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To: Heartlander

Let’s pray that God is turning this nation around again because the faithful remnant have been working hard praying for truth and justice to prevail. The roe vs wide issue was a step in the right direction, hopeful.y we see more great victories soon!


3 posted on 07/19/2024 7:24:00 AM PDT by Bob434
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To: All

People do forget.

All conventions are like this. Non stop praise of the nominee, declaring God is on their side against the evil others, and tears when the nominee speaks.

The only way to measure what is happening is with polls, and they are moving only a few % post debate/post gunshots.

The source of Democrat concern is 2020 had them claim a 4.5% win and the polls immediately before the election said Biden +7.5%. Now, within the MOE. That means tied.

That also means a 4.5% gain, and that much gain will turn the battlegrounds.

When looking at polls you can do 3 things:

1) Declare they mean nothing because of fraud. Which is wrong. They do mean something. They measure attitudes. Whether or not the attitudes define the vote counts IS A SEPERATE ISSUE AND HAS NOTHING TO DO WITH THE MEASUREMENT.

2) You can declare the poll’s result to be definitive. It says Trump leads by 2%? Then he leads by 2%. The problem with that is different pollsters take different samples and get different answers.

3) The correct way to look at polls is to look at each poll’s previous measure. If it says Trump+4, and in early June it said Trump+4, then it would mean the debate and the gunshots changes no minds in their sample definition. Point being, what you get from polls is trends. Not an exact number. Trends, and trends are everything. They tell you what messages moved a few attitudes.


9 posted on 07/19/2024 7:32:54 AM PDT by Owen
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