Hi slapshot,
Since you say the results are baked in, how do you explain Trump overperforming the polls by 7 points in Wisconsin in 2016 and by 6 points in 2020?
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2016/wisconsin/trump-vs-clinton
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2020/wisconsin/trump-vs-biden
I am on the ground. “Leadership” in Wisconsin is pathetic and in the Never Trump camp-