Posted on 04/25/2024 10:14:55 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
A troubling trend observed in America over the past decade grew significantly worse in 2023. The CDC just announced that the birth rate in America fell to just 1.62 births per woman. That's the lowest reproduction rate recorded in the United States since the government began tracking this data early in the 20th century. It also represents a two percent decline from the already-low rate recorded in 2022, meaning the rate fell by more than half in a single year. In other words, even if every single woman in the country were in a potentially reproductive relationship with a man, we would still be losing population before accounting for immigration. And nowhere near all of the women are in such relationships. (National Review)
The U.S. fertility rate hit a new record-low last year, continuing a persistent trend that will have significant consequences for American society.
The total fertility rate dropped to 1.62 births per woman last year, a 2 percent decline from the year before, according to newly released data from the Centers for Disease Control. The figure is below replacement level, meaning Americans are not having enough children to replace themselves, a development with major implications for the American economy.
The total fertility rate recorded by the CDC is the lowest since the U.S. government began tracking it nearly a century ago. It reflects a trend visible across the developed world in which women are less inclined to have children because of greater emphasis on career success and access to reproductive technology in predominantly secular societies.
Broken down by age group, the news was fairly consistent. Underage pregnancies are way down from the early nineties, which is good news. But birth rates for women in their prime birthing years from 18 to 35 were down across the board. This places the United States the furthest below the accepted replacement rate (to maintain a stable population size) that has been recorded prior to this.
Breaking the numbers down by demographics, the picture doesn't change very much. Latina women were the only group to see an increase in the number of births and even that was barely one percent. Birth rates were down among white, Black, Asian, and Native American women.
Some might argue that could actually be good news because, well... we have too many darned people already. That is also a concern over the long run and there are organized groups out there pushing for significant population reduction. But any sustained downward transition in population comes with a lot of societal pain attached. With fewer babies being born, there are fewer working people coming up in the next generation to pay taxes and support programs like Social Security and Medicare. Even if the birth rate were to stabilize at the new, lower rate, it would be several generations before the overall population stabilized and the books would begin to balance again. It's not clear that such a thing would even be possible.
So why is this happening? The NR article points to women in the modern era being less inclined to have children because they are prioritizing career success and accessing birth control. That's certainly part of it, but it's not the whole story. We have simultaneously been seeing an increase in fertility issues among couples who are actively trying to have children, both in the United States and in other countries. In Great Britain, the National Institutes of Health records lower sperm counts among adult males being on the rise. They attribute this to societal factors such as increases in obesity, poor dietary choices, and environmental toxins. The same conditions exist in America, so perhaps that's part of it. But this is another one of those problems that simply may not have a viable solution. Short of offering to pay women to get pregnant, there aren't many viable options. We can't simply start mass-producing babies in test tubes.
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I read somewhere that 30% of Gen-Z “identify” as something other than heterosexual
Fat, purple-haired, gender-fluid 20-something furries may engage in acts resembling “sex,” but its certainly not going to result in procreation.
Conservatives are having 60 more kids per 100 women than liberals according to the General Social Survey.
It is middle class and wealthy leftists that are not having enough children.
I get that doom and gloom sells but it also has an unparalleled record of futility.
One other point - does anyone actually count the Amish? They avoid government and census, don’t use phones or technology, and I doubt fat, lazy gov’t employees are driving around rural America trying to count them. Every Amish family I see has at least 4-5 kids
There could be millions more of them than anyone thinks.
Sorry meant to add-
I’m not going to try and decipher this doozy.
” It also represents a two percent decline from the already-low rate recorded in 2022, meaning the rate fell by more than half in a single year.”
The lockdowns should’ve resulted in a baby boom.
It’s obv concerning that it did not take place.
Ofc if the reverse was true and births were abundant-I’d be reading of all the lack of personal responsibility.
It’s the usual free rolling-we’re doomed regardless.
Nope, that is the whole story.
If birth control were to miraculously disappear tomorrow, things would soon return to normal.
Regards,
RE: One other point - does anyone actually count the Amish? They avoid government and census...
Regading the Census, See here:
https://www.usreligioncensus.org/sites/default/files/2023-03/Appendix_I—Amish_Groups.pdf
So, the Amish ARE being counted in the U.S. Census. The census includes all baptized members or full members, and all children, teenagers, and young adults who have not yet decided to be baptized into the faith but who still live at home.
The Amish population figures for each state with at least one Amish community are provided in the census.
See here:
https://news.osu.edu/estimate-a-new-amish-community-is-founded-every-35-weeks-in-us/
However, it’s important to note that the Amish population is estimated by researchers and organizations that specialize in Amish studies, and these estimates are often used for more detailed population data.
These estimates take into account factors such as the establishment of new settlements and the sizable nuclear families within the Amish community. So, while the U.S. Census does count the Amish, more specific population data often comes from specialized research.
Also See here:
https://groups.etown.edu/amishstudies/statistics/amish-population-profile-2020/
The Amish population has seen significant growth over the years. In 2000, the estimated Amish population in North America was approximately 177,8851. By 2020, this number had increased to 350,6651, which is an increase of about 97%1. This means that the Amish population has essentially doubled since the turn of the century2.
This rapid growth is largely due to high birth rates and a low rate of members leaving the community. On average, the Amish population doubles about every 20 years. If the current growth rate, which has held constant for more than 100 years, remains the same, the Amish population is projected to be greater than the current population of the United States in 215 years (See here: https://dailycaller.com/2019/07/31/amish-population-america-growth-rates/ ).
It’s also worth noting that new Amish settlements are being established for a variety of reasons, including the desire for fertile farmland at reasonable prices, nonfarm work in specialized occupations, rural isolation that supports their traditional, family-based lifestyle, and social and physical environments conducive to their way of life1. This contributes to the overall growth of the Amish population.
No problem. Everyone can just buy another dog. Problem solved!
but I won't hold by breath....too many soy boys and not enough real men....
real problem is people are so self absorbed...me, me, me...no future plans...no aspirations for family... no hopes and dreams...nothing...
The economy sucks. Wages are not keeping up with inflation. Houses are the least affordable they have EVER been for people trying to get on the first rung of the property ladder.
What does anybody expect? Of course young couples are not going to choose to have kids in this environment.
Most men aren't going to choose to have a baby with a woman who doesn't make them feel wanted and since younger women find 80% of men "below average", its no surprise these men are not willing to accept a 30-something woman who they know thinks she's "settling" for them now that all of her youth is gone, her value in the dating market has fallen off a cliff, and she's hearing her biological clock ticking ever louder as she approaches 40.
“There could be millions more of them than anyone thinks.”
I think the count is pretty accurate given that you have to report their existence if you want to get the free-money for them.
DEPOPULATION by any means.
Replacement theory is a fact.
Now to what extent our own government is behind it is up for debate. For example some of our immigration crisis is our own low birth rate fault. If families still had 4-5 kids each like back in the 50s there would be a lot more competition for landscape jobs, hotel cleaning etc.
Honestly I’d say the low birth rate is only a minor contributing factor. It’s clear the current demon (haha meant “admin” but that word might be more apt) wants open borders.
So I quickly glance at all of the replies and none of them list the OBVIOUS CAUSE OF THE LOW BIRTH RATE
A couple of years ago the population of the US was forced to take untested, potentially dangerous injections of gene therapy drugs. One of the known side effects is male and female reproductive attacks
Saying it another way, it’s the VAXXXXXXXXXINES REDUCING THE POPULATION
talk to Dr Bill Gates if you have any complaints.
“I get that doom and gloom sells but it also has an unparalleled record of futility.”
And ignoring serious problems that are clear as day for decades because they would be politically inconvenient to talk about has an even more futile record.
“The lockdowns should’ve resulted in a baby boom.
It’s obv concerning that it did not take place.”
A baby boom would require normal relations between the sexes, which we don’t really have any more. So we got a pet boom instead.
The total fertility rate dropped to 1.62 births per woman last year, a 2 percent decline from the year before, according to newly released data from the Centers for Disease Control. The figure is below replacement level, meaning Americans are not having enough children to replace themselves, a development with major implications for the American economy. The NR article points to women in the modern era being less inclined to have children because they are prioritizing career success and accessing birth control.In the US, the birth rate has been falling since the Great Recession, dropping almost 23 percent between 2007 and 2022 Today, the average American woman has about 1.6 children, down from three in 1950, and significantly below the “replacement rate” of 2.1 children needed to sustain a stable population.Nov 27, 2023 - https://www.vox.com/23971366/declining-birth-rate-fertility-babies-children
Meanwhile, fornication costs the country greatly.
And millennials with Generation Z generate 57% of pet ownership in America. Millennials lead the share of pet owners in the U.S. (31%). In 2012, $52 billion was on pets. For 2021, roughly $109.6 billion have been spent on pets in the U.S. - https://www.thezebra.com/resources/research/pet-ownership-statistics/
In a recent survey conducted by YPulse, they found out that 76% of Millenials (ages 20 to 38) prefer to have pets over children. Over half of the Millennials who answered the survey own a dog, while 35% own a cat. - https://topdogtips.com/millennials-on-parenthood-opting-for-pets/
Dog or baby? 22% of Millennials, Gen Z prefer pets over kids. - https://www.wfla.com/news/animals/dog-or-baby-22-of-millennials-gen-z-prefer-pets-over-kids/
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