Nevertheless, events and circumstances can lead to moments that create a political opening for Republicans to win a chunk of black support. Not only is Biden a disaster for blacks, but Trump's MAGA message appeals to black patriotism and common sense and his celebrity status and outsize personality mark him as not the usual type of Republican. Now, being prosecuted unfairly and slowly winning a tough fight against his persecutors puts Trump squarely in line with the experience of many blacks and mobilizes black sentiment that favors underdogs.
The problem for the Democrats is that there is no ready way to counter Trump's growing appeal to blacks. With luck, blacks may help Trump and the GOP to win in 2024 and realign American politics for a generation or more.
I hope you're right.