[BikerJoe]

If Lee wins today, November will probably be closer than many expect but whatever hope today’s outcome generates (if any) is highly likely to be false hope.

I sure hope you're wrong. James Hayes is a seriously impressive candidate. We'll be doing what we can for him, even though we're not in the District. (We're just northeast).

[PermaRag]

He comes off as somewhat conservative and by no means a bomb-thrower (a la Gaetz, MTG, Boebert -- and I LOVE those guys & gals) -- which in CD-12 is probably good, since he would need a large percentage of Democrat votes to win a general election. A 100% conservative has a 0% chance here, but Hayes would be plenty good enough.

He has one gigantic problem however, one which is just as damaging as the heavily-Democrat makeup of the district, and that problem is illustrated here:

FEC financial reports for PA District 12

As things stand now, he's lucky to be able to afford a few yard signs. In a district like this which isn't even considered to be slightly marginal, the national GOP with its limited funds isn't likely to make anything more than the smallest token effort on his behalf.

Now if Lee wins the primary today AND if subsequent polls quickly start showing that she's weaker than expected for November, that might be a different story. It's still quite a long shot.