Posted on 08/15/2024 10:07:19 AM PDT by theyreallthesame
we have been down this road before the need to steal to get it and they will
Solid two pearls for you.
If you do not have a dog get one asap!
Ya. But they’re looking at the moment. Not stepping back looking at it from the strategic point of view
They think Trumpmis outsmarted by this gang. That’s more stupid than anything the voters are going to do
betus has Trump on top with smallest odds.
I don’t know. The betting odds are always right about these things. Harris has momentum and seems to be running a disciplined campaign.
Sure, she hasn’t talked to the media and the polls are reverting to the same form. Sure, if Trump had never debated Biden and he was still the candidate, the betting odds and the polls would show Biden winning. Nonetheless, Trump is insulting people and stuff.
Ok, now I want my five pearls!!! This post is worth a five pearl rating.
And when I get those five pearls, I am going to make a necklace and I am going to donate that pearl necklace to Kamala Harris. Wait, she may already have a pearl necklace.
The 2016 betting odds had Hillary heavily favored to win—something like 80-20.
They reflect the predictions of the people who place the bets.
Unfortunately for them most lack psychic powers.
:-)
Early October 2016 I put $200 on Trump on Bovada with 3.75:1 odds for Hillary. Made $750 from it so there’s that.
Trump was 100-1 against in 2016
Oh, so they predicted that Trump won but Biden stole it?
It may also reflect the level of confidence in the D's ability to steal another election.
https://www.vegasinsider.com/odds/us-presidential-election/
US Presidential Election Analysis
Nearly two weeks after United States President Joe Biden announced that he won’t be running in the 2024 United States Election, the betting markets have stabilized on the two candidates.
The matchup between former President Donald Trump and current Vice President Kamala Harris is closer than Trump vs. Biden but the Republican Party candidate is still favored.
Trump remains a consensus 4/5 betting favorite (Bet $100 to win $80) to capture the 2024 United States Election on Tuesday November 5, 2024 while Harris is a short underdog at 11/10 odds (Bet $100 to win $110).
Harris selected her running mate for Vice President on Tuesday August 6, 2024, naming Minnesota Governor Tim Walz.
According to the SportsHandle Election Odds Tracker, Trump has a 57.8% probability rate of winning the 2024 United States Election as of Tuesday August 6, 2024 while Harris has a 48.3% probability rate of winning.
The betting sites provide no information, since they essentially follow polls.
I do have some new information from the polls. Emerson just offered up a number H+4 and at the very end of their poll they talk just a brief item about how they model turnout.
They get registration information from state sites for registration (not all of which register by party) and much more important, they explicitly say they get their weighting information for subgroups from Census.
Recall the Census was corrupted in 2021. One of the first things done by the Biden admin was to adjust it to reduce seat count in red states and also to increase black and urban totals for distribution of money.
Basing turnout model on Census is very questionable, though maybe it’s a good thing because those numbers corrupted were for profoundly blue states. Showing a 1% national lead will necessarily have to concentrate it in deep blue states.
As for overall perspective, the Dem fundraising (which really just pays big money to campaign chairpeople and not really all that much on ads) may need a lead now. When the pollster has to worry about accuracy as November approaches, we can rest assured everything will move Trumpward.
His internal pollsters know exactly what is happening and where. And he went and campaigned in Montana.
The most recent polls in the past couple of days show Trump ahead nationally. If Trump wins the national popular vote, he'll win in the electoral college by a landslide.
She was leading more in the betting market three weeks ago, so she is losing ground.
Shrillary was leading Trump in the betting odds on the day of the 2016 election.
Kamala Harris ahead of Donald Trump and NASA has proved the moon is made of cheese too.
The gamblers saw the demons steal the last one and are assuming they can just as easily steal this one.
If its gouda I’m not interested...
Agree
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