Unless President Trump has, at minimum, a 10 point lead in ALL demographics ... Biden will steal it again.
A 10 point Trump lead would be very hard to steal.
[Unless President Trump has, at minimum, a 10 point lead in ALL demographics ... Biden will steal it again.
A 10 point Trump lead would be very hard to steal.]
Biden’s problem this polling cycle is that instead of leading by almost 10% all through, he is averaging a tie. Throw in a 4% bias in his favor, he is looking at a 4% loss in November. Note that Trump lost the popular vote by 2% to Hillary and still won on electoral votes.
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2020/trump-vs-biden
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-biden
Bottom line is that defeat in 2024 for Biden looks as inevitable as victory seemed in 2020.