Posted on 07/11/2024 2:44:48 AM PDT by T Ruth
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The fight for Senate control appears more clear-cut. With former Democrat, now-independent, Sen. Joe Manchin retiring from his West Virginia seat, Democrats have virtually ceded the seat to Republicans. That GOP pick-up would take Democrats’ current 51-49 majority down to an even 50-50 split.
Democrats could retain control of the Senate by the narrowest of margins if they maintain control of the vice presidency. That brings with it potential complications for their congressional majorities if Joe Biden remains president and suffers (further) health issues, but put that aside for the time being.
To ensure themselves a majority not contingent upon the outcome of the presidential election, Republicans need to capture at least one more Senate seat beyond that in West Virginia. (They also need to hold on to all Republican seats up for election this year — a safe bet at present.)
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But while the dynamics of the election may have changed, the math has not. If Republicans defeat Tester, they will have a working majority in the Senate. If they do not, Democrats could squeak through to unified control of the House, Senate, and presidency. And if you think the Congress of 2021-22 was a disaster, imagine what Democrats could do in a scenario with unified government and without having “moderates” like Sens. Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema, I-Ariz., to restrain them: abolish the filibuster, codify abortion-on-demand, admit new states, pack the Supreme Court, and more.
In campaigns as in sport, keeping the eye on the ball remains key. And protecting conservative priorities involves keeping an eye, or more than an eye, on the Montana Senate race.
(Excerpt) Read more at thefederalist.com ...
I was hoping Hogan might flip Maryland as well . Polling not looking good for Larry Boy though. Yes, he’s a lib, but he would vote against the most radical Rat legislation …
Lock-down would seem to be a he-who-must-not-be-named.....
Maryland is a lost cause. Between Baltimore City and county, Montgomery county, and Prince George’s county the state has an overwhelming majority of hardcore Democrat voters
Maryland has a huge percentage of blacks. It is on its way to becoming Haiti.
Maryland is almost 30% black. It is losing population. Guess who’s moving out?
Montana has rejected freedom all year. Why would they embrace it now.
They might elect more republicans who are just democrat water carriers… but that just gets more funding for the farm and agri grab.
Texas isn’t as red as everyone thinks either. The leaders in Texas are pissing people off here.
Lot’s of left over Bush-Republicans...
My criteria to give to a senate campaign: 1) Win an important election(house/gov)-important enough to be known. 2) A decent chance to win and FLIP a seat.
It worked with Thune 20 years ago. Rick Scott in ‘18. Ernst(Iowa.) in ‘14. I even gave to Cassidy vs. Landreu. Capito-liberal but stepped up to challenge Rockefeller. He retired(read the tea leaves?). Rounds(SD)-a former gov. (Tim Johnson retired).
Sheehy and Moreno don’t meet the criteria. Parachute in and buy the seat doesn’t work. Ask Dr. Oz. Gianforte is taking the easy way out in the statehouse.
I even gave $50 to the underwear model to flip the Kennedy seat for 2 years. Once a seat is flipped they’re on their own and free to disappoint. Most of them have. $10 to Hogan-hey it’s only 10 bucks.
Georgia is 30% black with enough suburban wine women to make it worse. Still they had to cheat with hundreds? Thousands? Of fraudulent votes in Fulton county (most of Atlanta) to get the result they wanted.
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