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To: concerned about politics
Here is the scenario:

We attack but we don't go after the SCUDS in the west first and they launch them at Israel. Israel responds with heavy attacks and Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Kuwait tell us to get the hell out of their territory.

US vs Iraq becomes US vs Iraq, Iran, Syria, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait probably Turkey.....

AND the oil is cut off....

Would this be a good scenario or a bad one?

34 posted on 02/07/2002 9:59:40 PM PST by GeronL
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To: GeronL
Turkey WOULD NOT tell us to get out, they actually have pretty good relations with Israel. If Israel struck back after being attacked, they actually might get help FROM Turkey, in an assault on the borders that it shares with Iraq.

Iraq is a VERY tricky situation, because it could cause harm to 2 of our best allies in that part of the world, Israel, for obvious reasons, and Turkey, because they have a small Kurdish problem that could turn into a BIG one if Iraq is splintered, and they do a lot of trading with Iraq, and that loss to the Turkish economy could be devastating right now.

Turkey would take that if we assure them that A: we will put a new regime in place that will control ALL of Iraq, and B: they will still be able to trade with them afterwards and C: The Kurds would NOT be given land in which to strike Turkey across it's borders.

The rest of your scenario sounds reasonable, but leave Turkey within the western coalition category, because they are NOT going anywhere near the Muslim extremist countries, they want to stay as far away from them as they can get.
52 posted on 02/08/2002 12:32:23 AM PST by Aric2000
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