Florida is 51.1% Non-Hispanic White according to 2021 census. How did Trump win? Texas is 39.3% non-Hispanic white. How did Trump win?
Florida 2016 - Trump - +1.2%
Florida 2020 - Trump - +3.4%
1960 Cuban refugees and their American born children and grandchildren are heavily concentrated in Dade County.
All of them are citizens, and at least 60% are Republican.
Most of the 1960 Cubans trace their ancestry to Europe, not to Africa or the Caribbean.
1980 (and later) Cuban refugees - almost all of them are African or Caribbean. Highest concentration - metropolitan New York City. They are at least 70% Democrat.
How did Trump win Texas?
Two factors. Texas Hispanics are the most Republican in the USA - at least 40%.
Also, compared to Florida, a much larger share of Texas Hispanics are NOT American citizens.
USA Total Hispanic Vote - Trump 2016 - 28%
USA Total Hispanic Vote - Trump 2020 - 32%
Overall in 2020, Hispanics voted 2/1 for Biden; and blacks, 7/1. Asians, close to 2/1.
Under-30 went about 1.66/1 for Trump.
Slot that into the FL and TX demographics, and it is easy to see it relatively close. Thank God for the old white folks, who are the most reliable, actual voters.
“Florida is 51.1% Non-Hispanic White according to 2021 census. How did Trump win? Texas is 39.3% non-Hispanic white. How did Trump win?”
I don’t know about Texas, but the non-Hispanics in FL are hugely Cuban. Cubans, in general, are very conservative.