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Post-Debate Swing State Polling Update
real clear polling ^ | 07/08/2024 | Jonathan Draeger

Posted on 07/08/2024 1:19:50 PM PDT by TexasFreeper2009

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To: TexasFreeper2009

The polls that come out at the very end are the polls that are supposed to agree with the result. A lot of times when they can’t steal the vote, they lie about it until the very end. Then they come up with a story that the vote started to shift in the final days. That is crap. They are just trying to aline their polls with the vote they know is going to happen. Democrats often throw out a ridiculous poll to skew the Real Clear averages. But everything gets close on the last poll. Stealing the vote is a new thing. Its always been there in college towns and black neighborhoods. But not nearly to the extent of the 2020 election. That was a huge steal. A real Zuck and CIA job. They hired the vote stealers to steal far more votes than they manufactured before. In every state the steal was slightly different. But they did manufacture over 200,000 votes all together.


41 posted on 07/08/2024 2:16:27 PM PDT by poinq (thics and customs and did not take an oath to the country. And did not follow the country's traditio)
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To: Freest Republican
The bookies taking bets on it though, will eventually go out of business if they do not produce accurate betting lines.

Great point. Seems like it will be interesting to see how they fare over the coming year.

42 posted on 07/08/2024 2:18:29 PM PDT by dware (Americans prefer peaceful slavery over dangerous freedom)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

FR requires use of actual headline: Post-Debate Swing State Polling Update


43 posted on 07/08/2024 2:19:24 PM PDT by TexasGator
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To: lula
How they are even this close is beyond me.

They're not.

More and more each year, people on the right refuse to take part in polls. These polling companies will not tell you how many people told them to pound sand before they got to their sample of 800. It could be as many as 500 or even 1000. Not counting the conservatives who refused to take part is resulting in polls that are skewed to the left.

44 posted on 07/08/2024 2:21:57 PM PDT by HandBasketHell
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Pennsylvania is a big problem. There is an inner city neighborhood where more people vote than are registered. The Dems explain this as last minute registration. But 60% is a high turnout in most districts; 100% + has to be fake.


45 posted on 07/08/2024 2:30:20 PM PDT by djpg
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To: dware

Here’s how the Establishment of the United States operates:

2016 rigged for Trump
2020 rigged for Biden
2024 rigged for Trump

This maximizes the Trump Era(12 years instead of 8.)

It also maximizes $ for the Republican hating media. A media that is going down the toilet with their urban & college town buddies firmly attached to their side.


46 posted on 07/08/2024 2:31:37 PM PDT by unclebankster (Globalism is the last refuge of a scoundrel.)
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To: lula

I was going to say the same thing. Trump should be 7 or 8 points ahead at this point.


47 posted on 07/08/2024 2:46:02 PM PDT by Opinionated Blowhard (When the people find that they can vote themselves money, that will herald the end of the republic.)
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To: All

All the wackos that descend on polling threads with talk of fraud might want to realize that the various fraud mechanisms discussed do not happen in polling.

These are huge leads for Trump. Republicans generally lose the popular vote (because of Calif and NY) and it takes about 4% Dem lead or less to get a Trump electoral vote win.

Polls are calling a slight Trump lead in popular vote. That will be big Electoral Vote numbers.


48 posted on 07/08/2024 2:50:58 PM PDT by Owen
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To: TexasGator

opps sorry about that


49 posted on 07/08/2024 2:56:16 PM PDT by TexasFreeper2009
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To: unclebankster

I'm a little shocked another Freeper actually "gets it".

Here is what I said on Groundhog Day, how apropos:

So my suspicions of TrumpII in the bag were confirmed by Davos -- I mean every . single . multi-national . boob . said "TrumpII", and not only "TrumpII", but "We're ready for it! How is it a bad thing? Americans can handle it for 4 years ... deregulation and the restarting of American energy independence, etc, etc."

The TrumpII talk was so wild at Davos that stinking Soros Jr had to say, 'Well, Davos is always wrong about this.'

NO they're not, the undercurrent at Davos 2016 was that Trump could win in 2016, along with that brilliant LAT poll that tracked / resampled the same group and showed Trump winning indys and thus the battlegrounds.

Now you have different polls (the LAT quickly and quietly dismantled that same-sample tracking poll and did not run it again in 2020) in 2024 showing the. exact. same. thing. [ Now winning a landslide just 5 months later. ]

I am convinced the Derp State is putting TrumpII in to attempt to 'cap off' the invasion, sort out the pendejos among the purple and red states; and then attempt humiliate MAGA in the second half of TrumpII, 2027 right after the mid-terms, with some sort of fugly "Grand Bargainos" on Amnesty with a very-close House & 50-50 Senate, despite VP Youngkin's objections (said Grand Bargainos also calculated to set up Glenn v Gruesome in 2028).

50 posted on 07/08/2024 2:59:05 PM PDT by StAnDeliver (TrumpII)
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To: lula

How they are even this close is beyond me.
********************
Don’t attack me. I’m just the messenger. It’s very easy to explain. You need to get out more. Fully 30 to 40% of the people in this country are afflicted with severe TDS. It’s been driven by 8 years of a MSM barrage of outright lies about Trump. I interact with these people every day. Some in my own family. Trump has broken them. They are obssessed with Trump.I friended some people on Facebook, just because I went to school with them and didn’t know anything about their politics cause I hadn’t seen them in 55 years.Half of them post 30 memes a day trashing Trump. It’s a sickness.


51 posted on 07/08/2024 3:00:45 PM PDT by sunny bonobo
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To: TexasFreeper2009

I’m afraid the ‘Rats will just manufacture enough phony ballots to re-elect the cadaver, just like last time.


52 posted on 07/08/2024 3:25:52 PM PDT by beethovenfan (The REAL Great Reset will be when Jesus returns. )
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Where does he stand in the “the other side already has the ballots printed” poll?


53 posted on 07/08/2024 3:55:40 PM PDT by FlipWilson
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To: 1Old Pro
So it appears only an additional 1-4% more of the people are concerned about having a President with full blown dementia, interesting.

Yes. It must mean something about Democrats.

54 posted on 07/08/2024 4:31:10 PM PDT by TChad
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To: nbenyo

A “bookkeeping error” which was not an error and which Trump did not do personally.


55 posted on 07/08/2024 4:49:37 PM PDT by Verginius Rufus
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Should be something like Trump 80, Biden 20 but it’s not. We have a lot of liberal idiots and I suspect a lot of people who simply dont like Trump.

Very sad country.


56 posted on 07/08/2024 4:56:59 PM PDT by Jonny7797
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To: Sarah Barracuda

Sarah keep in mind that in the American Revolution only about 1/3 of the people in the Colonies were really against the British.
Samuel Adams and his brethren were Radicals.

Around 40% of the people wanted to stay loyal to the Crown.

There are a lot of people that HATE politics and think it does not matter.
To some extent they are right.


57 posted on 07/08/2024 4:59:13 PM PDT by woodbutcher1963
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To: HandBasketHell

the missing red wave of 2022 doesn’t support your assertion.


58 posted on 07/08/2024 8:49:29 PM PDT by nbenyo
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To: Verginius Rufus

Trump’s pollster (McLaughlin) said tonight that their internal polls are in line with what the public polls are showing.


59 posted on 07/08/2024 8:53:10 PM PDT by nbenyo
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To: TexasFreeper2009
in our hyperpartisan age, Biden could literally be DEAD and probably get 40-42% of the vote.

Agree

60 posted on 07/09/2024 5:44:34 AM PDT by 1Old Pro
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