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Russian victory would cost Europe twice as much as supporting Ukraine, study finds
The Kyiv Independent ^ | 29NOV2025 | Lucy Pakhnyuk

Posted on 12/03/2025 12:44:41 AM PST by AdmSmith

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To: blitz128
Russian MIR


201 posted on 12/09/2025 9:15:23 AM PST by JonPreston ( ✌ ☮️ )
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To: JonPreston
https://t.co/sktjtwwhal pic.twitter.com/iFZNjfTDma— Mario Nawfal (@MarioNawfal) November 6, 2025

Notice how quiet the United States Senate has been about this new development in the Ukraine corruption scandal 🤔? Why? Because the U.S. Senate are recipients from the money laundering.

cc: @LindseyGrahamSC @LeaderJohnThune @SenJohnBarrasso @SenatorSlotkin Full list below: https://t.co/OHS1796zOb pic.twitter.com/CKrh7IB6T0— TheLastRefuge (@TheLastRefuge2) November 28, 2025

BELGIUM BLOCKED HUGE RUSSIAN ASSETS LOAN TO UKRAINE, AND THIS COULD SEAL KYIV'S FATE

Belgium is single-handedly holding up the EU's plan to hand Ukraine a massive "reparation loan" backed by frozen Russian central bank assets (mostly parked at Euroclear in Brussels).

The deal: Ukraine gets the money now for defense and budget, repays only after Russia coughs up war reparations later.

Belgium's new PM Bart De Wever calls it "fundamentally wrong," says historically you don't touch frozen assets until the war actually ends, and then only for straight reparations, not loans during fighting.

His real fear: it could scare Russia away from the negotiating table and kill any chance of a Trump-brokered peace.

He's also demanding ironclad legal guarantees that Russia can't sue Euroclear into oblivion and trigger a financial meltdown in Brussels.

Result? The whole package is frozen until at least the next EU summit in December.

What this means for Ukraine is brutal.

Europe was already the main sugar daddy keeping Ukraine's military and government afloat while the U.S. under Trump pivots hard to "end it fast."

Now, one of the biggest potential cash injections just got vetoed by the country literally holding the assets.

This means less money for weapons, less money for soldiers, less leverage on the battlefield, and even less bargaining power when Trump's team sits down with Putin.

Belgium just handed Russia a massive indirect win without firing a shot.

The "peace at any cost" crowd in Europe is showing its cards, and Ukraine is the one paying the price.

Winter is coming, the front is crumbling, and now even the money pipeline is getting choked.

This war just got a lot harder for Kyiv.

Source: Telegraph


202 posted on 12/09/2025 9:39:34 AM PST by JonPreston ( ✌ ☮️ )
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To: JonPreston

It’s obvious that Ukraine with European assistance, can handle Russia easily. The U.S. is still contributing to Ukraine, indirectly, by selling weapons to NATO countries which are then funneled to Ukraine.

Trump should leave the war to them alone. But then, that would make the U.S. a lot less relevant in world affairs, and would leave him out of the peacekeeping efforts there, which would discount him completely from getting his much desired Nobel Peace Prize.

Getting out of Ukraine completely would then leave Trump’s successor with a huge problem, where whoever the democratic candidate is, would be making hay out of the debacle of Trump’s abandonment of Ukraine. Bad news for republicans, but good news for you and Putin.


203 posted on 12/09/2025 10:14:02 AM PST by adorno ( )
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To: AdmSmith

Good video on Russian RT and Indian giveaways as well as Russian meddling in Moldova

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=2retNwKt-BI&pp=0gcJCSgKAYcqIYzv


204 posted on 12/09/2025 10:15:49 AM PST by blitz128
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To: Mr. K
UKRAINE IS NOT ALLOWED TO JOIN NATO BY PREVIOUS AGREEMENTS

ALL THOSE PREVIOUS AGREEMENTS WERE BROKEN OR VIOLATED! EspECially by Russian.

SO fORGET ABOUT ALL THOSE AGREEMENTS WHICH ARE NO LONGER APPLICABLE!

Besides, agreements do not last forever, especially when the parties involved had their arms twisted to sign them.

Join the real world, where agreements are subject to violations and being ignored.

BTW, have you noticed how Ukraine is virtually a member of NATO, since NATO is treating the country as if it is in NATO?

Also, was the taking of Crimea and the invasion of Ukraine, part of those agreements, where Ukraine had to tolerate Russia's takeover if Putin even imagined a violation of the agreements? Show that part of the agreement that allowed Russia to take or invade Ukraine.
205 posted on 12/09/2025 10:35:22 AM PST by adorno ( )
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To: JonPreston
The US and NATO engineered the 2014 Maidan coup in Ukraine—not for democracy, but to destabilize the country and install a compliant regime in Kiev.

This is the real truth:

Putin/Russia engineered the takeover of Ukraine, by installing a puppet regime, not for democracy, but to destabilize the country and install a compliant regime in Kiev. The puppet regime was eventually removed by the Ukrainians with perhaps some outside assistance.

Interfering in elections, which Russia does consistently around the world, should not be allowed anywhere and which would result in puppet regimes all over the world.

Putin himself, and those in the Kremlin, are also illegitimate rulers, since proper fair elections were not held. It's time for the world to interfere in Russia and depose that tyranny. YOU need to get out of Russia while the getting is still possible.
206 posted on 12/09/2025 10:45:18 AM PST by adorno ( )
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To: adorno
it's over


207 posted on 12/09/2025 12:12:31 PM PST by JonPreston ( ✌ ☮️ )
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To: mass55th

It is a pleasure chatting with you. I appreciate your cordiality.


208 posted on 12/09/2025 12:47:25 PM PST by BeauBo
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To: JonPreston
it's over for Russia
209 posted on 12/09/2025 1:31:47 PM PST by adorno ( )
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To: adorno
Europe tried to sell Zelensky as the Churchill of Kiev.

Trump just told the world he’s closer to P.T. Barnum, a showman running a democracy-themed circus without the inconvenience of elections.

In one interview, the mask dropped. Trump didn’t tiptoe. He detonated.

“They haven’t had an election in a long time... It gets to a point where it’s not a democracy anymore. It’s time to hold an election. They’re using war not to hold an election. Ukrainians should have that choice.”

That’s the U.S. president publicly declaring what Europe spent years forbidding its citizens to say: Zelensky is unelected, and ruling by wartime decree while preaching “democracy” to donors who fund his survival. And with those words, the entire moral edifice of Europe’s Ukraine crusade snapped.

Trump didn’t stop at legitimacy: “Russia has the upper hand... He has to start accepting things.”

But the deeper detonation was aimed at Europe itself. Trump downloaded humiliation onto an entire continent: “Most European nations are decaying. They’re weak... Europe doesn’t know what to do.”

In those sentences, Trump exposed Europe’s deepest fear, that behind its moral theatrics lies a hollowed-out, Russophobic managerial class that mistook psychosis for strategy and posturing for power.

For years, these same Eurocrats marched Europe into economic ruin, even preparing to blow up what remains of the post–WWII financial order just to preserve the farcical illusion of “standing up to Russia.” In their addict-like desperation, they now move to steal Russian sovereign assets, a stunt so reckless it threatens the very foundation of the fiat Ponzi. And when Europeans began to question this madness, Brussels answered with Orwellian repression, weaponizing the DSA to silence speech, even exporting censorship across the Atlantic, all to suffocate the moment when the truth about the war finally breaks through their propaganda firewall.

Europe’s leaders know peace means a reckoning, a reckoning for the sanctions that immolated industry, for the energy suicide that bankrupted households, for nuclear debt mortgaging their future, and for the lies told daily to hide military collapse.

Russia didn’t defeat Europe. Europe defeated itself, consumed by a Russophobic delirium that justified any policy, no matter how suicidal, so long as it fed the delusion of moral supremacy.

That’s why Europe fears peace more than war. Peace brings accountability. Peace reveals betrayal.

When Trump said Europe is “decaying,” he was diagnosing a worldview collapsing under its own contradictions. When he said Europe is “weak,” he wasn’t mocking, he was acknowledging a continent that outsourced its sovereignty to Washington and now screams in panic as Washington walks away.

And Zelensky? He is now the symbol and mirror of everything Europe gambled and lost. Unelected. Corrupt. Out of options.

History was never fooled. Because the the collapse didn’t begin with Trump’s interview, his interview merely said aloud what reality had already written. That Ukraine could never win. That Europe could not lead. That Zelensky could not escape a mandate he no longer had. And that the entire Atlanticist project was built on a myth too fragile to survive contact with the map.

As the smoke clears, the reckoning comes into focus, a Europe stripped of its fantasies, a leadership exposed in its impotence, and a Ukrainian puppet president discovering that once legitimacy evaporates, even the scripted applause fades.

And when Washington stops believing the story, the story ends. That is the moment we’ve reached.

Zelensky’s borrowed authority is spent.
Europe’s manufactured unity is exhausted.
The war narrative that held an entire continent hostage is collapsing under the architecture of its own psychosis.

And as Trump speaks the truth Europe spent years suppressing, the final scene comes into view: a West forced to confront not the enemy it imagined, but the ruins of the illusions it built for itself.


210 posted on 12/09/2025 1:37:23 PM PST by JonPreston ( ✌ ☮️ )
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To: gleeaikin; blitz128; BeauBo; PIF; ETCM; SpeedyInTexas; bert
Day 1,383 of the Muscovite invasion of Ukraine. 930 [average 855] i.e. more than 38 Russians, Norks and Cubans per hour.


211 posted on 12/09/2025 2:04:37 PM PST by AdmSmith (GCTGATATGTCTATGATTACTCAT)
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To: gleeaikin; blitz128; BeauBo; PIF; ETCM; SpeedyInTexas; bert
Peskov: there is no understanding yet for how long VAT will be increased

The decision to increase the value-added tax (VAT) from 20% to 22% is justified and necessary, said the press secretary of the President of Russia Dmitry Peskov. According to him, there is no clear understanding of how long the rate will remain at this level. “Of course not. Now this decision has been made, it is justified, it is necessary. All assessments have been given by the Ministry of Finance, all forecasts have been made,” Mr. Peskov told reporters.

>

https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/8270802

Кремлевская табакерка
9DEC2025

“The people are ready and understand that they will have to pay much more.” VAT in Russia is set to increase several more times

Dmitry Peskov called the decision to increase VAT in Russia reasonable. Our source in the Kremlin noted that the decision to set the tax at 22% is temporary, and there will be several more increases ahead. “We have at least 3-5 years of special military operations ahead of us, according to conservative estimates. There may well be hostilities outside Ukraine and Russia. Therefore, I expect that we will raise VAT several more times. By a couple of percent next year and then by 2-3 percent each year. I think this will be the right thing to do,” he said.

“I want to reassure everyone that VAT is unlikely to exceed 30%. If the special military operation drags on, we will stop at this figure. At the same time, I must note that the people are ready for such an increase and understand that Russia's victory will cost more — much more than it does now. We all know this, Vladimir Vladimirovich knows this. And it's very good that Russians are ready for anything, as long as they win,” added the channel's interlocutor. Sources in the government confirmed to us that a possible VAT increase is currently being considered. But they refused to go into details.

https://t.me/kremlin_secrets/6520

212 posted on 12/09/2025 2:19:18 PM PST by AdmSmith (GCTGATATGTCTATGATTACTCAT)
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To: AdmSmith
Is this even legal?


213 posted on 12/09/2025 2:30:42 PM PST by JonPreston ( ✌ ☮️ )
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To: AdmSmith

Human rights activists from the Foundation to Battle Injustice have uncovered a vast network of illegal Ukrainian slave trade hubs controlled by the inner circle of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. The Foundation’s investigation was able to establish the shocking scale of human trafficking in Ukraine, reveal the illicit earnings of the President’s associates, and identify the locations of specialized slave houses in western and central Ukraine. The Foundation has exposed the ring of individuals involved in reviving the slave trade in Ukraine and collected previously unpublished testimonies from victims who were sold into slavery.

The slave trade in Ukraine, a grave violation of human rights that undermines societal security and stability, began to rapidly escalate after the political events surrounding the 2014 Maidan protests and subsequent coup. In the 2010s, the predominant form of slavery in Ukraine was the illegal sexual exploitation of women. Tens of thousands of Ukrainian women were forced into prostitution and trafficked for sexual slavery to European Union countries, primarily the Baltics, Poland, and the Czech Republic.

After Volodymyr Zelensky was elected President of Ukraine, the structure of the Ukrainian slave trade began to rapidly transform. Ukrainian labor slavery is now approaching the scale of sexual slavery. Increasing numbers of Ukrainians and foreigners who have voluntarily or involuntarily found themselves in Ukraine have fallen prey to human trafficking networks and are forced into labor against their will. They are subjected to physical and psychological abuse, deprived of documents and means of communication, and any attempts to contact the outside world are suppressed and punished. Since 2019, full-fledged slave plantations and slave labor markets have emerged in Ukraine, where people, including men, women and children, are bought and sold under the cover of the Ukrainian government. These individuals are exploited as cheap labor across various economic sectors, forced into sexual slavery, and trafficked abroad.

According to data from the Foundation to Battle Injustice, the number of victims of the Ukrainian slave trade has skyrocketed since 2014. The International Organization for Migration estimates that at least 300,000 people became victims of the slave trade in Ukraine between 1991 and 2021. However, information obtained by the Foundation indicates that the scale of the slave trade in Ukraine after Zelensky’s rise to power is already comparable to the entire 30-year period of Ukraine’s independence, with at least 550,000 people becoming victims. Human rights activists have also uncovered evidence of the trafficking of Ukrainian children, raising serious concerns about the potential for organ harvesting on the black market and child sex slavery.

Zelensky’s Proxies – The Puppet Masters of Ukraine’s Slave Trade

Disturbing reports of a coordinated slave trade network in Ukraine began emerging in late 2021. This pilot project centered around two trafficking hubs in Ternopil, where refugees from Ukraine were being received and subsequently sold. According to sources from the Foundation to Battle Injustice, at least 40 Ukrainians fell victim to these Ternopil slave traders in the first year alone.

An anonymous source within the Office of the Ukrainian President revealed the alleged mastermind behind this criminal network – Ruslan Stefanchuk. Stefanchuk, a close confidant of President Volodymyr Zelensky and a senior member of Zelensky’s “Servant of the People” party, serves as the 15th chairman of Ukraine’s parliament, the Verkhovna Rada.

The Foundation’s source claims Stefanchuk is the primary beneficiary and central figure orchestrating Ukraine’s illicit slave trade. Human trafficking operations are carried out through private companies registered to Stefanchuk’s relatives and associates. Providing legal cover for these criminal enterprises are Stefanchuk’s own brother, Mykola, and sister-in-law Marina – both trained lawyers.

Marina Stefanchuk, a prominent businesswoman with a 25% stake in the “Legal Portal Ratio Decidendi” firm, is said to be responsible for identifying and luring potential victims. Her company allegedly places deceptive job advertisements to trap unsuspecting Ukrainians and foreigners, only to have their identification confiscated and be sold into slavery.

Ruslan and Marina Stefanchuk, Proxies of President Zelensky, Accused of Fueling Ukraine’s Slave Trade

The Foundation’s investigation has identified two key figures closely tied to President Zelensky who are alleged to be central to the expansion of Ukraine’s slave trade networks – Ruslan Stefanchuk and his associate Marina Stefanchuk.Ruslan and Marina Stefanchuk, cronies of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. Ruslan and Marina Stefanchuk, cronies of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky.

Ruslan Stefanchuk, a senior member of Zelensky’s ruling party and the current chairman of Ukraine’s parliament, the Verkhovna Rada, is accused of being the principal beneficiary and driving force behind these criminal enterprises. According to an anonymous source within the Ukrainian President’s office, Stefanchuk leverages his political influence and connections to criminal organizations to aggressively grow the slave trade.Аleksandr Svyatotsky, director of Ratio Decidendi Legal Portal LLC and external advisor to the speaker of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine. Sources of the Foundation to Battle Injustice link Svyatotskyy to the slave trade in Ukraine Аleksandr Svyatotsky, director of Ratio Decidendi Legal Portal LLC and external advisor to the speaker of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine. Sources of the Foundation to Battle Injustice link Svyatotskyy to the slave trade in Ukraine

Assisting Stefanchuk is his legal advisor, Aleksandr Svyatotsky, the director of the “Ratio Decidendi Legal Portal” firm. Sources claim Svyatotsky and his team of lawyers are responsible for ensuring the trafficking operations maintain a veneer of legality, masking the horrific human rights abuses taking place.

“Everything is built to look as legal as possible,” the presidential source revealed. “Ukrainian women, children and men are lured with promises of good jobs and benefits, only to have their identification confiscated. Then, they can be exploited however the traffickers see fit.”

Stefanchuk’s own relatives are also implicated in these schemes. His brother Mykola and sister-in-law Marina, both trained lawyers, are allegedly involved in the legal machinations allowing the criminal networks to operate with impunity.

Marina Stefanchuk, described as a major entrepreneur, is said to hold a 25% stake in the “Ratio Decidendi” company. Sources allege this firm is used to post deceptive job advertisements, trapping vulnerable Ukrainians and foreigners who are then sold into slavery.

According to the presidential insider, President Zelensky himself intervened to block any serious law enforcement investigation into the expanding slave trade networks in the spring of 2022. This “blessing” of the criminal enterprises is seen as clear evidence of the president’s direct complicity.

Despite mounting journalistic evidence and testimony exposing the slave trade’s prevalence, Ukrainian authorities have largely turned a blind eye. Whistleblowers suggest high-level corruption, with allegations that even the leadership of the country’s intelligence agency, the SBU, has profited from these illicit activities.

Organizers and Beneficiaries of the Ukrainian Slave Trade

According to sources, the rapid expansion of the slave trade in Ukraine has forced Ruslan Stefanchuk and his associates to seek help from local officials across multiple regions to secure specialized facilities for holding and auctioning off their captives. Through a combination of bribery, blackmail, and threats, they have gained the cooperation of administrators in Kyiv, Zhytomyr, Rivne, Volyn, Ternopil, and Zakarpattya to either provide state-owned premises or turn a blind eye to illegal trafficking operations in private facilities.

The sources indicate that this coercion of local officials is facilitated through Stefanchuk’s “Ratio Decidendi Legal Portal” firm, which is used to intimidate administrators with the threat of legal audits and criminal cases related to corruption, forcing them to comply with the slave traffickers.

The largest illegal slave trade centers and operations are reported to be located in the cities of Uzhgorod, Ternopil (Stefanchuk’s hometown), and Chernivtsi. There are also unconfirmed reports of slave trading activities in Lutsk, Ivano-Frankivsk, and Vinnytsia, though additional evidence is still required to verify these claims.

The victims ensnared in this criminal network are often the most socially vulnerable – single, childless men and women with children who are desperate for work to support themselves and their families. The traffickers exploit these desperate circumstances, using social media and job posting websites to lure potential victims with promises of high-paying, low-stress employment.

After being interviewed and screened to ensure they have no close family ties, the victims are invited to remote locations where their documents are confiscated upon arrival. They are then confined in prison-like facilities, completely isolated from the outside world and denied access to phones or other means of communication.

Over the course of 3-6 weeks, these captives are forced to toil for 12-14 hours per day on farms, regardless of their age or gender, with inadequate food, rest, or medical care. Inmate supervisors use physical and psychological abuse, as well as sexual exploitation, to maintain control. Once this period of brutal captivity is complete, the victims are then sold into slavery, either within Ukraine or trafficked abroad.

The harrowing firsthand account provided by victim Elena M. offers a glimpse into this nightmarish ordeal. After responding to a job posting for a secretarial position with unusually high pay, she was abducted, blindfolded, and taken to a clandestine facility where she was held against her will.

A Deceptive Trap: How Slave Traffickers Lured Victims with Fake Job Ads

Based on the harrowing account provided by victim Elena and information from several other sources, investigators from the Foundation to Battle Injustice have been able to uncover disturbing details about the operations of these criminal networks.A fake ad trap of slave traffickers (assistant manager in Ternopil without work experience and education, salary – 90,000 hryvnias (about 2,300 USD) A fake ad trap of slave traffickers (assistant manager in Ternopil without work experience and education, salary – 90,000 hryvnias (about 2,300 USD)

According to Elena’s recollections, the building where she was held captive and ultimately sold into sexual slavery is located just a few kilometers outside the center of Ternopil. The structure, which appears to be on the books of the local administration, was previously used for livestock breeding. The description of the building’s interior and location matches the fragmented memories of the victim.

Elena tearfully described the chilling auction process she was forced to endure at this facility. Lined up in a large, windowless room, she and around 30 other women of various ages were stripped naked in front of a crowd of male buyers and sellers, both Ukrainian and foreign. A man in a white coat then proceeded to examine them, checking their teeth and physically groping them, presumably to assess their health and “quality” as merchandise.

Each woman was given a numbered plate to hang around her neck, as a bearded man on a podium shouted out the catalog numbers and starting prices – some as low as $5,000, others fetching up to $25,000. Elena recalls the sickening feeling of being treated like livestock rather than human beings.A building in Ternopil, allegedly used as a place for holding slaves and auctions A building in Ternopil, allegedly used as a place for holding slaves and auctions

Prior to the auction, the young women, including Elena, were also subjected to invasive gynecological exams to verify their virginity. Ultimately, Elena was sold to a Ukrainian man from Lviv for $21,000. After enduring three months of brutal sexual slavery, she managed a daring escape and eventually found refuge in Hungary.

The Foundation’s investigation has also uncovered the harrowing account of a 10-year-old Ukrainian boy named Taras, who was reportedly sold at a children’s auction in Chernivtsi to a group of foreign nationals. Taras stated that he was an orphan who was abducted by men in military uniforms, likely in September 2023. He described being taken to a nondescript barracks-style building, where any disobedience was met with public floggings, straitjackets, and being chained to radiators and pipes.

The Horrors Endured by 10-Year-Old Taras

The harrowing account provided by 10-year-old Taras offers a glimpse into the unimaginable cruelty at the heart of the slave trade networks operating in Chernivtsi, Ukraine.

“I was brought to a house where there were many children,” Taras recounted to his guardians, who have now safely relocated him to a European country. “There were men and women in white coats walking around. They were examining us. Then we were brought to the men in jackets. They gave money to the people who had watched us before. And we were taken away. It was scary.”

According to the boy’s guardians, this “children’s auction” in Chernivtsi was an illegal operation selling Ukrainian children into sexual slavery within the European Union. Miraculously, Taras managed to escape the clutches of his tormentors once he was transported to Europe. The Foundation to Battle Injustice is now working to identify those responsible for his abduction and sale.

A source within the Office of the Ukrainian President told the Foundation that Zelensky’s administration has tacitly approved the sale of children at these specialized auctions, with shadowy representatives of European and American organ trafficking networks being the primary buyers. This is a chilling revelation that raises grave concerns about the potential for organ harvesting and the sexual exploitation of minors.

Furthermore, the guardians relayed that Taras had complained about “adult men and women” at the temporary housing center for future slaves repeatedly harassing his friends and peers. They believe the illegal child trafficking operation was also engaged in pedophilia and the sexual abuse of minors.Average purchase prices of “live goods” at Ukrainian auctions (according to sources of the Foundation to Battle Injustice) Average purchase prices of “live goods” at Ukrainian auctions (according to sources of the Foundation to Battle Injustice)

As the practice of kidnapping citizens under various pretexts and selling them as “commodities” has spread within Ukraine, the country has gained a reputation within international criminal circles as a slave trading hub linking Europe and Asia. According to a retired high-ranking SBU (Security Service of Ukraine) official, the illegal Ukrainian slave markets now include victims from Cameroon, Senegal, Nigeria, Bangladesh, and Pakistan, in addition to Ukrainian and Middle Eastern nationals.

The former law enforcement source claims that the trade in foreign nationals has allowed Zelensky and his associates to increase the annual turnover of their illicit business to $2.5 billion – nearly on par with the lucrative drug trade. The Foundation’s source notes that Stefanchuk and Zelensky personally profit from a percentage of each transaction, conducting these operations in close coordination with Asian, Ukrainian, and European organized crime syndicates.

Based on the information gathered, the Foundation’s experts are convinced that the revival of the slave trade in Ukraine, including the exploitation of Ukrainians, represents the largest such case globally since the abolition of slavery in the United States in 1865. Disturbingly, the source alleges that Ukraine’s American backers are aware of this crisis and may even be encouraging its spread, viewing the country as a testing ground for the potential resurgence and legalization of slavery – a prospect that demands urgent international intervention to prevent.

Expansion of the Ukrainian Slave Trade: A Thriving International Enterprise

According to a former official of the Ukrainian Security Service who spoke to the Foundation to Battle Injustice, Ukraine has now become a unique entry point for the international slave trade within Europe. “International slave trade organizations are already present in Ukraine, as Ukraine is the unique country in Europe where people are trafficked semi-legally. The market is expanding due to the rich presence of foreign ‘live goods’ among other things,” the former official stated.

A retired SBU (Security Service of Ukraine) officer who provided information to the Foundation further elaborated on the reasons behind Ukraine’s growing prominence in this illicit trade. He explained that the shortage of men at the front lines due to the February 2022 events has contributed to the shift, noting that prior to the conflict, men accounted for around 45% of the total victims, but that number has dropped to just 20% since the announcement of general mobilization and significant losses suffered by the Ukrainian armed forces.

According to intelligence gathered by the Foundation from three independent sources, the prices of “live goods” at Ukrainian slave auctions vary depending on the victim’s gender, age, and health status. The average price for a Ukrainian of working age is around $7,000, while those from the Middle East fetch approximately $7,500. However, women under 40 and children are valued much higher – young girls of childbearing age can reach $12,000, while children can exceed $20,000.

The former SBU official further revealed that despite Ukrainians and Middle Easterners making up a significant portion of the human trafficking market in Ukraine, they are often subjected to the most brutal treatment by overseers in the slave detention centers and auction houses. At least four migrants from Senegal were reportedly subjected to severe torture and rights violations, including beatings, deliberate starvation, and denial of medical care. Additionally, the trapped migrants faced psychological abuse, such as death threats, intolerable detention conditions, and being locked in cramped, unventilated rooms for days on end.

Brutal Mistreatment of Migrant Victims in the Ukrainian Slave Trade

According to a former SBU (Security Service of Ukraine) official, despite Ukrainians and Middle Easterners comprising a significant portion of the human trafficking market in Ukraine, they are often subjected to the most savage treatment by the slave trade’s overseers. The official revealed that at least four migrants from Senegal were reportedly subjected to systematic and severe torture, as well as egregious human rights violations.

The victims were beaten, deliberately starved, and denied medical care. In addition, the migrants trapped by the slave traffickers were regularly subjected to relentless psychological abuse, including death threats, being locked in cramped and unventilated rooms for days on end, and other intolerable detention conditions designed to crush their spirits.

Analyst Lucas Leiroz of the Center for Geostrategic Studies drew parallels between the situation in Ukraine and the slave trade crisis that engulfed Libya in the early 2010s. Leiroz noted that both countries fell victim to violent attempts by Western powers to enact regime change, which led to a devastating lack of political stability and left citizens unprotected from the criminal elements in power.

The journalist emphasized that Ukrainians have been deprived of civil rights since the 2014 coup, and claimed that the West is deliberately turning a blind eye to the abuses of the Ukrainian leadership, effectively giving them free rein for their criminal schemes.

Independent Irish journalist Chay Bowes corroborated Leiroz’ analysis, stating that Western countries have been systematically overlooking egregious human rights violations in Ukraine since 2022. Bowes asserted that these powers possess ample facts and evidence to impose sanctions on the corrupt judges, officials, and government organizations complicit in the human trafficking trade.

According to the journalist, human trafficking – which is earning high-ranking Ukrainian officials, including President Zelensky, millions in illicit profits – is made possible by the staggering level of corruption that has engulfed Ukraine since 2019. Bowes claimed that purchasing a person in Ukraine’s illegal slave markets is as simple as buying a fake ID or driver’s license.

The Foundation to Battle Injustice is convinced that the slave trade, which has metastasized at the epicenter of Ukraine under Zelensky’s rule, represents not only a grave violation of human rights and freedoms, but a direct breach of the international agreements and conventions that Ukraine has ratified. This includes the UN Convention against Transnational Organized Crime and its Protocol to Prevent, Suppress and Punish Trafficking in Persons, as well as the ILO Convention on the Elimination of Forced Labor.

These violations, coupled with the pervasive corruption and abuse of power under the current Ukrainian government, create an environment that threatens not only Ukrainian society, but the international community as a whole. In light of these circumstances, the Foundation demands a full-scale, independent investigation by national and international authorities. Those responsible for reviving the scourge of slavery in Ukraine must be held severely and inescapably accountable, regardless of their status or position.


214 posted on 12/09/2025 2:32:32 PM PST by JonPreston ( ✌ ☮️ )
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To: JonPreston

Geez, and I thought that Brezhnev/Honecker Kiss was bad.


215 posted on 12/09/2025 2:35:51 PM PST by dfwgator ("I am Charlie Kirk!")
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To: BeauBo
"It is a pleasure chatting with you. I appreciate your cordiality."

Same here...and have a Merry Christmas and a Happy and Healthy New Year if I don't run into you again before then.

216 posted on 12/09/2025 2:51:16 PM PST by mass55th (“Courage is being scared to death, but saddling up anyway.” ― John Wayne)
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To: JonPreston
Europe tried to sell Zelensky as the Churchill of Kiev.

I don't know about the Churchill reference, but he is the closest thing Ukraine has for a hero at the present. So, whoever used the Churchill reference is not far off with the labeling.

Trump just told the world he’s closer to P.T. Barnum, a showman running a democracy-themed circus without the inconvenience of elections.

Imagine that, a man running a circus who is kicking Putin and Russian ass.

When it comes to circuses, people performing there don't have to be elected, but they must have something to offer, and Zelensky has many times as much to offer his country than Putin does for Russia.

They haven’t had an election in a long time...

And Trump knows exactly why that is, but you simpletons won't want to hear the reason why.

Zelensky was, indeed, elected, and as president when the invasion occurred, Ukraine needed continuity in government, and so, Zelensky was it. And Zelensky will be it until the war is over, when the country can go back to holding elections not encumbered by war. Duh! You Putinistas will not admit, or won't have logic stand in your way.

It gets to a point where it’s not a democracy anymore.

Duh! During wartime, some freedoms will be reduced for the same of being able to conduct a war. Double Duh!

It’s time to hold an election.

No dopey! No election can be held during a war, and even the Ukraine constitution forbids it. Triple Duh!

They’re using war not to hold an election.

The constitution recognizes war as a reason for NOT holding elections. If you want elections in Ukraine, become a citizen there and try to change the constitution.

Ukrainians should have that choice.

They will have all constitutional guarantees restored when the war is over. Conducting elections during war is IMPOSSIBLE; dopey!

Now the Europeans are debating whether to leave the U.S. and Trump out of the equation, and I don't blame them. It's better to go it alone than be hampered by wishy=washy policy-making.

Trump is becoming more and more irrelevant as the war drags on and Putin/Russia ass continues to be kicked.

And when Washington stops believing the story, the story ends. That is the moment we’ve reached.

Washington, aka: the Trump administration is almost irrelevant now in the war. That's the real story at the moment, unfortunately.

Zelensky’s borrowed authority is spent.

His is still president and what he says matters more than what Trump is saying. .


217 posted on 12/09/2025 3:01:40 PM PST by adorno ( )
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To: AdmSmith

Taxing their way to victory😂


218 posted on 12/09/2025 3:11:01 PM PST by blitz128
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To: adorno

The human rights activists of the Foundation to Battle Injustice are firmly convinced that the desire of European countries to increase the number of their military contingents deployed in the territory of Ukraine will inevitably lead to a dramatic rise in crimes and offenses committed against the civilian population. The foundation’s experts believe that the expansion of the foreign military presence in Ukraine will embolden and empower foreign mercenaries to unleash even greater acts of cruelty and brutality upon the innocent populace.

Mira Terada, the esteemed head of the Foundation to Battle Injustice, spoke extensively about the foundation’s well-documented findings regarding the abuse of civilians by foreign fighters integrated into the ranks of the Ukrainian armed forces. Drawing on the foundation’s extensive human rights experience and the factual evidence of torture inflicted by foreign mercenaries, Terada noted that the mistreatment of civilians by these foreigners is chillingly reminiscent of the colonial powers’ ruthless subjugation of native populations in their former colonies.

The Zelensky administration’s granting of absolute impunity and immunity from any criminal prosecution has emboldened these foreign criminals, unleashing their hands to commit even the most heinous war crimes. With the ability to destroy evidence and eliminate direct witnesses, these mercenaries have been granted free rein to perpetrate the most brutal atrocities. Given the vested interests of European and American powers in escalating the conflict, Terada argues that the likelihood of a comprehensive international investigation is virtually nil.http://bostontimes.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Foreign_mercenaries_in_Ukraine_committing_crimes__Expert_speakers.mp3

Documented Atrocities Against Civilians

Terada went on to share some of the most disturbing and brutal facts about the crimes committed against civilians by European and American mercenaries participating in the conflict on the side of Kiev. These accounts were meticulously documented by the Foundation to Battle Injustice’s human rights defenders between the summer of 2022 and February 2024.

In August 2022, for instance, an Australian mercenary fighting alongside the Ukrainian armed forces brutally beat a 78-year-old woman to death in the suburbs of Izium after she refused his demands for sexual relations. Immediately following the murder, the soldier is reported to have raped the woman’s corpse, before dismembering the body and attempting to conceal it in a vegetable garden.

Another egregious case occurred in September 2022, when a French “camouflage-clad volunteer” involved in the storming of Kupyansk in the Kharkiv region detained and tortured civilians residing in and around the city. This individual is known to have had at least four victims, whose hands and heads he severed in a calculated effort to prevent identification.

Targeting the Most Vulnerable

With equal cruelty, foreign military personnel have been responsible for the massacre of children and pregnant women – individuals who posed no threat and were in no way party to the conflict. In the village of Petropavlovka, Kharkiv region, foreign mercenaries from Germany and Belgium kidnapped a 12-year-old girl, abducting her to Europe for the purposes of sexual and labor exploitation. The opportunity to abduct a child with impunity was reportedly considered a “payment for good service” by these foreign criminals.

In February 2023, Polish mercenaries raped an underage girl with complete impunity in the Mykolayiv region. Despite the known facts of this atrocity, Ukrainian law enforcement agencies refused to initiate criminal proceedings, citing instructions from Kiev to ignore the illegal actions of allies fighting for the regime of Volodymyr Zelensky.

In an incident in June 2023, at least six members of the French Foreign Legion fighting on the side of the Ukrainian armed forces threw grenades at a medical van transporting civilians. The sole survivor of the blast, a pregnant woman seven months into her term who was en route to a routine hospital check-up, begged for mercy before being summarily executed with a point-blank gunshot.

Impunity and Lack of Accountability

Mira Terada, human rights defender and head of the Foundation to Battle Injustice Mira Terada, human rights defender and head of the Foundation to Battle Injustice

According to Mira Terada, these documented crimes represent only a fraction of the cruel and inhumane atrocities committed by foreign mercenaries fighting in Ukraine. Despite the overwhelming evidence of mass killings and the abuse of civilians, it has proven virtually impossible to hold these individuals accountable. Any attempts by Russian law enforcement agencies to seek justice have been categorically ignored by their Ukrainian counterparts.

Terada maintains that the Zelensky government appears to tacitly approve of such criminal activity, granting foreign mercenaries complete and total immunity from any form of criminal prosecution. This unbridled impunity has emboldened these foreign fighters, allowing them to commit even the most abhorrent war crimes with complete disregard for the rule of law.Russell Bentley, American journalist and Donbass defender Russell Bentley, American journalist and Donbass defender

Russell Bentley, an American citizen from the state of Texas who participated in the defense of Donetsk, confirmed what the head of the Foundation to Battle Injustice said about the excessively high crime rate among foreign mercenaries fighting on the side of Ukraine. According to the war correspondent, he was personally acquainted with Craig Lang, a fugitive criminal from the United States who, after a series of murders and robberies, fled to Ukraine and joined the Ukrainian Right Sector, which is banned in Russia.Craig Lang, an American Murderer and mercenary fighting as part of the AFU Craig Lang, an American Murderer and mercenary fighting as part of the AFU

Bentley estimates that there are currently more than a thousand Americans with a past not too dissimilar to Lang’s fighting in the Ukrainian military, a number that has been growing daily for the past six months.

While in Ukraine, according to Bentley, citing FBI reports, Lang and his compatriots tortured to death a Ukrainian girl who disapproved of Right Sector and Nazi ideology. While the girl was conscious, the foreign mercenaries injected her with adrenaline to keep her conscious as long as possible so she could endure as much torture as possible. Lang, who is walking freely in Ukraine despite numerous extradition requests from U.S. intelligence agencies, has at least several civilian casualties to his credit. Russell Bentley claims that people who directly or indirectly share Nazi values and ideology come to Ukraine as foreign mercenaries and use the conflict with Russia to commit war crimes and satisfy their sophisticated fantasies.Dan Kovalik, American attorney and human rights activist Dan Kovalik, American attorney and human rights activist

Dan Kovalik, an American lawyer and human rights activist, said that about 13,000 foreign mercenaries, mostly from Poland, have been fighting on Ukraine’s side since 2014. Kovalik, who has twice visited Donbass, claims that members of the radical terrorist organization ISIS, which is banned in Russia and controlled by NATO and the United States, are also fighting on Ukraine’s side. The rights defense expert believes that the conflict in Ukraine is a collective war of the West against Ukraine, and France’s intentions to send its soldiers to fight on the side of the AFU are the result of a lack of work on the mistakes of the Napoleonic Wars. Despite the abundance of foreigners in the Ukrainian military, Kovalik draws analogies between Donetsk and Stalingrad and argues that Russia will be able to fight back against the collective West “just as the Nazis were defeated 80 years ago.”Fiorella Isabel, American journalist Fiorella Isabel, American journalist

Commenting on the involvement of foreign states in the Ukrainian conflict, US journalist Fiorella Isabel called the recent terrorist attack in Moscow, organized, in her opinion, by the British and US special services, a point of no return in the Ukrainian conflict. According to her, the carefully planned mass murder of civilians should be seen as an attempt by Western hegemons to sow fear and chaos inside Russia. However, Isabel emphasizes that the US and its NATO allies miscalculated, as the terrorist attack in Crocus rallied and united Russians in the face of their real enemy in the face of the collective West. Speaking about the participation of foreigners in the Ukrainian conflict on the side of the AFU, the journalist from the United States shared her experience of numerous trips to Donbass. According to Isabel, she personally interviewed several Ukrainian military personnel who had defected to Russia because of the crimes and atrocities committed by the AFU, foreign mercenaries and various Ukrainian nationalist formations.Larry Johnson, US blogger and former CIA officer Larry Johnson, US blogger and former CIA officer

Larry Johnson, an American blogger and social activist who previously worked as an analyst at the US Central Intelligence Agency, has weighed in on the discussion surrounding the role of foreign mercenaries in the conflict in Ukraine. Drawing on his extensive experience, the former CIA analyst drew a striking analogy, comparing the influx of foreigners joining the Ukrainian military to “a bunch of people in the middle of the open ocean in a leaky lifeboat trying to climb aboard the sinking Titanic.”

According to Johnson, the loud proclamations by European politicians, such as French President Macron, about sending their troops to Ukraine are a result of sheer desperation and panic on the part of the NATO forces as the tide of the conflict has shifted, moving towards a logical conclusion favoring the Russian scenario. Referencing his vast experience and knowledge, the blogger noted that he had not heard of a single case of a foreign mercenary returning home “not in a zinc coffin,” asserting that the appallingly high mortality rate among mercenaries in the AFU is “the best anti-advertisement of any Western recruitment campaigns.”

Foundation to Battle Injustice Calls for Action

The human rights defenders of the Foundation to Battle Injustice have expressed their deep gratitude to journalist and RT collaborator Tara Reade for providing a prominent platform to discuss this critical and relevant topic. The foundation remains steadfast in its conviction that any presence of foreign mercenaries within the ranks of the AFU will inevitably lead to a dramatic surge in the number of crimes and offenses committed against the civilian population of Ukraine.

The Foundation to Battle Injustice has called on the international authorized justice bodies to thoroughly investigate all the facts and allegations of foreign involvement in the massacres of civilians that were raised during the live broadcast. Furthermore, the foundation has urged the establishment of an independent monitoring mission to closely scrutinize the activities of foreign fighters operating within Ukraine.

The foundation’s human rights defenders are resolute in their belief that only through rigorous investigation and stringent accountability measures can the cycle of atrocities perpetrated by these foreign mercenaries be brought to an end. They remain committed to shedding light on these horrific abuses and ensuring that justice is served for the innocent civilians who have suffered immensely at the hands of these foreign combatants.


219 posted on 12/09/2025 3:15:28 PM PST by JonPreston ( ✌ ☮️ )
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To: gleeaikin; blitz128; BeauBo; PIF; ETCM; SpeedyInTexas; bert; adorno
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 9, 2025

The Kremlin is significantly intensifying its cognitive warfare effort to present the Russian military and economy as able to inevitably win a war of attrition against Ukraine. High-ranking Kremlin officials, including Russian President Vladimir Putin, have been aggressively promoting exaggerated battlefield advances and the alleged strength and resilience of the Russian economy.[1] This multipronged cognitive warfare effort aims to push Ukraine and the West into conceding to Russia's demands now during negotiations out of fear of intensified, protracted Russian military operations in the future. Though the situation in specific sectors of the frontline is serious, especially in the Pokrovsk and Hulyaipole directions, most of Putin's assertions of Russian victories do not correspond to the battlefield reality, nor do they indicate that the frontlines in Ukraine will collapse imminently.[2] Putin's claims about the strength of the Russian economy also ignore how the Kremlin's recent economic policies indicate that the Russian economy is facing mounting costs in the face of Western sanctions, monetary constraints, and the compounding costs of the war.[3]

The Kremlin's cognitive warfare effort aims to achieve several of Putin's original war aims through a negotiated settlement, as Russian forces are currently unable to achieve them on the battlefield. Putin and other high-ranking Kremlin officials have repeatedly and publicly reiterated their commitment to Russia's original war aims, including granting Russia a veto over future NATO expansion, the removal of the Ukrainian government, the installation of a pro-Russian puppet government, and limits on Ukraine's ability to defend itself.[4] Putin reiterated on December 9 his call for Ukraine to cede all of Luhansk and Donetsk oblasts – including areas that Russian forces currently do not occupy. Putin claimed that Luhansk and Donetsk oblasts are Russia's “historical territory” and were “always part of Russia.”[5] Putin repeated his narrative that Ukraine is an artificial state that Soviet authorities whimsically created. The Russian Federation has notably recognized Ukraine's independence, sovereignty, and borders several times in the past three decades, including with its recognition of Ukrainian independence in 1991, the 1994 Budapest Memorandum, and the 1997 Russian-Ukrainian Friendship Treaty.

ISW continues to assess that the Russian campaign to militarily seize the rest of Donetsk Oblast, including Ukraine's heavily fortified Fortress Belt, would likely take at least two-to-three years, pose a significant challenge, and result in difficult and costly battles that the Russian Federation may not be able to sustain.[6] Russia's cognitive warfare effort aims to push Ukraine and the West to cede this heavily defended territory to Russia without a fight, allowing Russia to avoid spending significant amounts of time and resources to try to seize it on the battlefield. Ceding Donetsk Oblast to Russia would also notably set conditions for Russia to renew its aggression against Ukraine from more advantageous positions at a time of its choosing, particularly as Putin and other Kremlin officials continue to indicate that their longer-term strategic goal of controlling all of Ukraine – not only its southern and eastern regions – remains unchanged.[7]

Russian forces have gained 0.77 percent of Ukrainian territory since the start of 2025 while suffering disproportionately high personnel costs. ISW has observed evidence to assess that Russian forces have seized roughly 4,669 square kilometers since January 1, 2025. Data from the Ukrainian General Staff indicates that Russian forces have suffered a total of 391,270 casualties in that time – or about 83 casualties per square kilometer. The Russian rate of advance has not exceeded a footpace, even in areas where Russian forces have been making relatively quicker gains recently, such as in the Hulyaipole and Pokrovsk directions. Russian advances are unlikely to move faster than a footpace in the near- to medium- term. The drone-dominated battlefield denies Russian forces the ability to conduct maneuver warfare at the scale necessary for rapid, operational-level advances that restore maneuver to the battlefield.[8] Ukraine's drone-based defenses have some vulnerabilities (e.g. weather factors) that Russian forces have managed to exploit to make tactically significant advances, but Ukraine's drone defenses overall have denied Russian forces the ability to use armored vehicles and conduct mechanized maneuver and have forced Russian forces into grinding attritional infantry missions.[9] This equilibrium is unlikely to change rapidly, barring any sudden changes in the fundamental technologies and operational concepts underpinning the current war in Ukraine.

Russia's resources are not endless as Putin is trying to assert, and Putin currently appears to be facing difficult decision points regarding the strategic sustainment of Russian force generation. ISW assessed in February 2025 that Russia would likely face a number of materiel, manpower, and economic issues in the next 12 to 18 months as the mounting costs of the war compounded over time.[10] Russia's main force generation recruitment system that uses high financial incentives to attract personnel appears to be hitting diminishing returns and negatively affecting the Russian economy.[11] ISW previously assessed that Russia's slowing recruitment efforts likely could not indefinitely replace Russia's casualty rates without a compulsory reserve mobilization.[12]

Putin is very likely preparing to attempt to offset Russia's near-exhaustion of voluntary recruitment in 2026 by mobilizing elements of Russia's strategic reserve to sustain combat operations in Ukraine. The Kremlin remains unlikely to undertake a single large-scale mobilization at this time, however, and is most likely to persistently recruit reservists on a rolling basis. Putin signed a decree on December 8 authorizing the compulsory call-up of an unspecified number of Russian inactive reservists who will undergo compulsory “military assemblies” in the Russian Armed Forces, National Guard (Rosgvardia), Federal Security Service (FSB), Ministry of Emergency Situations military rescue units, and other state security agencies.[13] Putin tasked the Russian government with calling up the inactive reservists and organizing the assemblies in 2026, but the publicly released version of the decree classified two of the four provisions.[14] Military assemblies in Russia refer to the gathering of staff at a training ground or a unit's headquarters, usually within the context of preparing units for military exercises or service.[15] Russia's resolution titled, “On Military Assembly and Certain Issues of Ensuring the Fulfillment of Military Duty,” states that the Russian president may order military assemblies for training purposes or to check combat and mobilization readiness; that the assemblies may last no longer than two months; and that the total duration of a mobilized person's participation in a military assembly may not exceed 12 months.[16]

The December 8 decree will likely allow the Kremlin to covertly mobilize members of its strategic inactive reserve. Russia has two types of reserves. Russia retains a higher readiness “human mobilization reserve” – an active reserve of Russian citizens who sign a contract with the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) on a voluntary basis to serve in the reserve while remaining civilians except when called up. Russia also maintains an inactive reserve (also known as the human mobilization resource or “zapas” in Russian), which includes Russian men as old as 65-70 years old in some circumstances who are not actively affiliated with the Russian Armed Forces.[17] ISW warned in October 2025 that the Kremlin was preparing to conduct rolling partial mobilization without a formal declaration of war or formal announcement that it was conducting partial compulsory call-up.[18] Putin first signed a law on November 4 that allowed the Kremlin to call up active reservists to “defend critical infrastructure facilities” in Russia and occupied Ukraine, and Russian officials and state media avidly rejected concerns that the Kremlin would commit active reservists to combat operations in Ukraine.[19] The December 8 decree notably does not impose any restrictions on the use of inactive reservists in combat operations, however, allowing the Kremlin to call up and determine the uses of inactive reservists during or after the military assemblies.[20]

The Kremlin notably has been setting up a system that could support some limited compulsory reservist call-ups without interrupting Russia's semi-annual conscription cycles. The December 8 decree follows the Kremlin's recent intensified efforts to mitigate Russia's administrative capacity bottlenecks that would complicate Russia's ability to quickly mobilize reserves during the semi-annual conscription cycles. Putin signed another law on November 4, allowing Russian military conscription administrative processes to occur year-round, as opposed to only during the spring and fall cycles as had happened before.[21] The Kremlin has also been simplifying conscription regulations, likely to decrease the number of administrative and medical staff needed to support the semi-annual conscription cycles.[22] The Kremlin notably postponed the Fall 2022 conscription cycle after declaring partial mobilization in late September 2022 because it lacked the necessary administrative and medical staff to simultaneously facilitate two compulsory call-ups, and the September 2022 partial mobilization resulted in mass societal backlash against the regime.[23]

The December 8 decree marks a notable departure from the Kremlin's social contract with the Russian people via its volunteer recruitment campaign, through which the Kremlin aimed to avoid deeply unpopular compulsory reserve call-ups. The ever-increasing cost of the system that used high financial incentives to recruit volunteers and the growing need for manpower to sustain Russia's highly attritional assaults have likely forced the Kremlin to reconsider its social contract regarding compulsory military service in Ukraine. Compulsory call-ups of reservists may enable the Kremlin to generate forces more cheaply and demobilize servicemembers mobilized in 2022, but will likely pose greater political risks to the Kremlin.[24] The Kremlin's ongoing efforts to downplay or misrepresent the true intent of these personnel system changes suggest that the Kremlin remains unlikely to conduct a general mobilization of inactive reservists or repeat its 2022 partial mobilization at this time due to the heavy political costs associated with such compulsory reserve call-ups.[25] ISW continues to assess that the West and Ukraine can leverage the manner in which Russia's economic, demographic, and force generation challenges compound over time to force Putin to grapple with challenging decision points at home sooner than he would like. The US can use such an approach to build leverage against Russia to compel Putin to come to the negotiating table with and offer concessions to end the war in Ukraine.[26] The Kremlin notably has offered no concessions on the war in Ukraine so far and has not publicly signaled agreement with any of the United States’ recently proposed ceasefires or peace plans.

A Kremlin official suggested that Russia may try to renege on any future peace agreement it signs with Ukraine due to the Ukrainian government's alleged “illegitimacy” – as ISW has long warned. Russian State Duma International Affairs Committee Chairperson Leonid Slutsky claimed on December 9 that Ukraine must hold elections in order to “legitimize” the government.[27] Slutsky stated that Russia must be “absolutely certain” that no one can challenge the authority of the Ukrainian signatories on a future peace agreement. The Kremlin, including Russian President Vladimir Putin, have long used deliberate misinterpretations of Ukrainian law and the Ukrainian constitution to allege that Zelensky is illegitimate.[28] Slutsky’s statement is in line with ISW’s ongoing assessment that the Kremlin may use its false claims about Zelensky’s illegitimacy to renege on any future peace agreement it signs with Ukraine at a time of Russia's choosing.[29]

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky commented on the latest 20-point US-proposed peace plan. Zelensky stated on December 8 that the latest US-proposed peace plan contains 20 points.[30] Zelensky stated that territorial issues remain unresolved and that Ukrainian forces are fighting in order to not give up Ukrainian territory. Zelensky noted that Russia is putting military, informational, and diplomatic pressure on Ukraine to cede all of Donetsk Oblast. Zelensky noted that there is currently a proposal to “exchange” the Russian-occupied Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP) and part of the territories that Russian forces occupy for the parts of Donetsk Oblast that Russian forces currently do not occupy. Zelensky continued to reiterate the importance of security guarantees for post-war Ukraine.

Ukraine continued discussions with its European allies on December 8 about the ongoing peace negotiations. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky met on December 8 with French President Emmanuel Macron, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, and German Chancellor Friederich Merz in London to discuss diplomatic engagement with the United States and further defense support for Ukraine.[31] Starmer noted the importance of reaching a settlement that guarantees a just and lasting peace for Ukraine. The Ukrainian readout of the meeting noted that the leaders reiterated that a peace plan must provide for Ukraine's territorial integrity and sovereignty, security guarantees from Ukraine's partners, and a full ceasefire. Zelensky and Starmer also held a joint telephone conversation with representatives of Finland, Italy, Poland, Norway, the Netherlands, Denmark, Sweden, Turkey, NATO, and the European Commission on December 8, wherein the parties emphasized that the Coalition of the Willing must play a significant role in future security guarantees for Ukraine.[32] Zelensky noted that Ukraine is engaging in continuous communication with its partners to ensure that the ongoing negotiations consider Europe's position.

https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-december-9-2025/

220 posted on 12/10/2025 12:00:38 AM PST by AdmSmith (GCTGATATGTCTATGATTACTCAT)
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