up-to-date exemption, they might be more convinced to support Simon.
Of course, Simon needs to advertise himself more, too.