I think this guy overstates this by leaps and bounds, but it is definitely clear that with this pick, There is no doubt Kennedy is going to pull more from Biden than Trump.
The Democrats are absolutely in a panic today, and its pretty clear to see why.
At this point they need to keep Kennedy off the debate stage, he’s polling nationally in some polls as high as 12%.. if he gets to 15% he makes the debate stage, and if he makes the debate stage, then Biden will be lucky if he gets 30% in the general, which will cost Democrats HUGE down ballot.
IF Kennedy does make it onto the debate stage, you can forget the white house, which was a long shot at best for the walking potato anyway, but democrats will end be facing decimation downballot.
The “straight party” ticket won’t happen, and that means a lot of folks who would have showed up and just done that for Biden... will show up to vote for RFK, so they will have to actually go down the ballot and actually individually check for each race, and I guarantee you, that will cost the dems a few points down ballot easily and they know it.
Only 7 states still have strait party voting. Michigan and Nevada are probably the only 2 Biden would likely win, and could be effected by forcing voters to select individual candidates.
If RFK Jr can build enthusiasm, particularly in millennials, he could do to Biden what Perot did to HW Bush, though with a smaller share of the vote.