Posted on 10/13/2024 8:11:20 AM PDT by lasereye
More from the article:
Given that close elections are often decided by which party better turns out its voters, the NBC News poll provides a snapshot of what could happen depending on different turnout scenarios.
Assuming a more favorable environment for Republicans — which means slightly greater turnout among men, white voters and voters without college degrees — Trump leads Harris by 2 points, 49%-47%.
But assuming a more favorable turnout environment for Democrats — which means more women, more white voters with college degrees and more voters of color showing up to the polls — these survey results show Harris leading Trump by 3 points among registered voters, 49%-46%.
It shouldn’t be a “dead heat”.
Harris’ campaign should be dead and Trump’s campaign should be hot.
Good news, but let’s play like we’re behind. Get active with your local Trump campaign!
This is so crazy. Half the voters just lived through 4 years of the country swirling down the toilet, economically, culturally, socially and morally and are basically saying, ‘Oh yeah! Give me four more years of that!’
I guess those 50 years of socialist indoctrination through public schooling and the media brainwashing have really paid off.
If it’s really this close they’ll steal it........again
Kamaltoe won her debate, Biden won his debate and of course... Walz won his debate... What the Democrats need is another debate... And Trump’s medical records... Because apparently Kamala is in ‘perfect’ health... BTW - Did they release her psychiatric evaluation yet?
Who believes anything from NBC “News”??
At this point it’s all about turnout.
Registered voters, nationwide. Not very reliable, since it basically translates into a Trump landslide.
I believe their polls much more so than the Republican-friendly Rasmussen.
I had a recent conversation with a white female who clearly voiced her dislike/resentment of ‘white men’, and supported gleefully any kind of electoral outcome that goes against ‘white men’. I have come to the conclusion that the left is full of these kinds of hateful women.
If I were single and dating I would absolutely have nothing to do with any woman with that type of mindset and those types of hateful views. I wouldn’t even have a peripheral friendship with them. No one with those kinds of views can be trusted.
The trump momentum started after the vice presidential debate where jd Vance showed the world his competence and waltz his incompetence
Whatever happens in 2024 I look forward to Vance in 2028
We have some great young articulate republicans, the in your face type of republicans like jd Vance , Vivek , Desantis , tulsi
No more wimp republicans the type to be obliterated by the news media
It is all about turnout and harvesting the votes. We need to work hard and get our constituencies to vote - men, rural folks, and Christians.
Quite disgusting. Can you share in what context you had this conversation? Work or social?
Lies, damned lies and statistics. Mark Twain
> At this point it’s all about turnout.<
Not according to Obama. He said it’s all about poll numbers. He knows the cheat has to at least be believable.
EC
Seeing as this is an NBC News poll, this is good news for Trump. As others have said, the trend is towards Trump.
NBC has been pretty bad in the past. In 2020 the final NBC/WSJ poll had Biden +10. In 2016 NBC had Hillary +7 in their last poll before the election.
Here is why Trump is winning PA: Biden barely beat Trump in PA despite being “Scranton Joe,” being Irish-Catholic, and having strong union ties throughout the Commonwealth (also, Trump was having issues b/c of COVID). Now, name for me one demographic group that has moved towards Kamala? Men, working-class whites, blacks, Hispanics, Jews, Catholics, 18-29 voters, etc. have all substantially moved towards Trump. I will give her a slight increase with young women b/c of abortion. Accordingly, how does this translate into Kamala over-performing Biden in PA? Short answer: It does not. She will lose PA by 4 to 6 points. Same with Wisconsin. Michigan will be a 2 to 4 point Trump win.
If America wasn’t flooded with freeloading, deadbeat, illegal alien foreigners, President Trump would be looking at a landslide.
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