That’s not a turnout model.
A turnout model says the electorate is X Independent, Y Dem and Z GOP. It will also say X college grad and Z non grads. It will have age and sex.
The the random phone calls are made until a total sample that conforms the turnout model are obtained, and the responses tabulated.
Oh ffs, Owen, there are maybe five national polls that do that and the only trustworthy one is Fabrizio. And show me where turnout models were correct in 2020, BaldPateNate is still writing articles on how badly they underestimated Trump's turnout in The Stolen Election.
You take Rasmussen at face value, it is the tent pole on the GOP side. This is the most optimistic GOP poll.
On the left, maybe Siena or ABC/Wash Post. This is the most optimistic Democrat poll.
And the median is still Trump +4 and still winning in places like PA. The bitch got a dead-cat bounce and never drew ahead, and if anything the Convention will unmask her. There's not a single Democrat who wants this Convention now.
