Bush is about 80% conservative. He lost the popular vote by 500K votes-- forgive him if he doesn't do much fire-breathing in D. C. We are looking at the very real possibility of Gore winning the electoral vote, too, in 2004, and the House and Senate going the way they have historically in a president's first midterm (only FDR escaped that history). Bush's hold on power is tenuous, and it's folly to suggest otherwise.
If conservatives work their asses off to get conservatives elected (Simon in CA is a good start), then they can have power to hold politicians' feet to the fire. There's not much roar to conservatives right now because we failed to repudiate Clintoon in 1996 and 2000. We have lost three straight popular votes.
We don't elect Presidents by a popular vote. W won because he carried enough states. He won't do that if he loses his base in even one of those red states. If he signs CFR, he'll look just like his daddy and he'll lose the base. Read my lips.