Reported crime has decreased, actual crime has not.
The cops are no longer making their rounds. You're on your own in the big cities.
One statistic that's pretty consistent is the number of murders. The cops will show up to pick up the bodies
Exactly
“decline in reported violent crime and a 4 percent decrease in reported property crime”
The key word is “reported”
That’s right.
> Reported crime has decreased, actual crime has not. <
Right. Plus serious crimes are going into the records as misdemeanors. Remember that older NYC lady who was the victim of the knock-out game last week? She lost a couple of teeth in the attack. That certainly was a felonious assault.
Her assailant was booked on a misdemeanor, then released.
you are right...they let people go, don't pursue criminals and suddenly they have fewer arrests and fewer convictions..
Bingo.
No charges = no crimes
Several major US cities have admitted in the past decade....they don’t pass their statistical numbers to the state or federal level. Even if a mayor says ‘x’ amount of violent crime....you’d have to drag in the police themselves to provide the actual data.
Reporting a crime is a waste of time, and in doing so you risk arrest yourself particularly when the perp is of a protected class.
Reported = prosecuted
Another reason is that some actual crimes are no allowed to be referred to as a crime, are no longer prosecuted as a crime and, in far too many instances, are not, in any effective way, punished as sa crime. Although I must acknowledge that doing this does make Democrat/Communists look better even as civil society suffers ... but who cares about civil society when a professional politician has an election to win!
Since young people commit more violent crimes than the aged, then as the average age increases, violent crime should decrease. Yet the premise that crimes are no longer reported as before is also probable.
Research finds:
Tracking crime statistics – and more importantly, whether or not crime is rising or falling in the United States – is getting harder to do. That’s because nearly a third of America’s cities are no longer reporting crime statistics to the FBI. This is more than just a problem for policymakers looking for data to address the cities most in need of assistance. It also means that some policymakers are demanding bad policy because they’re relying on incomplete data. The Marshall Project reported that 31 percent of the 18,000 law enforcement agencies across the U.S. failed to report crime data to the FBI’s national database after transitioning to a new data collection system, according to the latest statistics from the FBI. That’s a slight improvement from 2021, when 40 percent of law enforcement agencies didn’t report crime data. Still, it’s a glaring blind spot, especially when that data is missing from some of the largest metro areas dealing with rampant, out-of-control crime.
Many of those cities also happen to be led by the loudest voices calling for gun control, defunding police and soft-on-crime policies. The trifecta means that gun control politicians are missing a third of the crime picture yet demanding 100 percent of the gun control. Typical behavior for zealots who favor government control over individual freedom.Just 24 percent of New York’s police departments sent their crime data to the FBI. That’s a failing grade in anyone’s book. That includes New York City’s Police Department, along with neighboring Suffolk, Nassau and Westchester County police. Just 141 of the 583 New York police agencies reported data in 2022. - https://www.nssf.org/articles/america-has-a-crime-reporting-problem/
August 31, 2018 by Dispatch The majority of crimes committed in the United States are never reported to the police. Worse still, the crimes that are reported are usually never solved. In 2016 a miserable 42 percent of violent crime and an even more miserable 36 percent of property crime was reported to US authorities. That being said, this trend may be changing – if only slightly. The instance of reporting serious violent crime (defined as rape or sexual assault, robbery, or aggravated assault) is improving. It was less likely to go unreported to the police in 2010 than it was in the year 1994, and the instances of unreported serious violent victimizations declined from 50 percent in 1994 to 42 percent in 2010. - https://wp.nyu.edu/dispatch/2018/08/31/why-do-so-many-crimes-go-by-unreported-in-the-states/
Why It’s Confusing to Know Whether Crime’s Really Up or Down Is crime out of control? The homicide rate went down 12 percent last year. Still, there’s more than one kind of crime, more than one data set and more than one way to spin things... Fewer homicides is cause for celebration, but what about the overall crime rate, including property crimes? It’s difficult to know. For one thing, the federal government itself maintains two different databases. It’s changed one of them, which makes apples-to-apples comparisons over time problematic. Three years ago, the FBI made changes to its reporting system that are still being implemented, and not all local law enforcement agencies are reporting reliably to the feds....
Information about crime trends should be timely, accurate, complete and usable, says John Buntin, project director for the crime trends working group at the Council on Criminal Justice (and a former Governing staff writer). “Right now, national data is old, hard to use and incomplete,” he says. “Think about watching a football game but then not getting the score until nine months later. That’s where we are with crime data. We’ve got to do better.” - https://www.governing.com/urban/why-its-confusing-to-know-whether-crimes-really-up-or-down
According to data available from the FBI’s Crime Data Explorer, the rates of violent crime, robbery and burglary have decreased steadily and significantly since 1990. - https://www.governing.com/urban/why-its-confusing-to-know-whether-crimes-really-up-or-down
For more than 100 years, the FBI has been collecting crime data from local police departments across the country through the Uniform Crime Reporting Program, which has been the gold standard of national crime statistics. By 2020, almost every law enforcement agency was included in the FBI’s database. Some agencies reported topline numbers, such as the total number of murders or car thefts, through the Summary Reporting System. Others reported granular incident data with details about each reported crime through the newer National Incident-Based Reporting System (NIBRS).
Then it all changed in 2021. In an effort to fully modernize the system, the FBI stopped taking data from the old summary system and only accepted data through the new system. Thousands of police agencies fell through the cracks because they didn’t catch up with the changes on time. Then it all changed in 2021. In an effort to fully modernize the system, the FBI stopped taking data from the old summary system and only accepted data through the new system. Thousands of police agencies fell through the cracks because they didn’t catch up with the changes on time. Participation in the FBI's database improved slightly, with about two-thirds of law enforcement agencies now included. - https://www.themarshallproject.org/2023/07/13/fbi-crime-rates-data-gap-nibrs