And they know this from interviewing the survivors? Oh, wait, there weren't any. So they must have known this from going over the boat...oh..wait, it sank. So they knew this from the wreckage? No, wait, that was minimal (although they're talking about raising the wreckage so they can examine it).
Last I heard, the Japanese weren't exactly sure who it was, and the North Koreans haven't made a peep about it on their news website. It's an enigma, wrapped in a mystery.