2002 Senate Elections - Strategy Table For All 33 Elections

HighWheeler | 11/7/01 | HighWheeler

[HighWheeler]

33 Senators will be up for election in 2002.

Review the following table of all 33 of the 2002 Senate Races. Of the 33 races, 7 Dim Seats have a potential to be flipped to Republican (shown in green rows), 3 Repub seats have a potential to be flipped to Dim. (shown in yellow rows) These flips are based on the some assumptions:

- Using only the 2000 Prez election results to indicate vulnerability, the green rows indicate a potential flip to Republican, The yellow indicate potential flip to DemocRAT. this assumes that Geo Bush will participate in the 2002 election campaigns and that he has coattails a year from now.
- The governor column is added as a reference, to indicate possible push or pull from the state's governor.
- The "Other Senator" column is added to show push or pull from the state's other senator.

There is a strong possibility that the GOP could win several key races, South Dakota being one, and turn the Senate over to the GOP with a 3 Senator margin.

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No.	State	Incumbent Senator	SenatorParty	Is Senate Candidate Vulnerable To Losing Seat? (based only on state's 2000 presidential election going to other party)	2000 Presidential Candidate's Margin of victory in that state. (neg number indicates state won by Gore)	The State Governor's party & next election year	State's Other Senator and party
1	Alabama	Jeff Sessions	Rep		14.91%
2	Alaska	Ted Stevens	Rep		30.95%
3	Arkansas	Tim Hutchinson	Rep		5.45%
4	Colorado	Wayne Allard	Rep		8.36%
5	Delaware	Joseph Biden	Dem		-13.06%
6	Georgia	Max Cleland	Dem	Yes	11.67%	Dem 02	Zell Miller (D)
7	Idaho	Larry Craig	Rep		39.53%
8	Illinois	Richard Durbin	Dem		-12.02%
9	Iowa	Tom Harkin	Dem	Yes	0.32%	Dem 02	Chuck Grassley (R)
10	Kansas	Pat Roberts	Rep		20.80%
11	Kentucky	Mitch McConnell	Rep		15.13%
12	Louisiana	Mary Landrieu	Dem	Yes	7.43%	Rep 03	John Breaux (D)
13	Maine	Susan Collins	Rep	Yes	- 5.12%	Indep 02	Olympia Snowe (R)
14	Massachusetts	John Kerry	Dem		-27.30%
15	Michigan	Carl Levin	Dem		-5.14%
16	Minnesota	Paul Wellstone	Dem		-2.41%
17	Mississippi	Thad Cochran	Rep		16.92%
18	Missouri	Jean Carnahan	Dem	Yes	3.34%	Dem 04	Christopher Bond (R)
19	Montana	Max Baucus	Dem	Yes	25.08%	Rep 04	Conrad Burns (R)
20	Nebraska	Chuck Hagel	Rep		29.00%
21	New Hampshire	Bob Smith	Rep		1.27%
22	New Jersey	Robert Torricelli	Dem		-15.84%
23	New Mexico	Pete Domenici	Rep	Yes	- .06%	Rep 02	Jeff Bingamen (D)
24	North Carolina	Jesse Helms	Rep		12.83%
25	Oklahoma	James Inhofe	Rep		21.88%
26	Oregon	Gordon Smith	Rep	Yes	- 0.44%	Dem 02	Ron Wyden (D)
27	Rhode Island	Jack Reed	Dem		-29.08%
28	South Carolina	Strom Thurmond	Rep		15.94%
29	South Dakota	Tim Johnson	Dem	Yes	22.74%	Rep 02	Tom Daschole (D)
30	Tennessee	Fred Thompson	Rep		3.87%
31	Virginia	John Warner	Rep		8.03%
32	West Virginia	Jay Rockefeller	Dem	Yes	6.33%	Rep 04	Robert Byrd (D)
33	Wyoming	Mike Enzi	Rep		40.06%

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Last Updated on 11/7/01
This chart was created by HighWheeler at www.freerepublic.com - please retain this message in all copies.

[HighWheeler]

Notes:

How in the world South Dakota can give Geo Bush a 23% margin and still vote in two RAT senators is beyond any reasonable logic.

For the Senate vote to select the leader, having a RINO is hands down better than a RAT

[HighWheeler]

Here is your ping, susangirl!

[HighWheeler]

Turnabout ping

[B Knotts]

One correction that I know of...WV has a Dem governor, Robert Wise, I think.

[HighWheeler]

Thanks for the heads up. I found this information on him.

BirthDate: January 06, 1948
Family: married; two children
Religion:
Spouse: Sandy
Party: Democrat
Elected: November 2000
Term Expires: January 2005

[Billie]

Oh, my - you set a nice table, Wheeler. :^) I'm saving this to study later.

[HighWheeler]

Does the Political Odds Maker have a website? That is some interesting info.

I think that appearances by Bush could help swing some close elections, Bush is going to have to help the Senators if he expects them to help him.

[HighWheeler]

Thanks Billie, look at the pile of HTML in that table, enough to choke a horse.

[Billie]

This is what you were asking about a few days ago? Were Louie's links what you needed?

[HighWheeler]

Yeah this was it. I found the HTML conversion on excel. It was not too bad once I figured out what the secret code words meant in the instructions.

[perez24]

My GOD I love these kinds of tables!!!!!

Can't believe it's already that time of year.

[TwoStep]

**FYI**

[Snow Bunny]

hi and thanks

[HighWheeler]

Glad you like it! I hope we can use it to our advantage next year. There seem to be a few opportunities for the GOP.

[Commonsense]

In South Carolina, the governor, Hodges (D), is up for relection in '02. Thurmond is retiring. The other Senator is (I hesitate to admit) Hollings. This win for Graham is imperative in our state.

[KQQL]

Don't forget W won VA by 7% and Earley lost VA by 5%.
Just because W won a state, doesn't mean the GOP will win the Senate seat in that state, VA proved that.

First thing first, the RNC should fire Gilmore, he has failed ( Big Time).
GOP has to run a better campaigns then RATs do, otherwise one loses in a W state too.
Ask Earley, he ran a medicore campaign and he lost to Warner who ran a better campaign and fooled people in thinking he is a conservative.

[KQQL]

By the Way 34 senate seats are up in 2002

[HighWheeler]

Who is the other?