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BULLETIN
Hurricane Debby Intermediate Advisory Number 11A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042024
200 AM EDT Mon Aug 05 2024

...DEBBY STRENGTHENING AS IT NEARS LANDFALL IN THE FLORIDA BIG
BEND...
...EXPECTED TO BRING LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE IN PORTIONS OF
FLORIDA AND MAJOR FLOODING IN THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES...

SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION


LOCATION...29.1N 83.8W
ABOUT 40 MI...70 KM W OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA
ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM SSE OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 010 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140
miles (220 km).


228 posted on 08/04/2024 10:48:44 PM PDT by NautiNurse (With a cough and a sputter, the original lying dog-faced pony soldier is led out to pasture. )
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To: NautiNurse

Hurricane Debby Discussion Number 12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042024
500 AM EDT Mon Aug 05 2024

The eyewall of Debby is moving onshore and landfall in the Florida Big Bend is expected to occur within the next few hours. Doppler radar images from Tallahassee indicate that the eye of the hurricane has become a bit more circular and deep convection remains fairly well organized over the eastern eyewall, and in bands east of the center that have spread across portions of northern Florida. There have been numerous reports of sustained tropical-storm-force winds, but the strongest so far is in Horseshoe Beach, where a weather station recently recorded a sustained wind of 57 kt and a gust to 83 kt. Data from the Air Force Hurricane Hunters indicate that the maximum winds are likely near 70 kt, and Debby will likely maintain that intensity or strengthen a little until it reaches the coast.

After landfall, Debby is expected to slow down and turn northeastward as the steering currents collapse, taking the system across northern Florida and southeastern Georgia later today through Tuesday. Most of the models show Debby moving off the southeast…. Rapid weakening is forecast after the center moves inland, and Debby will likely become a tropical storm over northern Florida this afternoon.


Good morning - it’s raining everywhere! Makes for a spectacularly colorful weather map. Thanks for thread! Stay safe out there, everyone.


229 posted on 08/05/2024 2:52:51 AM PDT by cyn (An appeal to Heaven )
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To: NautiNurse

ICON Model now backing off of a Wilmington strike — mostly — but is in line with NHC track... and a ~966mb second landfall North of Hilton Head.


244 posted on 08/05/2024 5:08:01 AM PDT by alancarp (George Orwell was an optimist.)
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