Posted on 08/28/2024 5:54:26 PM PDT by thegagline
I don’t think it’s even that close to be honest.
Yes, it did during Bret Baer’s broadcast tonight. & She wins the election
Harris receives 79% support among Black voters:
2020; biden 87%, DJT 12%
Harris receives 56% among Hispanics:
2020; biden 65%, DJT 32%
Harris receives 55% among those under age 30:
2020: Biden 60%, DJT, 36%
Harris receives 51% among voters ages 65 and over
2020: biden 45%, Trump 52%
And if that number on black folks is correct, she’s done
My experience with”independents” is that they’re Democrats who won’t admit they’re Democrats.
Fox is lying.
538’s polling average for Arizona for August 27, 2020:
Biden 48.4% T
Trump 44.6%
2020 election results for Arizona:
Biden 49.4%
Trump 49.1%
polling average underestimated Trump by 4.5% and Biden by 1%
538’s polling average for Arizona for August 27, 2024
Harris 45.4%
Trump 44.6%
Adjusting for the underestimating by the polling average, Trump could win Arizona 49.1% to 46.4%/
Of course they're under-polling Trump, as usual. All of the fake news always tries to manufacture a tight race for the "news value" (ratings). Do your own polling among the people you come in contact with and you'll find something very different. America's not going to elect a couple of stupid communists...
Sorry Paul Ryan... Go to Hell.
I think so. The propaganda isn't working. Black men are starting to leave the plantation. The Democrats are trying to force them to stay.
So Harris is more likely to unify the country? First off, who wants unity with totalitarian socialists? I sure don’t. Secondly, her idea of unity is straight out of Venezuela. Chavez certainly unified his country…in poverty and loss of freedom.
Harris is sucking air, and globalist Fox comes along with fake push pills. Fox is the same as the rest.
They call himself independent for the attention. It makes them look special. I don’t trust anyone who doesn’t know which side to pick.
“while Independents favor Harris by 6 points”
Poll: Donald Trump Overtakes Kamala Harris Among Independents
https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/4261329/posts
Pure Nonsense.
So said many here in 2008.
If she wins, the first half of the 20th century won’t be the worst that humanity will have seen. It will just be a warning of what’s to come.
I believe we may still lead by an inch in the polls, but so many months before the november election... it’s not that important.
What I don’t like is that - right now - we have lost the dynamics of the race. Harris’ “surprising” (it was planned all along) arrival into the race managed to steal the narrative and the strong dynamics we had. And all media is working overtime to make that continue for as long as possible.
The only thing I imagine being able to give us an advantage again is if Harris does poorly against Trump in the september debate.
But then again, since America is divided about 50/50 left and right anyway, and no matter what... at that point Harris / Trump becomes a secondary thing.
We must fight for the few undecided voters left.... they arent that many.
It’s sad that America had fallen down towards 50% of social-democracy.
Yea, i noticed that. This makes the poll useless. Comrade gets only 75% of the black vote then it’s probably a bad night for her and a good-night for America.
The Fox News poll has always favored Democrats.
Harris with 79% of blacks.
This is a big number. It’s smaller than 2020.
But if you, as a pollster, just decide that your 1000 phone calls are aiming at 17% black portion of the entire electorate, then that 79% number moves the needle. The decision is not one of voters. It is one of the pollster and his turnout projection. He decides blacks will be 17% of the electorate then — because 79% support Harris — you’ll get a bigger Harris vote total.
This entire sequence of Biden -> Harris has revealed with polling does. They Decide What Segments Will Turnout. Then they change that profile of segments. The phone calls have to conform to their profile so they toss out phone calls that don’t do that, and include those that do.
Then after all this is done, they count up the preference choices and publish it.
Harris having leads derives from an arbitrary (and it IS arbitrary) choice by pollsters of what race and gender and income level is going to turn out and vote. This was done 100% in alignment with a narrative of excitement and enthusiasm. Zero proof of it. Zero.
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