There is a NPR/PBS/Marist poll out today. https://www.realclearpolling.com/latest-polls
It shows Harris leading Trump 51-46 nationally. (I don’t really know why they do national polling since we do not have national elections—but they do)
I looked at the underlying info on the poll which shows the biases built into the results.
The pollster surveyed 1613 adults. Of those, 1513 are registered voters. So that is 100 that are not even registered to vote. Of those 1513, 1309 indicate they are likely to vote in November. Again, right off the bat we see that this poll is not even of “likely” voters and some surveyed are not even registered, so the results actually tell us very little as to the voting intentions of informed voters.
The poll surveys 39% D, 35% R, and 24% I. It’s weighted at least 4% towards Democrats from the beginning just as most polls seem to be. (Are there actually any “independent” voters anymore?)
This is how the media and their pollsters work to form opinion. Even if one or two polls are not biased, they know that if they include the very slanted polls then those will skew the averages towards Democrats. They then get the headlines of “Polling shows Harris ahead by 4% nationwide”.
Link to the actual poll is here:
“It shows Harris leading Trump 51-46 nationally.”
Actually it shows Harris leading Trump 51-48.