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To: Dan from Michigan
" It comes down to TURNOUT."

I hope that the democrats don't pull one of their nasty tricks and place a bunch of hot button issues on the ballot in order to generate democrat turnout. They have pulled it in the past.

9 posted on 03/16/2002 6:26:12 PM PST by dalereed
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To: Dan from Michigan; dalereed
I did a quick spin through the issues coming up, and none of them looked particular interesting to the Democrats, with one potentially explosive exception.

This is a very interesting one coming from Ward Connerley (I think that's spelling is more or less right) saying that California should not collect racial statistics or make purchasing decisions based on race. This is a loaded grenade and is likely to make turnout on both sides high.

The LA Weekly's current issue has one of their trademark political essays, lengthly to the point of tedium, claiming that since the electorate is leftist, especially in LA and SF, Davis was right in his strategy to bury Riordan and help Simon, who of course will be crushed in the general. The much more conservative Jill Stewart of the New Times thinks so as well.

I think disgust with the present administration is going to carry the day. Davis will have a tough time at best spinning his record. Even the LA Weekly admits that they will hold their nose when voting for Davis.

My best guess is that the LA Weekly crowd isn't going to turn out in any great numbers for Davis, a man they despise. Since Republicans are more likely voters in any event, I think that tilts the advantage towards Simon.

I don't think we should be complacent; all of us should get behind Simon. But we should be of good cheer while doing it. I think this story is good as a tonic of optimism in an often pessimistic world; if we are too optimistic, we will not bother voting; if we are too pessimistic, we won't bother voting because we don't think our guy has a chance. So we should continue to this election optimistic, but recognizing that every vote counts.

D

31 posted on 03/16/2002 7:08:34 PM PST by daviddennis
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To: dalereed;Dan from Michigan
I hope that the democrats don't pull one of their nasty tricks and place a bunch of hot button issues on the ballot in order to generate democrat turnout. They have pulled it in the past.

A bigger worry: Remember Sanchez vs. Bob Dornan.

79 posted on 03/16/2002 8:28:23 PM PST by rightofrush
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To: dalereed
I hope that the democrats don't pull one of their nasty tricks

Count on it. Your gonna need chest waders to get through Davis' BS...This is gonna be real good...

102 posted on 03/17/2002 12:55:47 AM PST by antaresequity
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