Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Trump Leads Biden by 3% in 2-Way, and 2% in a 5-Way Trial Ballot Question
Mitchell Research ^ | 3/22/24 | Steve Mitchell

Posted on 03/24/2024 5:46:57 AM PDT by Redmen4ever

TWO-WAY: Trump 47, Biden 44; FIVE-WAY: Trump 44, Biden 42, JFK Jr 6, Stein 1, Cornel West 1

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Michigan
KEYWORDS: biden; michigan; trump
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-40 next last
March 15-16; N=627. This continues a series of polls showing Trump slightly ahead or tied in the states of MI, PA and WI. Also, that Trump's lead isn't necessary increased by the 5-way relative to the 2-way, JFK Jr is already fading, and Biden got no bounce from his State of the Union Address (which was nothing but a campaign speech). Also, that Republican Senate candidates are close even though the pundits continue to say these states lean Democrat (Mitchell released his findings in the Senate race a couple days prior). In 2020, Biden led in the polls by 4.2 points, and won by 2.8 points (that is, Trump outperformed the polls but not by enough to win the state). In 2016, Clinton led in the polls by 3.6 points and Trump won by 0.3 points (that is, Trump outperformed the polls by enough to win the state). If Trump again outperforms the polls, given that he is currently ahead, he will easily win Michigan (ditto Pennsylvania and Wisconsin). Of course, it's early in the year. A lot can change from here to eternity, I mean from here to November.
1 posted on 03/24/2024 5:46:58 AM PDT by Redmen4ever
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: Redmen4ever

3 points means Democrats will win by cheating.


2 posted on 03/24/2024 5:48:11 AM PDT by Kaiser8408a (i )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Redmen4ever

Time to fire up more bogus indictments!


3 posted on 03/24/2024 5:50:51 AM PDT by Boardwalk
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Redmen4ever

I find this very difficult to believe.


4 posted on 03/24/2024 5:51:01 AM PDT by albie
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Kaiser8408a

That didn’t take long. Now for the tough one. Nobody - not Putinbots, Democrat Trolls or actual conservatives who have gotten tired of winning - yet has answered this question well. (Well, except I have answered the question well.) So, you’re not really under any pressure. If the Democrats cheated in 2016 and/or 2020, how did Trump outperform the polls?


5 posted on 03/24/2024 5:53:49 AM PDT by Redmen4ever
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Redmen4ever

Trump outperformed in the aggregate, but lost because his opposition stole selected states, specifically AZ, MI, PA, and GA.

What do I win?


6 posted on 03/24/2024 6:02:59 AM PDT by Eccl 10:2 (Prov 3:5 --- "Trust in the Lord with all your heart, and lean not on your own understanding")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: Eccl 10:2

Plus they dumped covid on us to make sure they could bend and break the laws and rules.


7 posted on 03/24/2024 6:05:45 AM PDT by Boardwalk
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: Eccl 10:2

NBD but Wisconsin too.


8 posted on 03/24/2024 6:06:07 AM PDT by OKSooner ("You won't like what comes after America." - Leonard Cohen.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: Redmen4ever

A 3% lead?

Nothing that can’t be overcome by a couple hundred pallets of bogus ballots or reprogramming a few thousand voting machines .

There’s an old saying that “generals always prepare to fight the last war”.

While most GOP-E republicans pretend the 2020 election wasn’t stolen, some actually are making plans to prevent democrats from rigging the the 2024 election.

But it’s a sure bet that democrats learned from their 2020 experience and have refined their election rigging strategy and techniques in the last 4 years.

This year there won’t be such crude actions as coordinated fake plumbing leaks and covering windows with cardboard.

So, while republicans try to counter the 2020 style dirty tricks, democrats will be stealing the 2024 election in ways republicans haven’t even dreamed of.

And in ways that are impossible to detect and counter.


9 posted on 03/24/2024 6:23:32 AM PDT by Iron Munro
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Iron Munro

Our country started its decline in 1913. They played the long game and one man is in their way. What else will they do to this man?


10 posted on 03/24/2024 6:30:47 AM PDT by Boardwalk
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: Iron Munro

As voting becomes more centralized in rules/controllers it is
easier to the final outcome with behind the scene operatives.
A few changes in the computerization equipment will make it
harder to find/recognize. JMO


11 posted on 03/24/2024 6:50:04 AM PDT by deport
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: OKSooner

“NBD but Wisconsin too.”

$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

Yup. And likely NV, maybe VA, or even NH.


12 posted on 03/24/2024 6:50:31 AM PDT by Eccl 10:2 (Prov 3:5 --- "Trust in the Lord with all your heart, and lean not on your own understanding")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Kaiser8408a
3 points means Democrats will win by cheating.

Gee, no one here has ever considered that point of view before. Thanks for bringing it up! /sarc
13 posted on 03/24/2024 7:09:34 AM PDT by Dan in Wichita
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Eccl 10:2

To find out what you win, you should sue your teachers as you aren’t able to read. The question was (and is): why did Trump outperform the polls in 2016 and 2020. You didn’t answer the question.


14 posted on 03/24/2024 7:24:27 AM PDT by Redmen4ever
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: Iron Munro

Hi Iron!

See Eccl didn’t answer the question I asked, maybe you can. (No disrespect to him, and none to you if you’re not able. No Putinbot, Democrat Troll, or conservative who has gotten tired of winning has yet to offer a cogent answer.) Why did Trump outperform the polls in 2016 and in 2020?


15 posted on 03/24/2024 7:28:57 AM PDT by Redmen4ever
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: Boardwalk
Time to fire up more bogus indictments!

Absolutely. Every time they try it, Trump gets stronger.

16 posted on 03/24/2024 7:31:59 AM PDT by Fresh Wind (Nothing says "Democracy" like throwing your opponents in jail.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Redmen4ever

TDS was not as strong as predicted? What is your level of TDS? Would you say medium to high?


17 posted on 03/24/2024 7:47:27 AM PDT by Boardwalk
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: Redmen4ever

(((Yawn))) These polls will only cause Pedo Joe to speed up his orders for more slave laborers/voters from Crapland South of the Border.


18 posted on 03/24/2024 7:48:14 AM PDT by FlingWingFlyer ("A Noble Heart Can Know No Ease Without Freedom.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: albie

This could well be true.

People are voting with their genitalia.

In the end phase of a society this becomes a predominant issue among the public.


19 posted on 03/24/2024 7:49:35 AM PDT by packagingguy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: Boardwalk

Hi Boardwalk!

There’s positive as well as negative TDS.

Among many of his supporters, his name-calling is one of his strengths. His associations with assholes like Michael Cohen and sluts like Stormy Daniels is denied. His inability to work with people he himself appointed to his personal staff or nominated for cabinet positions is explained away. His presumption that the name Trump increases property values by 2.5 times is viewed as valid. And, it is denied that he has any responsibility for us losing the House and the Senate in addition to the White House under his watch.

Among his detractors, his success in business, in amassing a $4 billion fortune (per Forbes), is ignored. His writing of the best-ever business book, Art of the Deal, is dismissed because he had a co-author. His beautiful design and appointments to Trump Tower and other properties is never mentioned. His very successful t.v. show, The Apprentice, is buried. That he kept the peace while in office, brokered the Abraham Accords between Israel and the Sunni Arabs, and helped to resolve differences between Serbia and Kosovo isn’t acknowledged. That, prior to COVID and the shutdown, we had a very successful economy is muddied by the performance of the economy with COVID and the shutdown.

There are pluses and minuses on both sides of the ledger. I don’t criticize people who consider the pluses and the minuses for how they think it all adds up. But, people who deny that there are pluses, or who deny that there are minuses, reveal that they suffer either the positive or the negative version of TDS. Furthermore, since there is no cure for TDS, it’s useless to even talk about. We just have to win this upcoming election.


20 posted on 03/24/2024 8:22:41 AM PDT by Redmen4ever
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-40 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson