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To: Torie
Unlike 3 weeks ago. :)

I would say that three weeks ago they were absolutely breathtaking, now they just look decent. I'll make sure I get my hands on the piece in Fortune, thanks for telling me. Even "rational markets" guys like Jeremy Siegel currently estimate the expected equity risk premium at somewhere between 1 and 2 percent over the next thirty years. Sure not enough of a premuim for me...
147 posted on 12/08/2001 1:06:22 PM PST by Economist_MA
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To: Economist_MA
No, actually yields on inflation indexed bonds went down to near 3% on the day the treasury announced it was eliminating issues of 30 year bonds, and now they are back up to 3.52%. That is a huge move. These puppies are essentially riskless if you hold them to maturity, but clearly not if you don't. The best deal in town of course was I bonds, until they dropped in November to 2% :(

Buffet also thinks there is about a 1.5% equity premia. That IMO might have been close to right when the market hit its bottom, but my guess is closer to half that at present. Of course, there are tax advantages with stocks outside of a tax deferred account.

150 posted on 12/08/2001 1:18:28 PM PST by Torie
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