[Gena Bukin]

I must be missing something. How does a 0.4% lead translate to a Trump win?

It is a "no tossup" map meaning that RCP is showing the map colors for whoever is leading that state in their polling averages.

And leading by 0.4% is still leading.

For what it's worth, Biden won Virginia by 10 points in 2020.

[johniegrad]

Got it. Thanks.