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Dem pollster: race is tied (translation: Trump is ahead)
Change Research ^ | 10/23/2024 | NA

Posted on 10/24/2024 5:07:14 AM PDT by Redmen4ever

In a national poll of n=3275 likely voters, 46% intend to vote for Kamala Harris, 46% plan to vote for Donald Trump, 5% want to vote for a third-party candidate, and 3% are undecided.

(Excerpt) Read more at us17.campaign-archive.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: harris; trump
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This is a Democrat pollster, with a history of bias (more than the average). If it shows the race to be tied (in the nationwide popular vote), we're likely several points ahead, and very likely to win where it counts, in the Electoral College.

Their focus is on who is "persuadable." Wrong city. The focus is on getting (our) people to vote. This is why early voting trends (very positive for our side) matters. Their GOTV involves getting casual voters to vote early, often with assistance of paid campaign workers ("harvesting the vote"). With the changed voting rules, the fears associated with COVID, and all-around chaos, they rolled up big margins four years ago. NOT THIS YEAR.

On the other hand, we're doing fine in the early voting AND NEED TO KEEP UP THE MOMENTUM. Vote. Vote early. Even if this means vote early on election day.

Word to my fellow Americans who have to commute to and from work on election day: Many of you find it difficult to vote. Think of taking advantage of one of the early voting options to avoid the long lines typical on election day. I think most of us would like to see the rules for voting tightened up. But, this year, it is what it is.

1 posted on 10/24/2024 5:07:14 AM PDT by Redmen4ever
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To: Redmen4ever

No polster that ever wants MSM coverage would EVER publish poll results with a democrat presidential hopeful significant behind.

They just can’t do it. They wouldn’t just get ignored, they would probably get blackballed, and they know this.

The media’s only hope when Kamala is down is to try to keep things together and not let dem voters get too demoralized.


2 posted on 10/24/2024 5:10:19 AM PDT by z3n (Kakistocracy)
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To: z3n

The “want to vote for someone else” and the “undecided” don’t vote, they just talk.


3 posted on 10/24/2024 5:14:18 AM PDT by abbastanza (Oh boy. Can’t wait. Go nuts kids)
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To: abbastanza

The race is close with a giggling idiot who refuses to tell the American people her true intentions


4 posted on 10/24/2024 5:20:57 AM PDT by ronnie raygun
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To: Redmen4ever

I could translate, “race is tied,” as “Trump is ahead, but we have the Dem Cheat Machine(TM) working well enough make sure we win again.”


5 posted on 10/24/2024 5:21:16 AM PDT by Tom Tetroxide
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To: Redmen4ever

Keep talking kamala

She’s so bad

Video
Kamala gives a word salad answer when asked if she has made any mistakes
https://rumble.com/v5jxh0q-kamala-gives-a-word-salad-answer-when-asked-if-she-has-made-any-mistakes.html


6 posted on 10/24/2024 5:22:20 AM PDT by janetjanet998 (Legacy media including youtube are the enemy of the people and must die)
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To: abbastanza

I believe that is mostly true.
However, I think there are people out there who will say they are “undecided” when they are not.
I think they are a small group, because most people who don’t like being polled will just reject them, but some will just be evasive and hide their leanings.

I think you are right though about them not voting.

In fact, I will do you one better. Not only don’t they vote, those categories exist in the polls (undecided, independent, margin of error) are all there to hide the real margins that will eventually come out in the election... and then they can just wash their hands of why there were differences.


7 posted on 10/24/2024 5:22:21 AM PDT by z3n (Kakistocracy)
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To: abbastanza; anyone
I like the signs , they are positive.’’what gives me some nagging fear are all these turncoat repubs. Like Liz Cheney and this newest female dog… Bush admin ANA VENEMEN. Says she will now support Harris. IMG-0180 It will be a bitter pill to swallow if we overcome the media and pull in enough voters to win…then get beat by RINO turncoats. Yesterday I was passed in I-65 by a service van with Ohio plates, with a big rear window and they had a giant sticker that said: “i may be a repub but I’m not an idiot—I’m voting Harris”. Yes I’m skittish.
8 posted on 10/24/2024 5:23:52 AM PDT by Phoenix8
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To: janetjanet998

The biggest dufus to run for President in American History.
Thousands more illegals heading for the border to cross before Election Day,what does the dufus say she is going to do about it?
The media does not want to talk about it! Why not! Thousands are just days away,hey dufus what are you going to do about it?


9 posted on 10/24/2024 5:28:21 AM PDT by ballplayer
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To: z3n

In a boring election with low enthusiasm for both sides it is possible to have a significant number of undecideds.

In this race—zero chance.

The undecideds are most likely so uninterested in politics they are not voting.


10 posted on 10/24/2024 5:31:31 AM PDT by cgbg ("Our democracy" = Their Kleptocracy)
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To: Redmen4ever

Race is tied, already? They say that every election, but usually closer to the day, no?
My memory only goes back to 2000 on these matters — and I wouldn’t have noticed that if the folks hadn’t gotten so lathered up afterwards.


11 posted on 10/24/2024 5:37:32 AM PDT by Buttons12 (Don't just gripe. Retire now. Cut off their allowance. )
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To: Redmen4ever

I guess the pollsters are tired of being totally wrong and then losing business and being made fun of. So they take the easy way out and just say it’s a toss-up. Admitting that they cannot poll accurately and their product is worthless.


12 posted on 10/24/2024 5:39:23 AM PDT by 1Old Pro
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To: 1Old Pro

A lefty poll like this refuses to admit the obvious.

A popular vote tie means an electoral college vote win for President Trump.

Why?

Because the Democrat will win California by several million votes.

That would mean the other forty nine states give President Trump a several million vote margin.


13 posted on 10/24/2024 5:41:41 AM PDT by cgbg ("Our democracy" = Their Kleptocracy)
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To: Redmen4ever

In the popular vote.


14 posted on 10/24/2024 5:43:06 AM PDT by Zathras
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To: Phoenix8

These “RINOs” imo were always Rats - just now taking off the disguise.

As far as the service van, my guess that was a Rat pretending to be Republican via bumper sticker.

Again imo.


15 posted on 10/24/2024 5:45:25 AM PDT by HombreSecreto (The life of a repo man is always intense)
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To: Redmen4ever

Trump is ahead nationally, but he could be 5 behind and still win the electoral college.


16 posted on 10/24/2024 5:48:31 AM PDT by weezel
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To: Redmen4ever

I’ve seen it written that “undecideds” tend to break for the challenger at the last minute. If the national popular vote does wind up tied that would point to a comfortable EV victory for DJT.


17 posted on 10/24/2024 5:50:13 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Import The Third World,Become The Third World)
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To: Phoenix8

What gives me some fear is a quote from Joe Stalin himself...”it’s not who *casts* the votes,it’s who *counts* the votes”.


18 posted on 10/24/2024 5:52:15 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Import The Third World,Become The Third World)
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To: HombreSecreto

The idea did occur to me.


19 posted on 10/24/2024 6:02:18 AM PDT by Phoenix8
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To: Tom Tetroxide

Trump outperformed the polls in both 2020 and 2016. The cheat, whatever it was, was swamped by the bias.

But, hope springs eternal. Putinbots and Democrat shills have to say that this time the cheat can swamp the bias.

Sure, and the polar axis could shift, a killer comet come out of nowhere, Jesus could return and any number of other things could happen to make voting irrelevant. If you’re trying to suppress the Republican vote, forgetabout it.

On the other had, if you’re just talking fear, in spite of your fear, vote.


20 posted on 10/24/2024 6:38:35 AM PDT by Redmen4ever
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