CNN’s Harry Enten Warns Harris Currently In Polling ‘Danger Zone’

Daily Caller ^ | September 16, 2024 | Jason Cohen

[SharpRightTurn]

I thought this was an interesting analysis. I wasn't familiar with this Enten fellow. He's now at CNN; formerly he was with FiveThirtyEight (for what that's worth. If nothing else, I suppose people who work there must have to know how to do a lot of number crunching.) "Harris only has a 1.7% lead over Trump nationally and just a 0.2% advantage in the top seven battleground states, according to RealClearPolitics averages of recent polls. ... Trump will secure an electoral college victory if he “outperforms his current polls by just a single point.”

Given that Trump usually outperforms his polling numbers, and that many current polls are likely pumping up Harris's support, I believe it is a given that Trump will outperform his current polls by significantly more than a "single point." And if CommieLa falls on her face before Election Day, Trump may well run away with the electoral college count.

[FlingWingFlyer]

So not only does she own a gun, she’s flies F-14 Tomcats.

[lonestar67]

There is very little comment on the fact that Trump’s polling numbers are better than they have ever been in the three elections

[SharpRightTurn]

“There is very little comment on the fact that Trump’s polling numbers are better than they have ever been in the three elections”

That’s an excellent point. Real Clear Politics will sometimes show the polling spread between the current candidates and compare it to past presidential races. As you say, Trump is polling better at this point in the race with Harris than he was at this point in his campaign against the Hildebeest.

I feel confident that Trump will win on Election Day. And I’m trying not to be a “Debbie Downer,” but knowing what the Dims pulled four years ago in the wee hours after Election Day I’m not convinced the Repugnants have done enough to counteract another round of fraud.

[Ge0ffrey]

Other more historically accurate polls show her behind nationally.

[Gay State Conservative]

Yup...Heels Up will carry Kalifornia,Illinois,New York,Maryland,Massachusetts and a few other states by millions and millions of votes. DJT will carry a few states by millions of votes but will carry many states by 5,000 or 10,000 votes.

[CatOwner]

DJT will carry a few states by millions of votes but will carry many states by 5,000 or 10,000 votes.

If only by 5,000 to 10,000 votes, Trump will lose those states. In most cases, 50,000 votes won't be enough.

[Gay State Conservative]

Also,DJT outperformed the polling numbers by a substantial margin in both ‘16 *and* ‘20. IOW,pollsters like the ones at the NY Times and MSLSD are known to poll 45% democrats to 30% Republicans.

[quantim]

Notice that the MSM won’t mention that President Trump will get yet another bump from this last assassination attempt. It’s over for the commies at least a few years.

[lonestar67]

I still believe that COVID created a unique fraud window that is smaller than it was in 2020.

There will absolutely be fraud but I think it will be less.

Moreover, there is serious efforts to increase Republican voter registration and republican voting in the six battleground states.

If there is any extra effort legally to constrain the democratic fraud activity which there is already some evidence of

[Deaf Smith]

Speculation;

This election may have voter turnout of 105% +\- of registered voters.

I recall such happened in Minnesota a couple of years ago in a state election.

[SharpRightTurn]

“Also,DJT outperformed the polling numbers by a substantial margin in both ‘16 *and* ‘20.”

I believe that is correct. Given the current numbers, I believe Trump is ahead right now. Whether ahead enough to overcome shenanigans in Philadelphia, Detroit, Atlanta, Las Vegas, and other hotbeds of vote manipulation, I don’t know.

[clearcarbon]

"Harris Dominates New Round of Polls, Beating Or Tying Trump In Every Major Swing State"

The MSM polls must be fraudulently (as required) fabricated as close as needed to pull off the steal.

[SharpRightTurn]

“Notice that the MSM won’t mention that President Trump will get yet another bump from this last assassination attempt. It’s over for the commies at least a few years.”

From your lips to God’s ears.

[SharpRightTurn]

“I still believe that COVID created a unique fraud window that is smaller than it was in 2020.

“There will absolutely be fraud but I think it will be less.

“Moreover, there is serious efforts to increase Republican voter registration and republican voting in the six battleground states.”

Very good points.

[dforest]

Truth is that she is way behind. They just don't want people to know that.

They wouldn't still be trying to murder Trump if the nitwit Kamala was ahead.

The deep state needs people to believe it is close so they can make a cheat look believable.

[Olog-hai]

Opus?

[DouglasKC]

I still believe that COVID created a unique fraud window that is smaller than it was in 2020. There will absolutely be fraud but I think it will be less. Moreover, there is serious efforts to increase Republican voter registration and republican voting in the six battleground states. If there is any extra effort legally to constrain the democratic fraud activity which there is already some evidence of

All good points for sure. Another big factor might be that Trump wasn't aware of or underestimated how much Republicans collude with Democrats at all levels. I think he's installed loyalists in many key positions in the Republican party which should help as well.

[jimpick]

Here in Michigan all I hear are adds for the witch. I dont remember this many adds for Biden in 2020. It is non stop.

Her polling must be terrible here in Michigan.

I see a lot of Trump yard signs. More so than last time. But I am in a area that votes 60%+ for Republicans. So it could just be the base is rock solid in supporting Trump.

[Salman]

Presupposes a fair election