The most competent lawyers don’t know what the jury will do. Everybody who claims to know is guessing. If it was a matter of each juror voting and that was the end of it, Trump would have a good chance of a hung jury. But I read that there are 34 counts. If the jury has a separate vote on each count, some votes may be guilty 12-0 and others not unanimous. On non-unanimous votes, Merchan will tell them to go back and try to get a unanimous vote.
The 34 counts of “falsified” records are veritable copy-and-paste. You’ve seen one, you’ve seen ‘em all. Even the dumbest Manhattan jury would be hard pressed to arrive at different verdicts over homogenous misdemeanor counts.
All Merchan needs is one guilty decision, then Trump will be a “convicted criminal” forever, and Biden will beat him over the head with it, even if it is subsequently overturned.
That is why Biden wanted a June debate, so he could claim Trump was a “convicted criminal” before the appeal could be processed.
Merchan has a multi-million dollars payday if he delivers